1. Utilizing IBD Ideas for Commodity Related Investing Daryl Montgomery Organizer, New York Investing meetup http://investing.meetup.com Copyright 2008 – All Rights Reserved

2. The Big Picture for Bull/Bear Markets Secular (long-term) Bull/Bear Markets alternate between Stocks and Commodities Secular trends last for about 20 years. Secular Stock Bull from 1982 to 2000 Secular Commodities Bear from 1980 to 2000 Secular Stock Bear market from 2000 to ? Secular Bull Commodity market from 2000 to ? Long-term trends favor commodity investing (not necessarily the stocks) for the foreseeable future.

3. The Previous Secular Stock Bear/ Commodity Bull Took place between 1966 to 1982. Period of rising and high inflation/ declining dollar. Dow hit 1000 in 1966, 1968, 1972 and 1982; had the biggest sell off in 1973/74. Oil prices went from $3 a barrel in 1972 to $12 a barrel in 1974 to $40 a barrel in 1980. Gold went from $35 an ounce in 1972 to $195 in 1974* to $875 an ounce in 1980. Silver went from $3 an ounce in 1972 to $10 an ounce in 1974 to $50 an ounce in 1980. Nixon devalued the U.S. dollar by 10% in 1973.

4. The Current Secular Stock Bear/ Commodity Bull Market The S&P 500 hit 1500 in 2000 and 1500 in 2007. The Dow and Russell 2000 hit higher highs. Oil hit $40 in 2004, $103 in March. Gold hit $875 in January. Silver’s high is $21. A number of food commodities have hit all-time highs. The U.S. dollar lost 10% of its value between Sept 2007 and March 2008.

5. You can invest in Commodities with ETFs - List of Inflation Hedges, No Equities, Long Gold – GLD, IAU, DGL, DGP(200%) Silver – SLV, DBS Precious Metals – DBP Food – DBA, JJA, EOH, RJA Oil – UCR, OIL, DBO Energy Complex – USO, DBE, JJE, RJN Natural Gas - UNC

6. S&P 500 10 Year Monthly- Long-Term Sideways Trading

7. Dow Jones 10 Year Monthly – Testing Break Out

8. Nasdaq 10 Year Monthly – Bubble Top, Secular Bear

9. SP500 One-Year Daily – Bear Market Pattern

10. Dow Jones One-Year Daily – Bear Market Pattern

11. Nasdaq One-Year Daily – Bear Market Pattern

12. U.S. Dollar – All Time Lows

13. GLD One Year Daily Bull Pattern

14. SLV One-Year Daily Bull Pattern

15. USO One-Year Daily Bull Pattern

16. DBA One-Year Daily Bull Pattern

17. GLD -3 Year Weekly Flat Base with Breakout

18. SLV 1 Year Daily Flat Base with Breakout

19. USO 3 Yr Weekly – Cup, Handle, High-Volume Breakout

20. DBA One-Year Daily Flat Base