1. AFRICAN COMMISSION ON AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS Twentieth Session Algiers, Algeria, 10-13 December 2007 AGRICULTURAL AND RURAL STATISTICS TO SUPPORT THE EVALUATION OF AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT POLICIES AND STRATEGIC INVESTMENT OPTIONS IN ZAMBIA

2. Lay out of Presentation 1.Introduction 2.Major Cropping Systems 3.Availability of Sub-National Statistics 4.Mix of Production Inputs Used In Major Cropping Systems 5.Type and Costs of farm inputs 6.Factors that Influence choice of Crops grown 7.Source Institutions for Data 8.Relevant Surveys 9.Type of Data Collected 10.Conclusion

3. 1. Introduction Liberalisation started in 1991 Target of liberalisation at Farm level - agric input and output marketing Need for reliable farm level planning Focus of farmer on Agric production and marketing Farmer has to Identify objectives, available resources Capacity to prod needed quantities Need to assess input and output markets

4. Introduction Cntd Assess means of production At macro level, Informed decision making  budgetary allocations,  tax rates,  subsidies,  incentive packages,  prioritization and  various regulatory measures for effective agric devpnt policies & strategic investment options Need for relevant and accurate data To inform evaluation exercise

5. 2.Major Cropping Systems  Smallholder Cropping System Characteristic, growing between 0-5 Ha. Contbt 65 % to 70 % of maize production 100 % of millet, sorghum, sweet potatoes, rice, groundnuts, mixed beans, bambara nuts pumpkins. Also grow paprika and water melons

6. 2.1Commercial Cropping System Farmers cultivating more than 20 hectares Raising exotic species of livestock and/or poultry Produce 30 to 35 % of national maize production Exported horticultural and floriculture products

7. 2.3Rainfed Cropping System November to March All the maize grown for grain All crops grown by smallholder sector Output varies with state of the season Erratic/Fluctuations in output levels

8. 2.4Irrigated Cropping Patterns National Water Policy of 1994 promotion of community and private sector participation large agribusiness estates; individual commercial farms; contract grower groups; outgrower agricultural groups; associations of smallholders.

9. Irrigated Cropping Patterns Cntd Total area of 752,612 sq. km (75 million Ha) irrigation potential estimated at 500,000 hectares, only 40,000 Ha (8%) currently irrigated More than 58% (42 million Ha) suitable for agricultural production Only 14 to 16 percent of arable land is cultivated 20.2% contribution to GDP in 2006

10. Irrigated Cropping Patterns Cntd Irrigation Schemes by Size Total area of small irrigation schemes-111,525 Total area of medium irrigation schemes -7,372 Total area of large irrigation schemes-37,015

11. 2.5Tillage Systems Hand hoeing Ploughing (ox-drawn) Mechanical tillage (tractor power), applied by large scale commercial farmers Conservation farming encompassing, potholing, ridging across slopes. and ripping

12. 3.Availability of Sub-National Statistics Nine provinces 72 Districts Area planted to crop Area harvested Production quantities Yield per hectare Marketed produce (quantity expected to be sold for all reported crops)

13. 4.Mix of Production Inputs Used In Major Cropping Systems commercial cropping system  Improved seed (hybrid),  Inorganic fertilizers,  Supplementary water ( modern sophisticated irrigation methods),  Agrochemicals,  Labour, and  Trained management

14. Mix of Production Inputs Used In Major Cropping Systems Cntd. smallholder cropping system  Recycled local seed and hybrid seed  Nutrients (organic and inorganic fertilizer),  Supplementary water (simple irrigation methods),  Labour.

15. 5.Type and Costs of farm inputs Data on types of inputs used, Quantities and costs These will offer guidance in the choice of investment options at the farm level Type and costs of farm inputs are determined by the type of crops grown

16. 6.Factors that Influence choice of Crops grown I.Rainfall II.Type of soil at the disposal of the farmer III.Availability of irrigation facilities IV.Gross margin budgeting, Variable Costs Fixed Costs

17. 6.1Gross Margin Enterprise total income less variable costs A positive Gross Margin is indicative of potential profit Basis for investment plan for the future

18. 7.Source Institutions for Data Central Statistical Office (CSO) Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives Zambia National Farmers’ Union Department of Meteorology (DOM) National Food and Nutrition Commission (NFNC) under the Ministry of Health Millers Association of Zambia (MAS) Parastatal and Private companies such as Zamseed, Food Reserve Agency, Sasol, Kynock and Omnia NGOs such as Programme Against Malnutrition, Oxfarm, CARE, World Vision International Agencies such as FAO, WFP, UNICEF and FEWSNet.

19. 8.Relevant Surveys Housing and Population Census Crop Forecast Survey (CFS) Post Harvest Survey (PHS) Living Conditions Monitoring Survey (LCMS), done bi-annually Food Health And Nutrition Survey (FHANIS),Expected to be done quarterly. Vulnerability Assessments

20. 9.Type of Data Collected Crop conditions; Area planted; Area harvested Quantities, varieties and prices of inputs distributed, sold and utilized; (seed, fertilizer, lime) Crop production estimates; Yield per hectare; Grain stocks and prices; Amounts of food aid distributed; Planned imports and exports of inputs and grain;

21. Type of Data Collected Cntd. Weather forecasts; Availability and disbursement of loans/credit; Crop husbandry practices; Performance of extension services; Farm and off-farm incomes; Farm assets; and Livestock and fisheries statistics.

22. 10Conclusion need for harmonization of similar data surveys versus administrative records More capacity needs to be invested in data cleaning and analysis ensure comprehensive and complete analysis of all survey questions Relevant data is available & can be analysed by cropping system to guide policy evaluation and strategic investment decisions

23. END OF PRESENTATION THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION MERCI BEAUCOUP ASANTE SANA SHOUKRAN