1. NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC. A Case For Clean Energy Ian Baring-Gould Sr. Engineer Energy Development in Island Nations – Pacific Island Energy Symposium Saipan, October 19-21 st 2010 With the support of Roger Taylor of NREL

2. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy FutureEnergy (Heat, Electricity & Fuel) Environment (Air & Water) Agriculture(Food) HumanNeeds

3. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future So Why is Energy Important? Other than our way of life depends on it, it’s not really….

4. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future And to reach a high standard of living in other areas will require more energy Although nations can obtain a high GDP with lower energy use (Japan and Europe) the direct link between increased GDP (and standard of living) and increased energy use is clear.

5. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future Where the global economy is very complex After: Charles Hall, SUNY Syracuse, ASPO 2005 ResourceProcessingExploitationRaw MaterialsManufacturingConsumption And it’s largely dependent on cheap oil. Waste Heat

6. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future 1930 2050 10000 kb/d 0 kb/d 5000 kb/d Lower 48 AlaskaDeepwater U.S. Oil Production Big, New Discoveries & New ‘Technology’...only shift the curve Lower 48 AK DW Source: Tom Petrie at Denver World Oil Conference Total U.S. Oil Production 2010

7. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future 1930 1970 2000 2050 2010 The Age of Oil

8. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future Peak Oil Graph from: ASPO.com - Colin Campbell 2004 2100 19301970 2000 2050 Our Generation 20 80 The Age of Oil Our Parents Our Children Our Grand Children Our Great Grand Children Our Grand Parents 7 Generations Span Our Great Grand Parents

9. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future Diesel fuel prices are currently – US$3.11/gal with futures trending upwards

10. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future And if it is local – then you don’t need to go out and get it. Improved national security Reduced energy dependency Lower transportation cost and risk Better foreign exchange Lower conflict risk

11. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future Humanity’s Top Ten Problems for next 50 years 1.Energy 2.Water 3.Food 4.Environment 5.Poverty 6.Terrorism & War 7.Disease 8.Education 9.Democracy 10.Population 2003: 6.3 Billion people 2050: 9-10 Billion people Source: Nobel laureate, Richard Smalley

12. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future Three Great Challenges of the 21 st Century Energy, Climate, Food The Perfect Storm SS Global Economy It’s time to change direction

13. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future Energy Security & Sovereignty Through Local Self-Sufficiency Economic Dependence Oil Imports Fuel at the Pump National Grid Coal-based Power Water Transport Foreign Manufacturing Agro-Industry “He who has the gold, makes the rules.” Community Independence Self sufficiency Food Energy Water Skill Rebuilding Local Production Regional Sourcing Sufficiency & Enoughness Human Satisfaction “Community of Cooperation”

14. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future Strategic Energy Planning Defining where you are, Where you want to go, What are your energy options when considering the wider implications, and Developing a plan to get there.

15. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future Carpe Ventem www.nrel.gov