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National Urban Transformation Training Urban Trends

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Presentation on theme: "National Urban Transformation Training Urban Trends"— Presentation transcript:

1 National Urban Transformation Training Urban Trends
Rev. Dr. J.N. Manokaran, Managing Director TOPIC-India J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

2 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Global crisis Market melt down New American president Terrorism WORLD IS HOT, FLAT AND CROWDED Energy crisis and Environment J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

3 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
World Densest cities: The list is: 1 Mumbai (29650 per sq. km); 2 Kolkata (29650); 3 Karachi (18900); 4 Lagos (18150); 5. Shenzhen (17150); 6. Seoul (16700); 7. Taipei (15200); 8. Chennai (14350); 9. Bagata (13500); 10. Shangai (13400); 11. Lima (11750)’ 12. Beijing (11500); 13 Delhi (11050); 14. Kinsaha (10650); 15. Manila (10550) 16. Tehran (10550) 17. Jakarta (10500) 18. Tianjin (10500); 19. Bangalore (10100) 20. Ho Chi Minh (9450). J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

4 J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
Indian cities J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

5 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 1: Humanity moving to cities, towns: Half of world’s people will live in urban areas 70 per cent will be city dwellers by 2050 there will be 27 ‘megacities’ with at least 10 million population by mid century compared to 19 today Half the urban growth will be in the many smaller cities with less than people. The population is also projected to increase from 6.7 billion to 9.2 billion by 2050. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

6 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
There were 50.3 million urban households in the country in 2000; this rose to 61.5 million in 2005. Six metros: Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai, Kolkata, Bangalore and Hyderabad Eight mini-metros, Ludhiana, Bhubaneswar, Pune, Kochi, Ahmedabad, Jaipur, Patna and Lucknow. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

7 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Tamil Nadu the most urbanised State: 44 per cent of people of Tamil Nadu were living in urban areas. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

8 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Bangalored or Gangtoked? Leaders: Bangalore - Bangalore, National Capital Region of Delhi, Mumbai, Hyderabad, Pune, Chennai and Kolkata. The Challengers: Ahmedabad, Bhuvaneswar, Chandigarh, Chombatore, Indore, Jaipur, Kochi, Lucknow, Madurai, Mangalore, Nagpur, Thiruvananthapuram, Tiruchirapalli, Vadodara, and Vishakapatnam. The followers: Aurangabad, Bhopal, Goa, Gwalior, Hubli-Dharwad, Kanpur, Mysore, Nashik, Pondicherry, Salem, Surat, Vijayawada, and Varanasi. The Aspirants: Allahabad, Dehradun, Durgapur, Gangtok, Guwahati, Ludhiana, Patna, Raipur, Ranchi, Shimla, Siliguri, and Srinagar. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

9 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
India’s Top 25 emerging markets: Kannur, kerala; Kolhapur, Maharashtra; Thirissur, Kerala; Erode, Tamil Nadu; Puducherry; Alappuzha, Kerala; Patiala, Punjab; Ahmednagar, Maharashtra; Sangli, Maharashtra; Kanyakumari, Tamil Nadu; Kollam, Kerala; Gurudaspur; Punjab; Sangrur, Punjab; Panipat, Haryana; Yamunanagar, Haryana; Ambala, Haryana; Shimoga, Karnataka; Rohtak, Haryana; Palakkad, Kerala; Kottayam, Kerala; Karnal, Haryana; Shimla, Himachal Pradesh; Rupnagar, Punjab; Theni, Tamil Nadu; and Namakkal, Tamil Nadu. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

10 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Best Cities for Business: The top cities are: 1. Mumbai, 2. Bangalore, 3. Delhi, 4. Chennai, 5. Hyderabad, 6. Kolkata, 7. Ahmedabad, 8. Pune, (called Mega cities) 9. Surat and 10. Kanpur, 11. Jaipur, 12. Lucknow, 13. Nagpur, 14. Bhopal, 15. Coimbatore, (Called Boom towns) 16. Faridabad, 17. Amritsar, 18. Ludhiana, 19. Chandigarh, and 20. Jalandhar. (Called Niche cities) (Business Today, 7 September 2008, p ) J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

11 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
50 cities seen as hub of retail space boom: The top 15 cities in the list will contribute more than 80 per cent of the total national retail business by Delhi-NCR and Mumbai belong to the “maturing” category. “Transitional cities” include Bangalore, Kolkata, Hyderabad, Pune, Chennai and Ahmedabad. Chandigarh, Jaipur, Ludhiana, Lucknow, Kochi, Surat and Vadodara belong to the third category of “high-growth cities”. “Emerging cities” — Ludiana, Coching, Nagpur, Indore, Nasik, Bhubaneshwar, Vizag, Coimbatore, Mangalore, Mysore and Thiruvananthapuram —The category also includes tourist destinations like Amritsar, Agra and Goa. Cities where both income levels and corporate activities are limited — Patna, Bhopal, Meerut, Asansol, Varanasi, Kolhapur and Sonepat — are termed as “nascent”. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Response Cities are New Mission Frontiers Pastors, missionaries, church planters moving into cities New biblical understanding about cities J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 2: Disparity in the cities increasing Hex and the city: According to the UN report on State of the World’s Cities, Indian cities will witness rising levels of inequality Rich earn four times more than the poorest. One of every three people in cities live in slums. Poor ragpickers clean up 20 per cent of the tonnes of garbage in Delhi – 1 lakh pavement dwellers in Mumbai – Two third of the population lives in slums. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Response Slums increasing Unemployed poor increasing White Tiger? How many read this book? Holistic Missions: Self Help Groups, Community Colleges, Micro-finances J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

15 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 3: Migration an important aspect Human Highways: The 2001 Census 9 million migrated from Uttar Pradesh, 5.5 million migrated from Bihar. In the State of Maharastra, UP and Bihar migrants are 5 million of the total population of 96.9 million. In Mumbai (14 million), 4 million are migrants from UP and Bihar Child labour migrants: Of all migrants in Mumbai city, 22 per cent are child labourers. (The Week 14 January 2007, p.6) Delhi (13 million), where UP-Bihar migrants are 3.8 million. Punjab (24 million) -4 million UP-Bihar migrants there. Assam- (26 million) from UP-Bihar have migrated there. UP-Bihar migrants in Karnataka (52 million) In Bangalore only 34%of the city’s 6 million is Kannadigas. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Response Reaching Migrants – families Reaching students in the hostels Reaching other language groups in the city Models – Nepalis, Sindhis etc. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

17 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 4: Direction of migration keeps changing Migration to city from south falling: The declining number of south Indian migrants into Mumbai city is visible in all places like: Antop Hill, Matunga, Chembur, Mulund and Dombivli . Southern migrants have been replaced by migrants from Uttar Pradesh and Bihar who are making their way to Mumbai in ever-increasing numbers, propelled by the support system provided by friends and relatives already in the city. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Response Understand the winds of change in migration pattern Move where people move Example: Orissa persecution – 5000 people moved into Ernakulam. Plant Oriya church in Ernakulam J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 5: Children are vulnerable in cities Street kids child bonded labour in Mumbai Elite kids years is vulnerable to mental health disorder AIIMS study Urban children not getting enough sleep Training emotional gun on parents – suicide for not purchasing new dress, etc J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Response New Strategies for reaching children Camps, Games Internet based outreach material Magazines, books, cartoons J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 6: Teenagers and Young are rudderless Young million (13-35 age) 17 per cent of the 1.4 million teenage abortions that take place every year in the developing countries happen in India. More specifically, of the approximately 2.45 lakh teenage abortions reported in India every year, happen in Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata and Bangalore. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Response New youth strategies. How do you understand modern and post modern youth? Chetan Bhagat books????? Reaching Post modern youth Reaching Unemployed youth J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 7: Women are oppressed in the city Women – crime against women 540 rapes in 2004, 640 in 2005 in Delhi Dowry deaths – urban phenomenon -50 % University students in Delhi favour dowry - Domestic violence J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Response Women ministries? New Initiatives? New tools? Marrying Anita – Anita Jain???????? J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 8: Family in crisis in the city Divorces – 2 divorces for every 5 marriages in Chennai Live-in-relationships Extra Marital affairs - 12% of married couples below 30 years indulge in extramarital affair a high 35 per cent being open to an office romance A third surveyed saw no harm in romancing a married colleague, while 44% - an affair as strategic move to climb the corporate ladder. Gays/Lesbianism/AIDS/HIV million people affected Working parents have just 30 minutes for kids in India J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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In India, men unable to keep pace with women’s changing role: Four out of five Indian men said they have been part of a group that has made lewd comments to women. That’s according to a recent Hindustan Times survey of 500 men in the age of 20 to 45 from six India’s largest cities. Nearly half the men surveyed felt women at a pub are ‘asking for trouble’. Around 60% of them preferred stay-at-home wives. For every five men, there is one woman who works in an income-generating activity. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

27 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Family counselling Premarital counselling Chennai Transformation Network – Family Track Model J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

28 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 9: Economic growth and more jobs Unemployment in major cities declines: survey: Here are some highlights of the 61st National Sample Survey. The unemployment rate has declined from 4.4% to 3.4% in Class I cities of India. Class I cities have population over one million, Class II – population between and 1 million, Class III with less than The unemployment rate in rural India stands at 2.1 for males and 3.1 for females. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

29 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Market economy and money economy has two different paradigms Inflation Global Boom and Global Gloom J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 10: Ideology politics to Identity politics Closure of industries – no trade unions Slum lords Sons of soil Right wing J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Response Mumbai Assam Bangalore Unrest, violence J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 11: New Urban Spirituality New kind of spirituality Increase in spiritual quest 95% believe in God. 89% believe in the power of prayer Top five spiritual idols are: Vinayaka, Shiva, Krishna, Sai Baba and Jesus. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

33 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Youngsters are more open to spiritual things – but how do they define spirituality New strategies, tools needed J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 12: Postmodernism gaining ground Post modernism – compatible with Hindutva Modernism is being replaced by Postmodernism J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

35 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Using Modernism tools to Postmodernism society will be a failure What are Postmodern tools for evangelism? J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

36 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 13: Crisis of urban identity Identity self – preservation – caste, culture and language Identity in free market economy- consumerism – capacity to consume Not the capacity to contribute but the capacity to consume J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Response Should capacity to consume determine a person’s worth and identity? What are the alternatives? How should that be communicated? J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 14: Lifestyle diseases 'Indian workforce unhealthy': 47% of the workforce overweight 27% were suffering from hypertension 10% were also found to be diabetic. (35 million diabetic in India) 50 per cent of Delhi adults are obese Stress and Suicides: Bangalore is suicide capital: Suicides kill more people than war every year J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

39 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Eye camps…etc. Good to reach urban poor “Fitness Camps”, “Diet Camps”, “Heart diseases check up camps”… Free Gyms in churches for low middle class young people? J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

40 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 15: Health hazard Cities are vulnerable – Dengue, Chikangunya Pollution -12% Hyderabad city drinks water -excess uranium Air pollution, Noise pollution and water pollution J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

41 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Can church be a model? Environment friendly strategies? Water Harvesting in Chennai? J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 16: Technology invades the city Media – FM radio, Internet….. 38 million Internet users & 3.1 million Broad band (Internet is information tool for old, relationship tool for youngsters) Mobile phones – 250 plus million phones Cyber cafes: India is Indians world's third biggest online shoppers: next only to the Turkish and Irish e-shoppers. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

43 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Harness technology for missions Blogs, scraps, walls….what not? J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 17: Violence in the city School children using guns to settle disputes Kidnap and killing of teenagers by friends Road rage “Sudden Provocation” J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Response How can the church respond? J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 18: Victim of terrorism Cities are targets for terrorist attacks Special insurance against terrorist attack has gained market Islam and Hinduism – religions used for terrorism – Malegaon blasts Naxalites - terror J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

47 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Voice for peace and reconciliation J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 19: Right wing ideology inroads in city Saffron Techies: In Bengalure alone, there are 46 IT milans located in different residential areas. A special door-to-door fundraising drive held in Bengaluru over a month in 2007 reportedly raised Rs. 20 lakh for the Vanavasi Kalyan Kendra, a Sangh organization that deal with tribal welfare activities. IT milans in Bengalure are working towards a Sanskrit camp that will be held in the month of November 2008 where 2000 are expected. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

49 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Encourage Christian professionals to be engaged in their own contexts Educate, train and provide tools for them to work in their work places J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

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Trend 20: Entertainment, leisure, eating out Malls, theme parks, restaurants, increased 4 theme parks, 50 lakh visitors: Four theme parks in Chennai are dishing out thrills and spills for action hungry citizens of Chennai who seem to want only more. J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

51 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Gospel + Entertainment = ? Discipleship + Entertainment =? J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC

52 National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Global Urban Vision – Monthly newsletters Send to J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC


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