1. OA Support to Stabilisation Operations in Iraq Jarrod Cornforth ISMOR August 2003

2. OA Use during Stabilisation OA is being used for many tasks during the Stabilisation Phase, including:OA is being used for many tasks during the Stabilisation Phase, including: Measures of Effectiveness (MOE)Measures of Effectiveness (MOE) Future Iraqi ArmyFuture Iraqi Army Civil and Judicial AssessmentCivil and Judicial Assessment Database DesignDatabase Design This presentation will concentrate on the MOE workThis presentation will concentrate on the MOE work

3. OA Use by the Military This Presentation is Only Giving ExamplesThis Presentation is Only Giving Examples OA was not seen as Technical ExpertsOA was not seen as Technical Experts OA was not seen as something newOA was not seen as something new OA was seen as neutral and impartialOA was seen as neutral and impartial OA was seen as a excellent and auditable ‘second opinion’OA was seen as a excellent and auditable ‘second opinion’ OA was used as a resource for providing structured and logical processesOA was used as a resource for providing structured and logical processes

4. Who OA Directly Worked For GS PLANSGS PLANS G3 OPS SPG3 OPS SP PROVOSTPROVOST G5G5 MEDIAMEDIA INFO OPSINFO OPS PSY OPSPSY OPS G6G6 G2G2 DEEP OPSDEEP OPS ARTY OPSARTY OPS MED EVACMED EVAC MED SPMED SP EQUIPMENT SPEQUIPMENT SP LOG SPLOG SP EPW HANDLINGEPW HANDLING JOINT MILITARY COMMITTEEJOINT MILITARY COMMITTEE GEOGEO NBCRNBCR COSCOS 3 CDO – Various Cells3 CDO – Various Cells 7 ARMD – Various Cells7 ARMD – Various Cells 16 AA – Various Cells16 AA – Various Cells Directly asked from Sergeants to Full ColonelsDirectly asked from Sergeants to Full Colonels

5. What is MOE? Measures of Effectiveness (MOE)Measures of Effectiveness (MOE) MOE is a campaign monitoring process, to measure the progress towards the end-state and often the country’s return to ‘normality’.MOE is a campaign monitoring process, to measure the progress towards the end-state and often the country’s return to ‘normality’. A quantitative Measure of the Situation using operational data and data collected by foot patrols.A quantitative Measure of the Situation using operational data and data collected by foot patrols.

6. Previous Experience Measures of Effectiveness have been used successfully before in:Measures of Effectiveness have been used successfully before in: BosniaBosnia KosovoKosovo Afghanistan (Kabul)Afghanistan (Kabul) There is no ‘one size fits all’. Each Operations requires tailor made MOE.There is no ‘one size fits all’. Each Operations requires tailor made MOE.

7. Return to ‘Normality’ Base Case?Base Case? TomislavgradTomislavgrad Historic CaseHistoric Case Before 1991 Gulf War / SaddamBefore 1991 Gulf War / Saddam Model City/Country?Model City/Country? Milton KeynesMilton Keynes Measures of EffectivenessMeasures of Effectiveness Trend analysis, stabilisation/recovery/deteriorationTrend analysis, stabilisation/recovery/deterioration

8. What Should Police Be Allowed to do?

9. Problems Faced There was no ‘normality’There was no ‘normality’ Scarce ResourcesScarce Resources A war was going onA war was going on Other Priorities for Unit/HQ BranchesOther Priorities for Unit/HQ Branches Education of the DivisionEducation of the Division

10. What Data was Wanted? Availability of:Availability of: FoodFood Water (Drinking/Utility)Water (Drinking/Utility) ShelterShelter Local Area StabilityLocal Area Stability Attacks on Patrol/CiviliansAttacks on Patrol/Civilians CrimeCrime Market activityMarket activity Public Reaction to Presence of the Coalition Forces and their immediate concernsPublic Reaction to Presence of the Coalition Forces and their immediate concerns

11. Options Use data already available:Use data already available: Unit ReportsUnit Reports Branch ReportsBranch Reports Intelligence SummariesIntelligence Summaries Media ReportsMedia Reports NGO ReportsNGO Reports Create our own data gathering resourcesCreate our own data gathering resources QuestionnairesQuestionnaires Foot Patrol Collection SheetsFoot Patrol Collection Sheets

12. Example of Collection Sheet

14. Who is Using it GOCGOC COSCOS G5 (CIMIC)G5 (CIMIC) G2 (Intelligence)G2 (Intelligence) Royal Military PoliceRoyal Military Police Info OpsInfo Ops Bdes / BGsBdes / BGs VisitorsVisitors

15. What it is Achieving Overview/background of the situationOverview/background of the situation See indirect effects of Coalition ForcesSee indirect effects of Coalition Forces Indicate potential difficulties before they ariseIndicate potential difficulties before they arise Prioritise areas for aidPrioritise areas for aid Help with force protection – “hearts and minds”Help with force protection – “hearts and minds” Assist with information campaignAssist with information campaign Reinforce IO/NGO co-ordination and Co- operationReinforce IO/NGO co-ordination and Co- operation Assist in Briefing VIPs/Media/PoliticiansAssist in Briefing VIPs/Media/Politicians Altered as the situation alteredAltered as the situation altered