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Looking for a Bottom: U.S. Stocks, Gold, Silver and Oil Daryl Montgomery October 29, 2008 Copyright 2008, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation.

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Presentation on theme: "Looking for a Bottom: U.S. Stocks, Gold, Silver and Oil Daryl Montgomery October 29, 2008 Copyright 2008, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation."— Presentation transcript:

1 Looking for a Bottom: U.S. Stocks, Gold, Silver and Oil Daryl Montgomery October 29, 2008 Copyright 2008, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

2 Summary of Market Conditions There have been at least 5 market crash days in September and October, 2 major rally days. So far, stock market (mostly) bottomed on Oct 10 th. Nasdaq hits support around 1500; S&P 500 and Dow next support levels at 775 and VIX hits 89.53, above 55 in 2002, but below 150 during the 87 crash. TED spread almost at 4.79, 1987 high around Oil falls to around 62, almost 60% off high. Dollar breaks out. Silver breaks down. Gold at support. Nikkei in Japan breaks 2003 low – 18 year sell off.

3 Dollar Index: 9-Month Daily

4 ETF OIL: One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

5 ETF OIL: Three-Year Weekly 50-Week Moving Average, RSI, DMI, MACD

6 ETF GLD: One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

7 ETF GLD: Three-Year Weekly 50, 200-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

8 ETF SLV: One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

9 ETF SLV: Three-Year Weekly 50-Week Moving Average, RSI, DMI, MACD

10 Dow Jones One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

11 Dow Jones Three-Year Weekly 50, 200-week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

12 S&P500 One-Year Daily 50, 200-day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD.

13 S&P500 Three-Year Weekly 50, 200-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

14 Nasdaq One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

15 Nasdaq Three-Year Weekly 50, 200-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

16 Russell 2000 One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

17 Russell 2000 Three-Year Weekly 50, 200-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD


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