Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Species Distribution Modeling Model distributions of plants & animals Identify centers of endemism Identify potential hidden areas of endemism.

Similar presentations

Presentation on theme: "Species Distribution Modeling Model distributions of plants & animals Identify centers of endemism Identify potential hidden areas of endemism."— Presentation transcript:

1 Species Distribution Modeling Model distributions of plants & animals Identify centers of endemism Identify potential hidden areas of endemism

2 Focal Taxa: Species Endemic to Project Area

3 Taxonomic Groups Group# of Species# of Records Birds802,182 Mammals57665 Amphibians1881,588 Plants~405~4,000

4 Unreviewed Amphibian Localities

5 Plant Groups Cyathaceae Passifloraceae Brunneliaceae Acanthaceae Onagraceae - Fuchsia Fabaceae - Inga Campanulaceae Ericaceae Loasaceae Marcgraviaceae Aquifoliaceae Chrysobalanaceae Anacardiaceae Malpighiaceae Mimosaceae- Mimosa

6 Environmental Data Spatial Model Range Prediction Specialist Review Species- Environment Relationship Localities Environmental Data Specialists Knowledge DEDUCTIVEDEDUCTIVE INDUCTIVEINDUCTIVE Distribution Modeling

7 Inductive Modeling Details WorldClim climate data Mean Diurnal Range Isothermality Precipitation of Wettest Month Precipitation of Driest Month Precipitation Seasonality Digital Elevation Data Elevation, slope, exposure MODIS Vegetation/Tree Cover Variables Averaged Environmental Data

8 Sample MODIS Data

9 Inductive Modeling Details Proven in three comparative studies Tested in diverse conditions Does well with small samples Software publicly available Maximum Entropy

10 Deductive Modeling Details Elevational range Mountain range Estimated range of a population Variables

11 Steps I 1.Select species 2.Identify sources of localities 3.Request data Peru/Bolivia: support digitization 4.Compile data 5.Remove duplicate records 6.Georeference localities 7.First cut QC Remove/correct obvious errors

12 Unreviewed Plant Data

13 Steps II 8.Second cut QC Specialists review localities 9.Run trial models Select final input variables 10.Third cut QC Remove/correct outliers in environmental space 11.Run final models 12.Remove overpredicted area

14 Versicolored Barbet, Eubucco versicolor

15 Steps II Second cut QC Specialists review localities Run trial models Select final input variables Third cut QC Remove/correct outliers in environmental space Run final models Remove overpredicted area

16 Daphne's Oldfield Mouse, Thomasomys daphne

17 Incan Shrew Opossum, Lestoros inca Photo by B. Patterson

18 Hooded Mountain-Toucan, Andigena cucullata

19 Golden-collared Tanager, Iridosornis jelskii

20 Selva Cacique, Cacicus koepckeae

21 Centers of Endemism - Birds

22 Mammals

23 Amphibians

24 Next Step: Aggregate Data to ID Endemism Centers Control for range size Control for collecting bias Source: Nelson et al. 1990

25 Then … Predict Hidden Areas of Endemism Modeling Endemism centers Independent environmental data layers June workshop to define methods

26 Collaborators Modelers Pilar Hernandez Heidi Quintana Aldo Soto Carolina Tovar Data Reviewers César Aguilar Jesús Córdova Irma Franke Sebastian Herzog Daniel Lane John ONeill Victor Pacheco Lily Rodríguez Thómas Valqui + many plant systematists Data Managers Lily Paniagua Martin Timaná Carlos Zambrana

27 Sources of Locality Information United States National Museum of Natural History Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos University of California, Berkeley, Museum of Vertebrate Zoology University of Kansas, Museum of Natural History University of Michigan, Museum of Zoology University of New Mexico, Museum of Southwestern Biology University of San Simon, Cochabamba, Bolivia Yale Peabody Museum The Academy of Natural Sciences American Natural History Museum Armonia British Museum Carnegie Museum of Natural History Centro de Datos para la Conservación - Perú Colección Boliviana de Fauna Copenhagan University Delaware Museum of Natural History Field Museum of Natural History Fundacion Amigos de la Naturaleza Louisiana State University, Museum of Natural Science Noel Kempff Mercado Natural History Museum Natural History Museums Plus 5 scientists

28 Sources of Locality Information Herbarium. Naturhistorisches Museum Wien. Vienna Herbarium. Pomona College Herbarium. Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew Herbarium. University of Michigan Herbarium. Uppsala University Herbarium. Academy of Natural Sciences. Herbarium. Albrecht-von-Haller-Institut für Pflanzenwissenschaften Herbarium. California Academy of Sciences. San Francisco, California. Herbarium. Heidelberger Institut für Pflanzenwissenschaften Herbarium. Institut für Systematische Botanik. Universität Zürich Herbarium. Marie Selby Botanical Gardens Herbarium. Missoouri Botanical Garden Herbarium. National Museum in Prague Herbarium. Natural History Museum of Los Angeles County Herbarium. Rancho Santa Ana Botanic Garden Herbarium. Royal Botanic Garden. Edinburgh Herbarium. Swedish Museum of Natural History Herbarium. The Natural History Museum Herbarium. United States National Arboretum Herbarium. University of California. Los Angeles Herbarium. University of Copenhagen Herbarium. University of Texas at Austin Herbarium. V. L. Komarov Botanical Institute Herbier National de Paris. Nationaal Herbarium Nederland United States National Herbarium University Herbarium. University of California. Berkeley University of Aarhus Herbarium Jutlandicum William and Lynda Steere Herbarium. New York Botanical Garden Albion R. Hodgdon Herbarium. University of New Hampshire Bailey Hortorium Herbarium, Cornell University Botanical Museum. Lund, Sweden Botanischer Garten und Botanisches Museum Berlin-Dahlem. Conservatoire et Jardin botaniques de la Ville de Genève Daubeny Herbarium. University of Oxford Dudley Herbarium. California Academy of Sciences Field Museum of Natural History Fielding-Druce Herbarium. University of Oxford Harvard University Herbaria Herbario Amazonense. Univ. Nacional de la Amazónia Perúana Herbario del Oriente Boliviano. Mus. Historia Natural Noel Kempff Mercado Herbario Nacional Colombiano Herbario Nacional de Bolivia Herbario Nacional del Ecuador Herbario Nacional Forestal Martín Cárdenas. Cochabamba Herbario Nacional. Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Herbario Selva Central. Oxapampa, Perú. Herbario Vargas. Universidad Nacional San Antonio Abad del Cusco Herbario. Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos. Lima Herbario. Fundación Miguel Lillo. Tucuman, Argentina. Herbario. Instituto de Botánica Darwinion. Buenos Aires, Argentina. Herbario. Instituto de Botánica del Nordeste. Corrientes, Argentina. Herbario. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria. Buenos Aires Herbario. Proyecto BOLFOR. Santa Cruz, Bolivia Herbario. Real Jardín Botánico. Madrid, Spain. Herbario. Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina. Lima Herbario. Universidad Nacional de Cajamarca Herbario. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba Herbário. Universidade de São Paulo Herbarium of the University of Arizona Herbarium Senckenbergianum Frankfurt Herbarium Truxillense. Universidad Nacional de La Libertad-Trujillo Herbaria

Download ppt "Species Distribution Modeling Model distributions of plants & animals Identify centers of endemism Identify potential hidden areas of endemism."

Similar presentations

Ads by Google