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Xodus Develop Presenter / date if required.

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Presentation on theme: "Xodus Develop Presenter / date if required."— Presentation transcript:

1 Xodus Develop Presenter / date if required

2 Xodus Develop What we do
Identifying and defining optimal concepts that create value and achieve business goals Good definition Value APPRAISE / FEASIBILITY Feasibility decision OPTION ID / SELECTION DEFINITION EXECUTION OPERATION Concept Investment Poor Poor execution Good execution Appraise / Select (Concept Screening) Understand opportunity, look wide Understand uncertainties Identify at least one feasible concept across TECOP Identify decisions for development Identify major risks Field redevelopment / re-engineering Concept Select Evaluate all concept decisions and select optimum concept Optimum concept is not just technical, but optimum across TECOP Evaluate major risks With our subsurface skills we are now supporting clients in frontier exploration / acreage / asset acquisition

3 Contracts & procure- ment
Xodus Develop Development Planning We are the first – and currently only – specialist consultancy with integrated wells, surface and subsurface expertise Surface disciplines Subsurface Economics Wells Commercial Operations HSSE Construc- tion Contracts & procure- ment

4 Uncertainties to Realisation
Xodus Develop Optimising Business Value TECOP Uncertainties to Realisation Decisions to Concepts Decision Making Objectives Gain common (Client / Xodus) understanding of opportunity Subsurface Existing facilities / infrastructure available Local circumstances Commercial options Identify decisions and options for development Subsurface, wells and surface Looking wide but do not exaggerate Understand uncertainties Perform modeling to understand impact of uncertainties Identify one feasible concept across TECOP If feasible concept can not be identified stop or recycle, do not proceed into concept select Having identified a feasible concept does not mean this is the optimum concept - this will be done in the select phase Identify major risk areas

5 Uncertainties to Realisation
Xodus Develop Optimising Business Value TECOP Uncertainties to Realisation Decisions to Concepts Decision Making Objectives Gain common understanding of opportunity Identify decisions and options for development Understand uncertainties Identify one feasible concept across TECOP Identify major risk areas Gain common (Client / Xodus) understanding of opportunity Subsurface Existing facilities / infrastructure available Local circumstances Commercial options Identify decisions and options for development Subsurface, wells and surface Looking wide but do not exaggerate Understand uncertainties Perform modeling to understand impact of uncertainties Identify one feasible concept across TECOP If feasible concept can not be identified stop or recycle, do not proceed into concept select Having identified a feasible concept does not mean this is the optimum concept - this will be done in the select phase Identify major risk areas

6 Uncertainties to Realisation
Xodus Develop Optimising Business Value Objectives TECOP Uncertainties to Realisation Decisions to Concepts Decision Making Subsurface, surface, infrastructure, operability, availability, HSSE… Technical Lifecycle costs, NPV, IRR, cash sink… Economical C&P, legal, financing, sales agreements, tariffs… Commercial Resources, competencies, interfaces… Organisational Government, communities, NGOs, regulation, employment… Political

7 Uncertainties to Realisation
Xodus Develop Optimising Business Value Objectives TECOP Uncertainties to Realisation Decisions to Concepts Decision Making Identify key uncertainties Assess data Bracket uncertainties Define realisation Deterministic stringing of subsurface uncertainties Subsurface modelling to quantify impact Allocated chance factor (subjective) 15% 30% 40% Parameter IV V II I Frac network development Excellent Average Poor Matrix support to frac system Good Aquifer support to frac system Initial well productivity High Base Low Pressure decline Medium Well decline Water production Early Late Gascap forming None Early-ish Timing of ESP requirement Timing of secondary recovery

8 Uncertainties to Realisation
Xodus Develop Optimising Business Value Objectives TECOP Uncertainties to Realisation Decisions to Concepts Decision Making Identify development concepts (or strategies) Identify key decisions and options Define concepts Conduct specific assessments / studies: operations, safety, environment, flow assurance… Strategy Key decisions Water injection Oil and gas processing Plateau Ramp-up rate Reference 200 kbwpd plus expansion as required Decentralised (east-west) 400 2 trains per year Aggressive 400 kbwpd from start Central (+ degassing stations) 600 4 trains per year Cautious No water injection from start, install as required 200 1 train per year

9 Uncertainties to Realisation
Xodus Develop Optimising Business Value Objectives TECOP Uncertainties to Realisation Decisions to Concepts Decision Making Concept select phase Identify concept select and group decisions Decision based study plan Frame decisions upfront Options, givens, assumptions, uncertainties Decision dependencies Selection criteria Specific work plan Outcome Options selected Risks with mitigations Decision 4 Decision 3 Decision 2 Decision 1 Assumptions Givens Uncertainties Selection criteria Risks Decisions can be interconnected or dependent

10 Xodus Develop Key People Stuart Barr Field Development James McAreavey
30+ years’ experience Extensive development planning experience in a wide range of international locations and project types James McAreavey Field Development 19+ years’ experience UKCS experience focused mainly on West of Shetland, Central North Sea and Southern North Sea International experience in Norway, North Africa, India and Australasia Kent Massey Project Management 20+ years’ experience Design, operations and management experience in both upstream oil and gas and downstream refining and petrochemical industries

11 Process and Facilities Andrew Sewell Subsurface Caragh McWhirr
Xodus Develop Key People Harry van Elk Process and Facilities 22+ years’ experience Expertise covers all phases in the development of oil and gas fields Andrew Sewell Subsurface 23+ years’ experience Experience includes project management, seismic survey design, geophysical operations management, seismic data processing and supervision Caragh McWhirr Process and Facilities 13+ years’ experience Broad and multidisciplinary technical base, covering study management, process and safety engineering

12 Europe . FSU . Middle-East Africa . Asia
Xodus Develop Global Experience Development experience in Canada . The Americas Europe . FSU . Middle-East Africa . Asia

13 Xodus Develop Global Experience Field Development
BG Norge, Jordbær (Knarr) Development, Norwegian North Sea Field Development Concept select phase for full field development, followed by full facilities and SURF pre-FEED engineering Project scope Concept screening / selection (multiple green / brownfield options) Pre-FEED (multi-discipline engineering, HSE, risk, cost +/- 25%, schedule L2) FEED design reviews (topsides, subsea) Key features Flow assurance philosophies Subsea / drilling architecture optimisation High design P&T subsea Riser configuration selection Hull design for severe metocean conditions Topsides optimisation (process, layout) Conceptual QRA and environmental BAT demonstration

14 Xodus Develop Global Experience Field Development Onshore Middle East
Gulf Keystone, Shaikan field, Kurdistan region Field Development Conceptual field development and FEED, integrated subsurface and surface development Project scope Business drivers and development strategies Subsurface realisations Development concepts Development scenarios Costs and schedules Risks Constructing associated cost and production profiles for commercial analysis Key features Giant carbonate oil field Early stages of appraisal Unknown long term production characteristics Optimise appraisal and production from EPS Full field development planning Kurdistan region Shaikan field Onshore Middle East Very large field

15 Xodus Develop Global Experience Asset Redevelopment
Maersk Oil, Dunga field, Kazakhstan Asset Redevelopment Developing a solids management strategy to support 140 new production and WI wells Project scope Gathering network modelling and benchmarking – hydraulics / wax deposition Design of solids separation and treatment plant Existing plant benchmarking and debottlenecking Design of new separation trains, gas compression system, LPG plant, WI treatment plant Identify and solve existing operating problems (scale, wax deposition, reservoir souring H2S) Key features Complex waxy fluid characterisation and thermal hydraulic modelling Review of existing operations and documentation (including site evaluation) Plant integrity and materials review Plant safety system upgrade to international best practice Brownfield / greenfield interfaces and modification planning Extensive debottlenecking analysis of existing processing facility Shows range of skills we have

16 Xodus Develop Global Experience Asset Redevelopment
Talisman, Auk South, UK Central North Sea Asset Redevelopment Extending and refurbishing existing drilling facility Project scope Field development options Piping and layout Process system design Structural topsides and jacket concept design CAPEX cost and weight estimates 3D design Risk and reliability analysis Key features Integrated multidiscipline team offering a complete development solution Close client liaison Risk / reliability / cost analysis using in-house tools Preliminary sizing of major equipment Layout, costs and weight estimating demonstrated option feasibility Ageing North Sea redevelopment/expansion

17 Risk and Uncertainty Management
Xodus Develop Global Experience Talisman, Auk South, UK Central North Sea Risk and Uncertainty Management A cost / schedule risk analysis using our Value, Decision and Risk Management (VDRM) approach Project scope Generation of project risk register Quantification of background risk and uncertainty Combine risk and uncertainty – cost and schedule risk analysis Key features Clear indication of project risk drivers Definition of confidence levels for project costs and completion dates Ability to set appropriate levels of contingency Steps taken when performing a cost / schedule risk analysis using the VDRM approach: Generation of new or update of extant project risk register. The project risk register will capture all Threats and opportunities associated with the project and indicate which may have cost and/or schedule impact. These are chance events hence < 100% chance of existence. Quantification of uncertainty associated with work scope. Here we allocated levels of uncertainty to the activities in the cost and schedule breakdown based on our current state of knowledge. We then combine the risk events with the associated uncertainty of the “must do” activities and run a Monte Carlo simulation. The S-curve graph: Here we have a delta between “Uncertainty only” and “Uncertainty plus Risk”. The ideal situation would be to manage all the risks to get the red curve back to overlay the blue curve however this is almost impossible however with good proactive risk management we can significantly reduce the delta between the two curves. The ideal situation would be to manage all the risks to get the red curve back (risk and uncertainty) to overlay the blue curve (uncertainty only – no risk) however this is almost impossible however with good proactive risk management we can significantly reduce the delta between the two curves.

18 Xodus Develop Global Experience Asset Redevelopment
Confidential client, Nigeria Asset Redevelopment Integrated surface and subsurface, multi-block, multi-field redevelopment Project scope Reserves estimation Well planning Facilities redevelopment Multi-block / area redevelopment strategies Field development plans for each field Key features Existing plant debottlenecking Design of new production trains, gas compression system Water and gas management Review of existing operations and documentation (including site evaluation) Large scale redevelopment Nigeria

19 Xodus Develop Global Experience Frontier Exploration
Lamu Oil and Gas Ltd., Kenya, block L1 Frontier Exploration Our experienced and knowledgeable team reacts quickly and advises on appropriate strategies for exploring a frontier block in a timely fashion Project scope Play concepts to be targeted for exploration Review of regional geology and analogues Interpret legacy seismic data and tie with gravity, magnetics and wells Identify contractors for seismic operations Create ITT documents Bid evaluations, negotiations and contractor management 2D seismic design and parameterisation Overall supervision of field operations Processing supervision and QA / QC Seismic interpretation and geological modelling High grading of basin areas (basin modelling) Lead and prospect generation Exploration well proposal Key features Complicated rift and inversion geology Poor quality legacy data (seismic and wells) Sparse data and lack of well control Poorly understood petroleum system Logistically challenging area to acquire new data Time pressure from government as per PSC terms

20 Thank you


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