2. CHALLENGE BIBENDUM 2010 – RIO DE JANEIRO ROUND TABLE 3 TOPICS HOW TO MEET A 10 to 15 % MARKET SHARE OF BATTERY, FUEL CELL AND PLUG-IN HYBRID VEHICLES BY 2020? Professor C.C. Chan, FIEEE, FIET, FHKIE Academician, Chinese Academy of Engineering Fellow, Royal Academy of Engineering, U.K., President, World Electric Vehicles Association President, Electric Vehicle Association of Asia Pacific

3. Success of EV/PHEV - Goodness Factor : Good Products; Good Infrastructure; Good Business Model

4. Good Products: High Performance @ Reasonable Cost I: Integration & Optimization of Automotive & Electrical Technologies A: Alliance of OEM & Key Components Suppliers Chasis & Body Technology Powertrain Technology Energy Storage Technology I+A

5. Good Infrastructure: Efficient & Convenience Parking Durations 14 hrs per day2 hrs per day7 hrs per day Charging Points 1 charging point per vehicle < 0.5 charging point per vehicle1 charging point per vehicle Power & Charing time Requirements Low power and normal charging (e.g. 3kW, 10 hrs) High power and quick charging (e.g. 22 kW, 2 hrs) Low power and normal charging (e.g. 3kW, 7 hrs)

6. Innovative EV/PHEV Business Model: To Leverage the Initial Cost of Battery

7. By 2020, EVs would be about 7-12% of total volumes Global Electric Vehicle Market (Sales): Scenario Analysis, 2008-2015 Scenario's 200820092015 2020 (% of total car sales) Optimistic Scenario 5,10317,4752,266,450 12% F&S Scenario 5,1038,9111,226,607 7% Conservative Scenario 5,1037,550520,953 4%

8. BEV HEV ICE FCV 20102020203020402050 Trends of Various Types Vehicles Population

9. Two Pathways for HEV Technology Development Technical Road Map

10. FUTURE AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS 未来城市个人交通变革最新解决方案 Powered Mechanically by Internal Combustion Engine 内燃机机械动力 Controlled Mechanically 机械控制 Energized by Petroleum 石油能源 Stand-alone独立系统 Powered Electrically by Electric Motors 电力电机驱动 Controlled Electronically 电子控制 Energized by Electricity and Hydrogen 电能与氢 “Connected”交互系统 Totally Dependence on the Driver 依赖驾驶员全操控 Semi/Full Autonomous Driving 自动 / 半自动 驾驶 Vehicle Sized for Max Use – People and Cargo 车体尺寸利 用最大化 - 乘员货物 Vehicle Tailored to Specific Use 特殊用途的量身定制车

11. Electric Power & Communication Infrastructures Central Generating Station Step-Up Transformer Distribution Substation Receiving Station Distribution Substation Distribution Substation Commercial Industrial Commercial Gas Turbine Recip Engine Cogeneration Recip Engine Fuel cell Micro- turbine Flywheel Residential Photo voltaics Batteries Residential Data Concentrator Control Center Data network Users 2. Information Infrastructure 1.Power Infrastructure Source: EPRI 10

12. Smart House Increasing low carbon electricity and reduce peak electricity consumed Management of electricity storage by EV and/or Lithium ion battery Solar Cell Smart Meter AC DC AC DC Charge Back up Mid-night electricity Grid Charge Appliances Distribute Converter EV Battery （ LiB ） Buy Sell

13. China’s Objective & Strategy Buses Energy saving vehicles Hybrid vehicles Small vehicles Medium & high class sedan Emerging from two ends: Buses and small vehicles Develop market

15. I nspiration I nspiration I magination I magination I nnovation I nnovation I ntegration I ntegration I mplementation I mplementation I nvestment I nvestment