Population Change in the United States, Texas and Bexar County: Implications for Education, Heath and Socioeconomic Development Steve H. Murdock, Director.

Population Change in the United States, Texas and Bexar County: Implications for Education, Heath and Socioeconomic Development Steve H. Murdock, Director Hobby Center for the Study of Texas and Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology Rice University San Antonio, Texas September 22, 2014

Total Population and Percent Population Change in Texas and the United States, 1850-2010 Total Population Percent Change YearTexasU.S. TexasU.S. 1850 212,592 23,191,876--- 1860 604,215 31,443,321184.235.6 1870 818,579 39,818,44935.526.6 1880 1,591,749 50,155,78394.526.0 1890 2,235,527 62,947,71440.425.5 1900 3,048,710 75,994,57536.420.7 1910 3,896,542 91,972,26627.821.0 1920 4,663,228 105,710,62019.714.9 1930 5,824,715 122,775,04624.916.1 1940 6,414,824 131,669,27510.17.2 1950 7,711,194 150,697,36120.214.5 1960 9,579,677 179,323,17524.219.0 1970 11,196,730 203,302,03116.913.4 1980 14,229,191 226,545,80527.111.4 1990 16,986,510 248,709,87319.49.8 2000 20,851,820 281,421,90622.813.2 2010 25,145,561 308,745,53820.69.7 Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.

4 Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in the United States, 2000-2012 Source: Passel, Jeffrey, D’Vera Cohn, and Anna Gonzalez-Barrera, “Population Decline of Unauthorized Immigrants Stalls, May Have Reversed,” Pew Hispanic Center, September 23, 2013

5 Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in Texas, 2000-2012 Source: Passel, Jeffrey, D’Vera Cohn, and Anna Gonzalez-Barrera, “Population Decline of Unauthorized Immigrants Stalls, May Have Reversed,” Pew Hispanic Center, September 23, 2013

Change 2000-2010 State 2000 Population 2010 PopulationNumericPercent United States281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7 Texas20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6 California33,871,64837,253,9563,382,30810.0 Florida15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6 Georgia8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3 North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4831,486,17018.5 Arizona5,130,6326,392,0171,261,38524.6 Virginia7,078,5158,001,024922,50913.0 Washington5,894,1216,724,540830,41914.1 Colorado4,301,2615,029,196727,93516.9 Nevada1,998,2572,700,551702,29435.1 Ten States in the United States with the Largest Numeric Population Increase 2000-2010 Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Change 2000-2010 State 2000 Population 2010 Population NumericPercent United States281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7 Nevada1,998,2572,700,551702,29435.1 Arizona5,130,6326,392,0171,261,38524.6 Utah2,233,1692,763,885530,71623.8 Idaho1,293,9531,567,582273,62921.1 Texas20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6 North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4831,486,17018.5 Georgia8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3 Florida15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6 Colorado4,301,2615,029,196727,93516.9 South Carolina4,012,0124,625,364613,35215.3 Ten States in the United States with the Largest Percentage Population Increase 2000-2010 Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Ten Largest States in the United States Ranked by Population Size in 2013 StateApril 1, 2000April 1, 2010July 1, 2013 Change 2000-10 Change 2010-13 Numeric% % United States281,421,906308,745,538316,128,839 27,323,6329.7 7,383,3012.4 California33,871,65337,253,95638,332,521 3,382,30310.0 1,078,5652.9 Texas20,851,02825,145,56126,448,193 4,294,53320.6 1,302,6325.2 New York18,977,02619,378,10219,651,127 401,0762.1 273,0251.4 Florida15,982,57118,801,31019,552,860 2,818,73917.6 751,5504.0 Illinois12,419,92712,830,63212,882,135 410,7053.3 51,5030.4 Pennsylvania12,280,54812,702,37912,773,801 421,8313.4 71,4220.6 Ohio11,353,33611,536,50411,570,808 183,1681.6 34,3040.3 Georgia8,186,6539,687,6539,992,167 1,501,00018.3 304,5143.1 Michigan9,938,8239,883,6409,895,622 -55,183-0.6 11,9820.1 North Carolina8,046,3469,535,4839,848,060 1,489,13718.5 312,5773.3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

Ten States in the United States with the Largest Numeric Population Increase, 2010-2013 StateApril 1, 2000April 1, 2010July 1, 2013 Change 2000-10 Change 2010-13 Numeric% % United States281,421,906308,745,538316,128,839 27,323,6329.7 7,383,3012.4 Texas20,851,82025,145,56126,448,193 4,293,74120.6 1,302,6325.2 California33,871,64837,253,95638,332,521 3,382,30810.0 1,078,5652.9 Florida15,982,37818,801,31019,552,860 2,818,93217.6 751,5504.0 North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4839,848,060 1,486,17018.5 312,5773.3 Colorado4,301,2615,029,1965,268,367 727,93516.9 239,1714.8 Georgia8,186,4539,687,6539,992,167 1,501,20018.3 304,5143.1 Washington5,894,1216,724,5406,971,406 830,41914.1 246,8663.7 Arizona5,130,6326,392,0176,626,624 1,261,38524.6 234,6073.7 New York18,977,02619,378,10219,651,127 401,0762.1 273,0251.4 Virginia7,078,5158,001,0248,260,405 922,50913.0 259,3813.2 Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

StateApril 1, 2000April 1, 2010July 1, 2013 Change 2000-10 Change 2010-13 Numeric% % United States281,421,906308,745,538316,128,839 27,323,6329.7 7,383,3012.4 North Dakota642,237672,591723,393 30,3544.7 50,8027.6 Texas20,851,02825,145,56126,448,193 4,294,53320.6 1,302,6325.2 Utah2,233,1832,763,8852,900,872 530,70223.8 136,9875.0 Colorado4,302,0865,029,1965,268,367 727,11016.9 239,1714.8 Florida15,982,57118,801,31019,552,860 2,818,73917.6 751,5504.0 South Dakota754,858814,180844,877 59,3227.9 30,6973.8 Arizona5,130,2476,392,0176,626,624 1,261,77024.6 234,6073.7 Washington5,894,2816,724,5406,971,406 830,25914.1 246,8663.7 Alaska626,933710,231735,132 83,29813.3 24,9013.5 Wyoming493,786563,626582,658 69,84014.1 19,0323.4 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Ten States in the United States with the Largest Percentage Population Increase, 2010-2013

11 Population and Population Change for Texas and the Twenty Largest Counties in Texas in 2013 Population.Change 2000 - 2010Change 2010 - 2013* County200020102013NumericPercentNumericPercent Texas20,851,02825,145,56126,448,1934,294,53320.61,302,6325.2 Harris County3,401,1394,093,1654,336,853691,32020.3243,6886.0 Dallas County2,216,8082,367,6362,480,331151,3316.8112,6954.8 Tarrant County1,449,2901,809,5371,911,541359,74424.8102,0045.6 Bexar County1,393,0351,714,7741,817,610321,73823.1102,8366.0 Travis County811,7761,024,3311,120,954212,49026.296,6239.4 Collin County491,272782,351854,778291,06959.272,4279.3 El Paso County679,568800,647827,718121,07917.827,0713.4 Hidalgo County569,099774,769815,996205,67036.141,2275.3 Denton County433,065662,604728,799229,54953.066,19510.0 Fort Bend County354,286584,686652,365231,08965.267,67911.6 Montgomery County293,779455,760499,137161,96755.143,3779.5 Williamson County250,466422,617471,014172,21368.848,39711.5 Cameron County334,884406,220417,27671,33621.311,0562.7 Nueces County313,512340,223352,10726,7118.511,8843.5 Brazoria County241,805313,137330,24271,36129.517,1055.5 Bell County238,000310,235326,84372,23530.416,6085.4 Galveston County250,178291,307306,78241,13116.415,4755.3 Lubbock County242,644278,831289,32436,18714.910,4933.8 Webb County193,124250,304262,49557,18029.612,1914.9 Jefferson County251,968252,273252,3583050.1850.0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and 2000-2010 Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 Population.Change 2000 - 2010Change 2010 - 2013* County200020102013NumericPercentNumericPercent Harris County3,401,1394,093,1654,336,853691,32020.3243,6886.0 Dallas County2,216,8082,367,6362,480,331151,3316.8112,6954.8 Bexar County1,393,0351,714,7741,817,610321,73823.1102,8366.0 Tarrant County1,449,2901,809,5371,911,541359,74424.8102,0045.6 Travis County811,7761,024,3311,120,954212,49026.296,6239.4 Collin County491,272782,351854,778291,06959.272,4279.3 Fort Bend County354,286584,686652,365231,08965.267,67911.6 Denton County433,065662,604728,799229,54953.066,19510.0 Williamson County250,466422,617471,014172,21368.848,39711.5 Montgomery County293,779455,760499,137161,96755.143,3779.5 Hidalgo County569,099774,769815,996205,67036.141,2275.3 El Paso County679,568800,647827,718121,07917.827,0713.4 Hays County97,918157,112176,02659,18960.418,91412.0 Brazoria County241,805313,137330,24271,36129.517,1055.5 Bell County238,000310,235326,84372,23530.416,6085.4 Galveston County250,178291,307306,78241,13116.415,4755.3 Midland County116,034136,870151,46820,83818.014,59810.7 Ector County121,124137,132149,37816,00613.212,2468.9 Webb County193,124250,304262,49557,18029.612,1914.9 Nueces County313,512340,223352,10726,7118.511,8843.5 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and 2000-2010 Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

13 Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Percentage Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 Population.Change 2000 - 2010Change 2010 - 2013* County200020102013NumericPercentNumericPercent Loving County6782951522.41315.9 Andrews County13,00214,78616,7991,78413.72,01313.6 Kendall County23,79333,41037,7669,61740.44,35613.0 Hays County97,918157,112176,02659,18960.418,91412.0 Fort Bend County354,286584,686652,365231,08965.267,67911.6 Williamson County250,466422,617471,014172,21368.848,39711.5 Martin County4,7464,7995,312531.151310.7 Midland County116,034136,870151,46820,83818.014,59810.7 Denton County433,065662,604728,799229,54953.066,19510.0 Montgomery County293,779455,760499,137161,96755.143,3779.5 Travis County811,7761,024,3311,120,954212,49026.296,6239.4 Collin County491,272782,351854,778291,06959.272,4279.3 Comal County78,022108,472118,48030,45039.010,0089.2 Hemphill County3,3533,8074,15845413.53519.2 Crane County3,9964,3754,7733799.53989.1 Dimmit County10,2059,99610,897-209-2.09019.0 Ector County121,124137,132149,37816,00613.212,2468.9 Guadalupe County88,856131,537143,18342,67748.011,6468.9 Rockwall County43,02378,33785,24535,31482.16,9088.8 McMullen County847707764-140-16.5578.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and 2000-2010 Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Texas Regional Councils of Governments

Councils of Governments in Texas Ranked by Total Population in 2010: Total Population in 2000 and 2010; Numeric and Percent Change, 2000-2010; and Percent of the State Population (2010) and State Population Change Total PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of State Council of Government20002010Numeric% Population 2010 Change, 2000-10 North Central Texas5,309,2776,539,9501,230,67323.226.028.7 Houston-Galveston4,854,4546,087,1331,232,67925.424.228.7 Alamo Area1,807,8682,249,011441,14324.48.910.3 Capital Area1,346,8331,830,003483,17035.97.311.3 Lower Rio Grande Valley924,7721,203,123278,35130.14.86.5 East Texas745,180829,74984,56911.33.32.0 Rio Grande704,318825,913121,59517.33.32.8 Coastal Bend549,012571,98722,9754.22.30.5 Central Texas374,518449,64175,12320.11.81.7 Panhandle402,862427,92725,0656.21.70.6 Permian Basin376,672417,67941,00710.91.71.0 South Plains377,871411,65933,7888.91.60.8 South East Texas385,090388,7453,6550.91.50.1 Deep East Texas355,862378,47722,6156.41.50.5 Heart of Texas321,536349,27327,7378.61.40.6 South Texas264,177330,59066,41325.11.31.5 West Central Texas324,901327,3902,4890.81.30.1 Brazos Valley267,085319,44752,36219.61.31.2 Ark-Tex270,468281,94711,4794.21.10.3 Nortex224,366222,860-1,506-0.70.90.0 Texoma178,200193,22915,0298.40.80.4 Golden Crescent183,905188,6264,7212.60.80.1 Middle Rio Grande154,381167,01012,6298.20.70.3 Concho Valley148,212154,1925,9804.00.60.1 State of Texas20,851,81825,145,5614,293,74120.6100.0

Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas

Total Population in 2000 and 2010 in Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Texas Ranked by Numerical Change, 2000 to 2010 Total Population Change Metropolitan Statistical Area20002010Numeric% Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown4,715,4075,946,8001,231,39326.1 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington5,161,5446,371,7731,210,22923.4 Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos1,249,7631,716,289466,52637.3 San Antonio-New Braunfels1,711,7032,142,508430,80525.2 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission569,463774,769205,30636.1 El Paso679,622800,647121,02517.8 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood330,714405,30074,58622.6 Brownsville-Harlingen335,227406,22070,99321.2 Laredo193,117250,30457,18729.6 College Station-Bryan184,885228,66043,77523.7 Lubbock249,700284,89035,19014.1 Tyler174,706209,71435,00820.0 Corpus Christi403,280428,18524,9056.2 Amarillo226,522249,88123,35910.3 Waco213,517234,90621,38910.0 Midland116,009136,87220,86318.0 Longview194,042214,36920,32710.5 Odessa121,123137,13016,00713.2 Sherman-Denison110,595120,87710,2829.3 San Angelo105,781111,8236,0425.7 Abilene160,245162,2525,0073.1 Victoria111,663115,3843,7213.3 Texarkana*89,30692,5653,2593.6 Beaumont-Port Arthur385,090388,7453,6550.9 Wichita Falls151,524151,306-218-0.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau *Reflects total population for Texas portion of MSA only.

Population, Population Change, and Percent Change in Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas by Numeric Change, April 1, 2010 and July 1, 2012 Geographic AreaApril 1, 2010July 1, 2012NumericPercent Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington6,426,2146,700,991274,7774.3 Houston-Woodlands-Sugar Land5,920,4166,177,035256,6194.3 Austin-Round Rock1,716,2891,834,303118,0146.9 San Antonio-New Braunfels2,142,5082,234,00391,4954.3 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission774,769806,55231,7834.1 El Paso804,123830,73526,6123.3 Killeen-Temple405,300420,37515,0753.7 Midland141,671151,6629,9917.1 Brownsville-Harlingen406,220415,5579,3372.3 Corpus Christi428,185437,1098,9242.1 Laredo250,304259,1728,8683.5 Odessa137,130144,3257,1955.2 Lubbock290,805297,6696,8642.4 College Station-Bryan228,660234,5015,8412.6 Amarillo251,933257,5785,6452.2 Tyler209,714214,8215,1072.4 Waco252,772256,3173,5451.4 San Angelo111,823114,8543,0312.7 Victoria94,00396,6202,6172.8 Longview214,369216,6792,3101.1 Abilene165,252166,9631,7111.0 Sherman-Denison120,877121,9351,0580.9 Beaumont-Port Arthur403,190404,1809900.2 Texarkana-Texarkana, AR149,198149,7015030.3 Wichita Falls151,306150,829-477-0.3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division Note: Metropolitan Statistical Areas as defined by U.S. OMB, Feb. 2013.

PopulationChange 2000 - 2010Change 2010 - 2013* County200020102013NumericPercentNumericPercent Loving6782951522.41315.9 Andrews13,00214,78616,7991,78413.72,01313.6 Kendall23,79333,41037,7669,61740.44,35613.0 Hays97,918157,112176,02659,18960.418,91412.0 Fort Bend354,286584,686652,365231,08965.267,67911.6 Williamson250,466422,617471,014172,21368.848,39711.5 Martin4,7464,7995,312531.151310.7 Midland116,034136,870151,46820,83818.014,59810.7 Denton433,065662,604728,799229,54953.066,19510.0 Montgomery293,779455,760499,137161,96755.143,3779.5 Travis811,7761,024,3311,120,954212,49026.296,6239.4 Collin491,272782,351854,778291,06959.272,4279.3 Comal78,022108,472118,48030,45039.010,0089.2 Hemphill3,3533,8074,15845413.53519.2 Crane3,9964,3754,7733799.53989.1 Dimmit10,2059,99610,897-209-2.09019.0 Ector121,124137,132149,37816,00613.212,2468.9 Guadalupe88,856131,537143,18342,67748.011,6468.9 Rockwall43,02378,33785,24535,31482.16,9088.8 McMullen847707764-140-16.5578.1 *Midland, Ector and Adjacent Counties in bold. *39 Months of Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013. Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Percentage Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 Population Estimates. Population Change in Texas Counties, April 1, 2010 – July 1, 2012

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White10,933,31311,397,345464,0324.210.8 52.4 45.3 Hispanic (All Races)6,669,6669,460,9212,791,25541.865.0 32.0 37.6 NH Black2,364,2552,886,825522,57022.112.2 11.3 11.5 NH Asian554,445948,426393,98171.19.2 2.7 3.8 NH Other330,141452,044121,90336.92.8 1.6 1.8 Total20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population 18 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White8,426,1669,074,684648,5187.719.6 56.3 49.6 Hispanic (All Races)4,282,9016,143,1441,860,24343.456.1 28.6 33.6 NH Black1,631,4482,076,282444,83427.313.4 10.9 11.4 NH Asian415,219716,968301,74972.79.1 2.8 3.9 NH Other209,327268,65959,33228.31.8 1.4 1.5 Total14,965,06118,279,7373,314,67622.1 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White2,507,1472,322,661-184,486-7.4-18.8 42.6 33.8 Hispanic (All Races)2,386,7653,317,777931,01239.095.1 40.5 48.3 NH Black732,807810,54377,73610.67.9 12.4 11.8 NH Asian139,226231,45892,23266.29.4 2.4 3.4 NH Other120,814183,38562,57151.86.4 2.1 2.7 Total5,886,7596,865,824979,06516.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171 Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change20002010 NH White194,552,774196,817,5522,264,7781.28.369.163.7 Hispanic (All Races)35,305,81850,477,59415,171,77643.055.512.516.3 NH Black33,947,83737,685,8483,738,01111.013.712.112.2 NH Asian10,123,16914,465,1244,341,95542.915.93.64.7 NH Other7,492,3089,299,4201,807,11224.16.62.73.0 Total281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7100.0

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171 Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population 18 and Older by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change20002010 NH White150,525,687157,100,9906,575,3034.425.972.067.0 Hispanic (All Races)22,963,55933,346,70310,383,14445.240.811.014.2 NH Black23,337,57327,323,6653,986,09217.115.711.211.6 NH Asian7,702,89511,288,9953,586,10046.614.13.74.8 NH Other4,598,3805,503,718905,33819.73.62.22.3 Total209,128,094234,564,07125,435,97712.2100.0

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171 Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change20002010 NH White44,027,08739,716,562-4,310,525-9.8-228.460.953.5 Hispanic (All Races)12,342,25917,130,8914,788,63238.8253.717.123.1 NH Black10,610,26410,362,183-248,081-2.3-13.114.714.0 NH Asian2,420,2743,176,129755,85531.240.03.34.3 NH Other2,893,9283,795,702901,77431.247.84.05.1 Total72,293,81274,181,4671,887,6552.6100.0

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White161,723182,346 20,62312.817.5 51.041.9 NH Black28,86232,637 3,77513.13.2 9.17.5 Hispanic109,686185,913 76,22769.564.8 34.642.8 NH Asian & Other16,75133,864 17,113102.214.5 5.37.8 Total317,022434,760 117,73837.1100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White596,579756,128 159,54926.745.8 63.959.0 NH Black67,88487,873 19,98929.45.7 7.36.9 Hispanic218,074352,400 134,32661.638.5 23.427.5 NH Asian & Other50,20485,128 34,92469.610.0 5.46.6 Total932,7411,281,529 348,78837.4100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White758,302938,474 180,17223.838.6 60.754.7 NH Black96,746120,510 23,76424.65.1 7.77.0 Hispanic327,760538,313 210,55364.245.1 26.231.4 NH Asian & Other66,955118,992 52,03777.711.2 5.46.9 Total1,249,7631,716,289 466,52637.3100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White735,112699,178 -35,934-4.9-11.1 50.239.1 NH Black227,185277,206 50,02122.015.4 15.615.5 Hispanic410,193661,960 251,76761.477.5 28.137.1 NH Asian & Other88,486147,481 58,99566.718.2 6.18.3 Total1,460,9761,785,825 324,84922.2100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White2,346,6222,549,331 202,7098.622.6 62.755.0 NH Black480,305664,393 184,08838.320.5 12.814.3 Hispanic711,2491,096,778 385,52954.243.0 19.023.6 NH Asian & Other204,974329,887 124,91360.913.9 5.57.1 Total3,743,1504,640,389 897,23924.0100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White3,081,7343,248,509 166,7755.413.6 59.350.5 NH Black707,490941,599 234,10933.119.2 13.614.7 Hispanic1,121,4421,758,738 637,29656.852.2 21.527.4 NH Asian & Other293,460477,368 183,90862.715.0 5.67.4 Total5,204,1266,426,214 1,222,08823.5100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White542,563494,054 -48,509-8.9-16.5 39.829.8 NH Black244,702282,991 38,28915.613.0 18.017.1 Hispanic489,495744,227 254,73252.086.8 35.945.0 NH Asian & Other85,634134,692 49,05857.316.7 6.38.1 Total1,362,3941,655,964 293,57021.5100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White1,714,2941,846,214 131,9207.714.1 51.543.3 NH Black536,457713,230 176,77333.018.9 16.116.7 Hispanic862,8981,352,305 489,40756.752.5 25.931.7 NH Asian & Other217,118352,703 135,58562.414.5 6.58.3 Total3,330,7674,264,452 933,68528.0100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White2,256,8572,340,268 83,4113.76.8 48.139.6 NH Black781,159996,221 215,06227.517.5 16.616.8 Hispanic1,352,3932,096,532 744,13955.060.7 28.835.4 NH Asian & Other302,752487,395 184,64361.015.0 6.58.2 Total4,693,1615,920,416 1,227,25526.1100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White151,728148,028 -3,700-2.4-4.1 31.225.7 NH Black30,00733,517 3,51011.73.9 6.25.8 Hispanic289,103370,886 81,78328.390.9 59.664.5 NH Asian & Other14,78423,139 8,35556.59.3 3.04.0 Total485,622575,570 89,94818.5100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White544,588625,779 81,19114.923.8 44.439.9 NH Black72,43496,553 24,11933.37.1 5.96.2 Hispanic574,059787,262 213,20337.162.5 46.850.2 NH Asian & Other35,00057,344 22,34463.86.6 2.93.7 Total1,226,0811,566,938 340,85727.8100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White696,316773,807 77,49111.118.0 40.736.1 NH Black102,441130,070 27,62927.06.4 6.06.1 Hispanic863,1621,158,148 294,98634.268.5 50.454.0 NH Asian & Other49,78480,483 30,69961.77.1 2.93.8 Total1,711,7032,142,508 430,80525.2100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000

Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2010

Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2040*

Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000

POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 19992010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White16,026,5428.3$59,22121,831,92810.8$53,988 Hispanic (All Races)7,797,87422.6$44,07912,583,54224.8$40,165 Black7,970,16524.8$38,54110,270,22927.1$33,568 Asian1,241,29112.6$68,0201,806,21712.4$67,142 Total33,899,81212.4$54,966 47,330,50215.3$50,046 *In 2010 Dollars. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 19992010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White856,0557.9$61,5421,111,2519.5$59,517 Hispanic (All Races)1,658,43425.4$39,1012,555,08026.8$37,087 Black515,85923.3$38,378717,45824.7$35,674 Asian63,59811.7$65,633120,60112.6$64,191 Total3,117,60915.4$52,260 4,521,02317.9$48,615 *In 2010 Dollars. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 52,9957.0$70,30787,6399.3$64,893 Hispanic (All Races) 57,89718.1$50,599139,33325.6$39,843 NH Black 15,93217.8$47,13029,90424.4$38,465 Asian 6,50215.6$64,80111,35213.9$67,317 Total 134,58911.1$63,905 274,80115.9$55,744 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 168,3995.5$72,291234,2447.3$66,611 Hispanic (All Races) 219,00619.9$46,782419,02423.7$40,083 NH Black 134,47419.7$43,070220,86723.6$37,539 Asian 19,16510.0$72,04937,44111.0$70,006 Total 547,38510.8$63,245 934,82714.6$54,449 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 142,9066.2$73,353167,5937.1$72,480 Hispanic (All Races) 294,48422.0$43,087533,71625.2$40,972 NH Black 167,27122.0$41,210223,99022.2$39,638 Asian 25,33811.4$67,70250,73212.9$67,333 Total 635,34913.7$58,497 986,22016.5$53,942 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 47,8706.9$63,32957,4967.4$63,067 Hispanic (All Races) 182,88221.5$40,849258,42122.1$41,439 NH Black 17,94119.0$42,45724,35418.5$39,004 Asian 2,2779.8$53,0324,77811.1$56,056 Total 252,31115.1$51,091 351,73716.3$50,225 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over, United States, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More Non-Hispanic White 141,698,7509.329.230.131.4 Hispanic* 27,313,99637.826.522.713.0 Black 23,049,27417.931.832.417.9 Asian 9,879,43314.516.019.550.0 Other 2,347,48015.229.733.821.3 Total204,288,93314.428.528.928.2 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More Non-Hispanic White 8,212,3038.025.332.634.1 Hispanic* 5,063,77940.425.822.211.6 Black 1,762,15413.730.336.319.7 Asian 632,82614.315.218.552.0 Other 101,0609.323.146.920.8 Total15,772,12219.325.629.225.9 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White663,6753.617.730.248.6 NH Black72,63911.425.540.922.2 Hispanic282,85135.125.521.717.7 Asian52,5188.010.716.864.6 NH Other18,0513.223.438.637.1 Total1,089,73412.520.028.239.4 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White2,267,9686.422.332.438.9 NH Black567,12111.829.336.222.7 Hispanic894,96045.924.219.110.8 Asian224,53613.416.116.953.7 NH Other66,71710.018.637.933.6 Total4,021,30216.423.329.231.1 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White1,690,3886.622.831.838.7 NH Black613,99811.928.437.522.2 Hispanic1,120,68144.225.319.611.0 Asian265,70915.315.419.649.7 NH Other47,5029.719.438.633.5 Total3,738,27819.423.928.328.4 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White563,0816.221.833.838.2 NH Black82,63811.123.141.424.3 Hispanic662,34428.429.628.713.4 Asian29,91613.114.823.848.3 NH Other16,4955.618.638.034.3 Total1,354,47417.525.531.625.4 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

PROJECTIONS Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: Census 2010 and Projected for 2020 to 2060 Year (Resident population as of July 1, Number in thousands) Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race) Total White aloneBlack aloneAsian alone All other races 2010196,81837,68614,4659,29950,478308,746 2020199,31241,77618,24610,77863,784333,896 2030198,81845,45222,04413,50278,655358,471 2040193,88748,76925,88116,60394,876380,016 2050186,33451,98829,58320,166111,732399,803 2060178,95255,30233,10624,128128,780420,268 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections

Numeric Change in U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060 (in millions)

Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060

Age Distribution of the U.S. Population: Census 2010 and Projected 2020 to 2060 Age Group (Percent of total resident population as of July 1) 201020202030204020502060 Under 5 years6.5 6.26.16.05.9 5 to 19 years20.418.818.618.117.817.7 20 to 44 years33.633.032.331.531.631.3 45 to 64 years26.424.922.623.323.723.2 65 years and over13.116.820.321.020.921.9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections

Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population : 2010 Age Group Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1 Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race) Total White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races Total 63.812.24.73.016.3100.0 Under 5 years 50.813.64.36.025.3100.0 5 to 17 years 54.514.14.34.822.3100.0 18 to 24 years 57.114.34.93.620.1100.0 25 to 44 years 59.612.65.92.719.2100.0 45 to 64 years 71.711.34.42.010.6100.0 65 years and over 80.08.43.41.36.9100.0 Elderly Age Groups 65 to 74 years 78.09.13.81.57.6100.0 75 to 84 years 81.27.83.21.26.6100.0 85 years and over 84.96.82.50.94.9100.0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census

Projected Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population: 2060 Age Group Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1 Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race)Total White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races Total 42.613.27.95.730.6100.0 Under 5 years 30.913.06.69.939.6100.0 5 to 17 years 33.613.26.89.037.4100.0 18 to 24 years 35.813.27.27.736.1100.0 25 to 44 years 39.013.58.56.033.0100.0 45 to 64 years 45.313.48.74.428.2100.0 65 years and over 55.812.57.72.721.3100.0 Elderly Age Groups 65 to 74 years 52.513.68.03.122.8100.0 75 to 84 years 56.711.77.92.521.2100.0 85 years and over 62.710.96.72.117.6100.0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 National Projections

Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration 77 YearNH 1 WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other 2 Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 201011,397,3452,886,8259,460,9211,400,47025,145,561 2020 11,576,5953,122,63711,137,6721,536,69327,373,597 2030 11,501,0203,280,94112,869,7531,638,24929,289,963 2040 11,182,5763,355,50014,570,8511,714,23230,823,159 2050 10,766,6223,366,52816,191,1501,728,20632,052,506 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 201011,397,3452,886,8259,460,9211,400,47025,145,561 2020 11,752,5303,295,19812,031,0591,825,13028,903,917 2030 11,850,1803,658,99715,082,0582,309,76332,900,998 2040 11,676,1573,951,90918,489,8032,881,52536,999,394 2050 11,376,5764,182,15522,268,3903,483,17841,310,299 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 201011,397,3452,886,8259,460,9211,400,47025,145,561 2020 11,931,8153,477,92813,003,1592,170,40930,583,311 2030 12,211,6644,080,45317,702,1323,288,53637,282,785 2040 12,194,1514,653,72523,514,9744,953,86145,316,711 2050 12,024,9135,195,86130,701,2087,283,54855,205,530 1 NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

Percent of the Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Through 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration for the State of Texas Year NH 1 WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other 2 Total Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0) 201045.311.537.6 5.6100.0 2020 42.311.440.7 5.6100.0 2030 39.311.243.9 5.6100.0 2040 36.310.947.2 5.6100.0 2050 33.610.550.5 5.4100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (Scenario 0.5) 201045.311.537.6 5.6100.0 2020 40.711.441.6 6.3100.0 2030 36.011.145.8 7.1100.0 2040 31.610.750.0 7.7100.0 2050 27.510.253.9 8.4100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (Scenario 1.0) 201045.311.537.6 5.6100.0 2020 39.011.442.5 7.1100.0 2030 32.810.947.5 8.8100.0 2040 26.910.351.910.9100.0 2050 21.89.455.613.2100.0 1 NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

Percent of Net Change in Population from 2010 to 2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for State of Texas 79 Race/EthnicityNumberPercent Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0) NH 1 White -630,723-9.1 NH Black 479,7036.9 Hispanic 6,730,22997.4 NH Asian & Other 2 327,7364.8 Total 6,906,945100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (Scenario 0.5) NH White -20,769-0.1 NH Black 1,295,3308.0 Hispanic 12,807,46979.2 NH Asian & Other 2,082,70812.9 Total 16,164,738100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (Scenario 1.0) NH White 627,5682.1 NH Black 2,309,0367.7 Hispanic 21,240,28770.7 NH Asian & Other 5,883,07819.5 Total 30,059,969100.0 1 NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0) 80 AgeNH 1 WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other 2 Total 2010 <1820.428.135.129.627.3 18-248.711.211.710.2 25-4425.729.130.132.328.2 45-6429.824.017.521.424.0 65+15.47.65.66.510.3 2030 <18 19.323.429.721.724.9 18-24 7.59.610.811.59.6 25-44 23.027.229.931.627.5 45-64 24.324.219.824.122.2 65+ 25.915.69.811.115.8 2050 <18 18.220.727.321.924.0 18-24 7.48.910.68.69.4 25-44 23.025.527.830.526.9 45-64 23.725.621.424.922.8 65+ 27.719.312.914.116.9 1 NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0) 81 AgeNH 1 WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other 2 Total 2010 <18 33.811.848.36.0100.0 18-24 38.712.643.25.5100.0 25-44 41.511.940.26.4100.0 45-64 56.111.527.45.0100.0 65+ 67.68.420.53.5100.0 2030 <18 25.410.356.67.7100.0 18-24 25.510.953.010.6100.0 25-44 27.310.851.710.1100.0 45-64 36.012.042.49.6100.0 65+ 53.610.829.46.2100.0 2050 <18 16.58.163.412.0100.0 18-24 17.18.962.012.0100.0 25-44 18.68.957.515.0100.0 45-64 22.710.552.414.4100.0 65+ 35.710.842.511.0100.0 1 NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

82 Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2010 82

Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2050* 83 * Assuming rates of net migration equal to 2000-2010

Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Harris County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 1,349,646754,2581,671,540317,0154,092,459 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 1,370,357819,9031,994,717347,7984,532,775 2030 1,342,716858,7772,316,580363,9464,882,019 2040 1,278,423876,1372,643,875371,1765,169,611 2050 1,198,102876,4752,946,940370,5875,392,104 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 1,313,873840,3362,153,854400,8564,708,919 2030 1,232,849901,5762,698,721482,6255,315,771 2040 1,118,087934,3263,289,505563,9005,905,818 2050 998,149945,4313,909,739646,5306,499,849 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 1,255,205856,1982,319,477459,0924,889,972 2030 1,113,765921,9463,099,887637,3625,772,960 2040 944,770935,9823,927,987851,4056,660,144 2050 784,522905,3824,767,4311,115,1387,572,473 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Harris County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 33.018.440.87.7100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 30.218.144.07.7100.0 2030 27.517.647.57.5100.0 2040 24.716.951.17.2100.0 2050 22.216.354.76.9100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 27.917.845.78.5100.0 2030 23.217.050.89.1100.0 2040 18.915.855.79.5100.0 2050 15.414.560.29.9100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 25.717.547.49.4100.0 2030 19.316.053.711.0100.0 2040 14.214.159.012.8100.0 2050 10.412.063.014.7100.0 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 784,693518,732905,940158,7742,368,139 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 785,498570,1531,107,349177,1052,640,105 2030 753,645605,3551,318,991186,8732,864,864 2040 701,895627,7561,545,129193,6733,068,453 2050 648,778640,5421,772,394196,0913,257,805 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 701,757581,4091,155,350198,5372,637,053 2030 597,468627,9101,435,586231,3332,892,297 2040 491,394656,5131,742,378264,0463,154,331 2050 401,233671,5392,070,126295,8843,438,782 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 624,417588,7601,201,188221,7012,636,066 2030 464,572634,1001,538,137285,9432,922,752 2040 329,773645,2781,881,934358,3413,215,326 2050 231,828625,4572,221,784443,1213,522,190 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 33.121.938.36.7100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 29.821.641.96.7100.0 2030 26.321.146.06.5100.0 2040 22.920.550.46.3100.0 2050 19.919.754.46.0100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 26.622.043.87.5100.0 2030 20.721.749.68.0100.0 2040 15.620.855.28.4100.0 2050 11.719.560.28.6100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 23.722.345.68.4100.0 2030 15.921.752.69.8100.0 2040 10.320.158.511.1100.0 2050 6.617.863.112.6100.0 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Bexar County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010519,123118,4601,006,95870,2321,714,773 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 528,196128,5491,146,27477,1631,880,182 2030 520,278135,5081,276,11281,8622,013,760 2040 501,507139,7061,389,46184,6282,115,302 2050 481,423143,0291,486,50084,6922,195,644 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 525,902136,2291,217,70994,2011,974,041 2030 516,916152,3901,439,718122,5262,231,550 2040 493,614165,6721,654,245154,7232,468,254 2050 469,414177,6101,860,268188,3762,695,668 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 522,129143,4641,285,885114,3712,065,849 2030 505,748166,4951,590,232183,9922,446,467 2040 469,453184,4641,875,503287,6472,817,067 2050 432,051195,9312,122,756430,0443,180,782 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Bexar County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 30.36.958.74.1100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 28.16.861.04.1100.0 2030 25.86.763.44.1100.0 2040 23.76.665.74.0100.0 2050 21.96.567.73.9100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 26.66.961.74.8100.0 2030 23.26.864.55.5100.0 2040 20.06.767.06.3100.0 2050 17.46.669.07.0100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 25.36.962.25.5100.0 2030 20.76.865.07.5100.0 2040 16.76.566.610.2100.0 2050 13.66.266.713.5100.0 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Travis County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010517,64482,805342,76681,0511,024,266 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 542,46788,465411,77190,1501,132,853 2030 536,21591,785478,73495,6891,202,423 2040 513,78092,461549,628100,4351,256,304 2050 486,48791,175616,939102,8021,297,403 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 564,58190,350439,296106,6561,200,883 2030 573,84195,516545,978132,8721,348,207 2040 558,25597,481666,649162,4691,484,854 2050 545,61496,850794,234194,2661,630,964 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 588,72191,589467,601125,3491,273,260 2030 614,74096,704614,488182,7101,508,642 2040 598,42596,434777,758260,2431,732,860 2050 591,90691,337944,620362,9571,990,820 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Travis County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 201050.58.133.57.9100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 47.97.836.38.0100.0 2030 44.67.639.88.0100.0 2040 40.97.443.78.0100.0 2050 37.57.047.67.9100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 47.07.536.68.9100.0 2030 42.67.140.59.9100.0 2040 37.66.644.910.9100.0 2050 33.55.948.711.9100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 46.27.236.79.8100.0 2030 40.76.440.712.1100.0 2040 34.55.644.915.0100.0 2050 29.74.647.418.2100.0 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

EDUCATION

Education Level Is Related to Employment and Earnings Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, June 2013/first quarter 2013 93 Unemployment Rate Median Weekly Earnings Median: $827 Overall Unemployment Rate: 7.6%

Mean Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, Educational Attainment, and Occupation In Texas in 2010 Occupations Less Than High School /GED Bachelor's Degree Graduate/ Prof Degree NH White Managerial & Professional$ 72,446$ 84,504$ 120,792$ 149,819 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 52,930 64,179 112,843 130,471 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 55,079 68,247 94,875 119,057 Operatives and Laborers 48,819 61,211 77,581 89,720 Total 50,533 64,975 114,698 144,714 NH Black Managerial & Professional$ 47,483$ 52,186$ 84,758$ 99,073 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 33,980 43,933 75,416 80,852 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 42,767 53,192 82,885 69,805 Operatives and Laborers 37,811 46,296 66,181 63,707 Total 31,072 42,465 78,933 94,490 Hispanic Managerial & Professional$ 52,178$ 61,992$ 88,036$ 116,400 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 40,131 50,127 81,005 91,155 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 42,302 51,527 63,695 63,345 Operatives and Laborers 41,273 47,455 54,282 57,806 Total 38,221 47,760 81,548 108,473 NH Asian & Other Managerial & Professional$ 84,172$ 73,016$ 103,737$ 130,603 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 52,764 60,719 86,039 105,469 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 54,594 63,451 70,778 92,041 Operatives and Laborers 47,939 49,015 60,895 65,074 Total 50,815 55,496 93,474 123,035 Source: Ruggles et al. 2010; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2010 Public Use Microdata Sample, 2011.

Percent of Population 25 Years of Age and Older in Texas Who Are High School Graduates and Higher or College Graduates and Higher by Race/Ethnicity, 1990-2010 Educational Attainment Level NH White*NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal 1990 High School and Higher81.566.244.679.172.1 College and Higher25.212.07.341.320.3 2000 High School and Higher87.275.849.380.775.7 College and Higher30.015.38.947.823.2 2010 High School and Higher92.086.459.687.180.7 College and Higher34.119.711.646.025.9 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, Census 2000, Summary File 3, Census of Population and Housing, 1990: Summary Tape File 3, 2012, 2002, 1990, 1991.

General Revenue Expenditures (in $2010) for Texas Public Elementary and Secondary Schools, Selected Education Programs, and Public Colleges and Universities, and Percent Change in Expenditures, 2000 and 2010 Expenditures Percent Change 2000-2010 20002010 ProgramTotal Per Student Total Per Student Total Per Student Total Elementary and Secondary$29,237,537,256$7,308$36,491,096,511$7,527.2824.83.0 Bilingual/ESL747,953,8271,5091,295,663,0241,66273.210.1 Gifted and Talented311,414,735930418,034,6781,13634.222.2 Special Education2,202,643,4054,5134,800,227,93310,779117.9138.8 Career and Technology Education*717,482,3749691,009,165,94298240.71.4 Total Public Colleges and Public Universities3,406,851,6074,079 3,746,005,0912,935 10.0-28.1 Note: Enrollment data based upon 1999-2000 and 2009-10 school years. *Enrollment calculated from percentage distribution. Source: Texas Education Agency, 1999-00, Elementary and Secondary Program Enrollment and expenditures, Academic Excellence Indicator System and 2000-10 State Profile Report; 2009-10 and 1999-00, Public Education Information Management System Budget Report; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2009-2010 and1999-2000 Public College and University Enrollment Database and 2000 and 2010, An Overview of Article III Senate Bill 1 81st Legislature, 2012.

Total Public Education (All Levels) and Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas YearNH a WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Total Public Education (All Levels)* 20102,137,393832,2022,805,785348,7916,124,171 20202,109,148874,2943,490,796533,0467,007,284 20302,128,376955,1944,428,574682,1968,194,340 20402,037,8041,028,9975,778,539973,9869,819,326 20501,979,1091,095,3427,207,2061,469,75511,751,412 Public Elementary and Secondary Schools 20101,547,693632,4012,398,684269,0664,847,844 20201,548,792646,7562,917,449406,7555,519,752 20301,577,470706,2633,715,984480,5336,480,250 20401,479,111754,1734,865,439726,4527,825,175 20501,446,198798,1256,012,6771,109,4439,366,443 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools 2011-2012, 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, Demographic Data for Public Community College and University Students for 1980-2010, 2011. * Excludes public health related educational institutions.

Percent of Total Public Education (All Levels), Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas YearNH WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other Total Public Education (All Levels)* 201034.913.645.85.7 202030.112.549.87.6 203026.011.754.08.3 204020.810.558.89.9 205016.89.361.312.6 Public Elementary and Secondary Schools 201031.913.049.55.6 202028.111.752.97.3 203024.310.957.37.5 204018.99.662.29.3 205015.48.564.211.9 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Demographic Data for Public School Students for 1980-2010, 2011;Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools 2011- 2012, 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011, Demographic Data for Public Community College and University Students for 1980-2010, 2011. * Excludes public health related educational institutions. Note: Enrollment data based on 2009-10 school years.

Total Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes 2000-2010 Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas YearNH White*NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Public Community Colleges 2010314,976130,786263,60037,261746,623 2020299,721149,167370,86858,999878,755 2030296,231163,939459,61892,6931,012,481 2040297,987181,123590,855117,6431,187,608 2050285,152196,248771,788170,6271,423,815 Public Universities 2010274,72469,015143,50142,464529,704 2020260,63578,371202,47967,292608,777 2030254,67584,992252,972108,970701,609 2040260,70693,701322,245129,891806,543 2050247,759100,969422,741189,685961,154 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2010589,700199,801407,10179,7251,276,327 2020560,356227,538573,347126,2911,487,532 2030550,906248,931712,590201,6631,714,090 2040558,693274,824913,100247,5341,994,151 2050532,911297,2171,194,529360,3122,384,969 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University Enrollment Database, 2012.

Percent of Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes 2000-2010 Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas YearNH White*NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other Public Community Colleges 201042.217.535.35.0 202034.117.042.26.7 203029.316.245.49.1 204025.115.349.89.8 205020.013.854.212.0 Public Universities 201051.913.027.18.0 202042.812.933.311.0 203036.312.136.115.5 204032.311.640.016.1 205025.810.544.019.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 201046.215.731.96.2 202037.715.338.58.5 203032.114.541.611.8 204028.013.845.812.4 205022.312.550.115.1 Note: Enrollment data based upon 2009-10 school years. * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University Enrollment Database, 2012.

Year Total Public Elementary and Secondary Total Community Colleges Total Public Universities Total Public Colleges and Universities 2010$36,491,096,511$1,202,291,349$2,543,713,742$3,746,005,091 202041,548,738,5631,415,064,2752,923,433,5044,338,497,779 203048,778,679,3811,630,404,0293,369,225,9354,999,629,964 204058,902,311,2421,912,412,0533,873,133,8875,785,545,940 205070,503,872,5422,292,777,5564,615,597,8406,908,375,396 Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Education Agency, Academic Excellence Indicator System, 2000- 2010 and 1999-2000, State Profile Report, 2012; Texas Education Agency, 2009-2010 and 1999-2000 Public Education Information Management System Budget Report, 2012; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 An Overview of Article III Senate Bill 181st Legislature 2010, 2012, Sources and Uses of Funds Universities, Health-Related Institutions, Lamar State Colleges and Texas State Technical Colleges FY 2010, 2012. Education Expenditures (All Sources in $2010) for Total Public Elementary and Secondary Schools and Colleges and Universities in Texas in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection that Assumes 2000-2010 Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration

Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and Universities in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection that Assumes 2000-2010 Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario)

Percent Change in Projected Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and Universities in Texas in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000-2010 Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario) YearNH White*NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other Total Public Community Colleges 2010-20-4.814.140.758.322.7 2020-30 -1.29.923.957.117.9 2030-400.610.528.626.919.8 2040-50 -4.38.430.645.022.9 2010-50 -9.550.1192.8357.9112.9 Public Universities 2010-20-5.113.641.158.517.9 2020-30 -2.38.424.961.917.3 2030-402.410.227.419.215.9 2040-50 -5.07.831.246.020.9 2010-50 -9.846.3194.6346.793.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2010-20-5.013.840.858.420.4 2020-30 -1.89.224.360.017.6 2030-401.610.428.122.318.1 2040-50 -4.78.130.845.622.0 2010-50 -9.748.3193.4351.3104.0 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Financial Aid Database, 2013.

Percent Change in Socioeconomic Resources Compared to Percent Change in Households, 2010 - 2050 Household Change: 127.6%

Per Capita Income in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

Projections of Incidences of Disease/Disorders and Percent Change in Incidences of Disease/Disorders in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration, 2010–2050 YearNH* WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Number of Incidences 2010 34,400,777 7,595,342 17,072,316 2,592,13461,660,569 2020 37,891,233 9,970,823 25,851,970 4,393,09178,107,117 2030 40,207,165 12,437,276 37,560,027 7,255,39697,459,864 2040 41,072,929 14,796,133 52,332,506 11,200,174119,401,742 2050 40,713,269 17,009,228 71,280,514 17,007,539146,010,550 Percent Change in Incidences 2010–202010.131.351.469.526.7 2020–20306.124.745.365.224.8 2030–20402.219.039.354.422.5 2040–2050-0.915.036.251.922.3 2010–205018.3123.9317.5556.1136.8 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2012c.

Projected Percent of the Prevalence of Selected Diseases/Disorders in Texas by Race/Ethnicity and Type of Disease/Disorder for Adults (18 Years of Age and Older) for 2010 and 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration NH* White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Disease/Disorder20102050201020502010205020102050 High Blood Pressure54.226.715.014.026.447.04.412.3 Coronary Heart Disease63.135.110.310.221.740.44.914.3 Angina Pectoris65.635.67.98.221.441.45.114.8 Heart Attack65.637.010.110.219.638.04.714.8 Other Heart Condition/Disease67.739.610.411.318.136.93.812.2 Stroke55.528.715.415.025.044.94.111.4 Emphysema73.043.47.29.715.532.54.314.4 Asthma51.925.714.312.628.548.15.313.6 Asthma Attack Past Year51.223.613.311.029.049.36.516.1 Ulcer58.329.010.6 26.246.74.913.7 Ulcer Past Year46.319.011.49.737.457.64.913.7 Cancer75.647.97.29.814.732.92.59.4 Diabetes45.319.413.912.035.856.65.012.0 Hay Fever Past Year62.331.610.410.121.641.95.716.4 Sinusitis Past Year57.829.213.4 24.444.84.412.6 Chronic Bronchitis Past Year61.233.211.411.523.744.53.710.8 Weak/Failing Kidneys Past Year47.422.516.4 33.954.62.36.5 Liver Condition Past Year45.217.710.18.539.461.45.312.4 Pregnancy related32.613.711.68.450.768.25.19.7 Ever Worn Hearing Aid75.949.95.25.716.635.72.38.7 Vision Impairment51.624.714.713.629.951.53.810.2 Blindness51.426.823.118.618.130.57.424.1 Lost All Teeth61.332.212.013.323.444.53.310.0 Sad Past Month41.217.213.910.141.163.83.88.9 Nervous Past Month50.522.19.27.937.162.13.27.9 Restless Past Month51.024.314.112.030.752.74.211.0 Hopeless Past Month41.916.611.98.442.265.94.09.1 Everything an Effort Past Month43.120.118.014.033.953.65.012.3 Worthlessness Past Month46.319.912.810.137.561.63.48.4 Total55.528.112.812.027.347.94.412.0 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2012c.

Projections of the Prevalence of Conditions Associated with Disabilities and Percent Change in Prevalence of Conditions Associated with Disabilities in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration YearNH* WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Number of Incidences 20102,540,162603,7211,107,393178,5054,429,781 20203,022,918849,9401,809,414334,4316,016,703 20303,491,4011,148,4562,896,541600,1448,136,542 20403,737,4761,453,1174,370,046997,08210,557,721 20503,711,2281,710,4726,230,8011,584,24913,236,750 Percent Change in Incidences 2010–202019.040.863.487.435.8 2020–203015.535.160.179.535.2 2030–20407.026.550.966.129.8 2040–2050-0.717.742.658.925.4 2010–205046.1183.3462.7787.5198.8 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2012c.

Health Care Personnel in Texas by Specialty and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 (Actual) and Simulated to Reflect 2010 and Projected 2050 Population Distribution by Race/Ethnicity Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Health PersonnelNH* WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Panel A: 2010 Actual Physicians 38,7112,3166,5355,89353,455 Dentists 16,8899642,5113,73924,103 Optometrists 1,9241033007503,077 Pharmacists 11,4562,8961,8824,19420,428 Registered Nurses 116,39118,13721,12420,846176,498 Veterinarians 5,5215884655,728 Podiatrists 690714858867 Total 191,58224,54532,48435,545284,156 Projected to Reflect Population's Race/Ethnicity Distribution Panel B: 2010 Distribution Physicians 24,2166,14720,0992,99353,455 Dentists 10,9182,7729,0631,35024,103 Optometrists 1,3943541,1571723,077 Pharmacists 9,2542,3497,6811,14420,428 Registered Nurses 79,95420,29766,3639,884176,498 Veterinarians 2,5946592,1543215,728 Podiatrists 39210032649867 Total 128,72232,678106,84315,913284,156 Panel C: 2050 Distribution Physicians 23,517 10,140 59,979 14,240107,876 Dentists 11,487 4,953 29,296 6,95552,691 Optometrists 1,741 751 4,441 1,0547,987 Pharmacists 11,129 4,799 28,385 6,73951,052 Registered Nurses 81,105 34,972 206,855 49,109372,041 Veterinarians 1,514 653 3,862 9176,946 Podiatrists 315 136 802 1901,443 Total 130,808 56,404 333,620 79,204 600,036 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived Texas Department of State Health Services 2012b.

Enrollment of Texas Residents in Texas Health Related Institutions by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Numeric and Percent Change in Projected Enrollment to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration YearNH* WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Health Related Institutions 201010,2091,5103,3223,26318,304 202010,0271,8034,8305,10021,760 20309,5032,0126,4238,48226,420 204010,0862,2267,93510,54530,792 20509,7872,44610,59714,82337,653 Numeric Change 2010–2020-1822931,5081,8373,456 2020–2030-5242091,5933,3824,660 2030–20405832141,5122,0634,372 2040–2050-2992202,6624,2786,861 2010–2050-4229367,27511,56019,349 Percent Change 2010–2020-1.819.445.456.318.9 2020–2030-5.211.633.066.321.4 2030–20406.110.623.524.316.5 2040–2050-3.09.933.540.622.3 2010–2050-4.162.0219.0354.3105.7 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011c.

Projected Enrollment of Texas Residents in Texas Health Related Institutions by Race/Ethnicity in 2050 Using Alternative Enrollment Rate Assumptions Race/Ethnicity Assuming 2010 Enrollment Differentials Assuming NH* White Enrollment Rates for Minority Groups NH* White9,787 NH Black2,4463,357 Hispanic10,59722,671 NH Asian & Other14,823 Total37,65350,638 Source: Projections by the authors and data and rates derived from Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011c.

Physician Contacts, Days of Hospital Care, and Number of Nursing Home Residents in Texas by Age of Patient and Associated Costs for 2010 (in Thousands of 2010 Dollars) and Projected for 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Age of PatientNumber Costs (in thousands) Physician Contacts and Total Costs 2010 <1811,436,718$ 1,700,928 18–5426,366,7875,540,646 55–6410,250,9112,361,205 65–748,592,3971,983,703 75+7,306,0781,649,922 Total63,952,89113,236,404 2050 <1822,065,761$ 3,281,735 18–5454,167,90211,373,952 55–6422,394,7105,158,420 65–7426,846,5306,197,986 75+30,508,4576,889,684 Total155,983,36032,901,777 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2011, 2012b, 2012a; C. Caffrey et al.2012.

Physician Contacts, Days of Hospital Care, and Number of Nursing Home Residents in Texas by Age of Patient and Associated Costs for 2010 (in Thousands of 2010 Dollars) and Projected for 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Age of Patient Number Costs (in thousands) Hospital Days and Associated Costs 2010 <181,017,380$ 1,474,016 18–443,037,8946,078,908 45–64 5,645,16114,152,492 65+ 2,860,2206,426,277 Total 12,560,65528,131,693 2050 <18 1,962,618$ 2,843,509 18–44 6,294,83312,596,130 45–64 13,834,18234,682,474 65+12,281,08727,592,866 Total34,372,72077,714,979 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2011, 2012b, 2012a; C. Caffrey et al.2012.

Physician Contacts, Days of Hospital Care, and Number of Nursing Home Residents in Texas by Age of Patient and Associated Costs for 2010 (in Thousands of 2010 Dollars) and Projected for 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Age of PatientNumber Costs (in thousands) Nursing Home Residents and Monthly Costs 2010 0–6410,021$ 31,716 65–74 8,1995,950 75–84 24,59777,850 85+ 48,282 152,813 Total 91,099288,329 2050 0–6420,191$ 63,905 65–74 25,622 81,094 75–84 94,147297,975 85+ 246,958 781,622 Total 386,918 1,224,596 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2011, 2012b, 2012a; C. Caffrey et al. 2012.

CHIP Recipients in Texas, Percent Change in Projected Recipients, Percent of Recipients by Race/Ethnicity, and Net Change in Recipients, Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration, 2010–2050 Year/ Period NH* White NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Panel A: CHIP Recipients 2010121,95972,463352,02528,455574,902 2020123,24177,828431,81142,199675,079 2030123,83684,859543,42950,350802,474 2040116,79990,636704,97175,353987,759 2050114,20995,904866,631112,7231,189,467 Panel B: Percent Change in Projected CHIP Recipients 2010–20201.17.422.748.317.4 2020–20300.59.025.819.318.9 2030–2040-5.76.829.749.723.1 2040–2050-2.25.822.949.620.4 2010–2050-6.432.3146.2296.1106.9 Panel C: Percent of CHIP Recipients by Race/Ethnicity 201021.212.661.25.0100.0 202018.311.564.06.2100.0 203015.410.667.76.3100.0 204011.89.271.47.6100.0 20509.68.172.99.4100.0 Panel D: Number and Percent of Net Change in CHIP Recipients, 2010–2050 NumberPercent NH White-7,750-1.3 NH Black 23,4413.8 Hispanic 514,60683.7 NH Asian & Other 84,26813.8 Total 614,565100.0 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Health Management Associates 2012a; Texas Health and Human Services Commission 2013a.

Medicaid Recipients in Texas, Percent Change in Projected Recipients, Percent of Recipients by Race/Ethnicity, and Net Change in Recipients, Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration, 2010–2050 Year/ Period NH* White NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Panel A: Medicaid Recipients 2010738,484599,3181,942,83377,8323,358,467 2020774,207 685,1992,485,323126,4694,071,198 2030796,516779,8973,263,488191,2145,031,115 2040780,817864,7064,256,531303,6166,205,670 2050766,659943,9015,386,378468,1107,565,048 Panel B: Percent Change in Projected Medicaid Recipients 2010–20204.814.327.962.521.2 2020–20302.913.831.351.223.6 2030–2040-2.010.930.458.823.3 2040–2050-1.89.226.554.221.9 2010–20503.857.5177.2501.4125.3 Panel C: Percent of Medicaid Recipients by Race/Ethnicity 201022.017.857.82.4100.0 202019.016.861.03.2100.0 203015.815.564.93.8100.0 204012.613.968.64.9100.0 205010.112.571.26.2100.0 Panel D: Number and Percent of Net Change in Medicaid Recipients, 2010–2050 NumberPercent NH White28,1750.7 NH Black 344,5838.2 Hispanic 3,443,54581.9 NH Asian & Other 390,2789.2 Total 4,206,581100.0 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Health Management Associates 2012b; Texas Health and Human Services Commission 2013b.

Total Costs and State Costs (in Thousands of 2010 Constant Dollars) for Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) and Medicaid in Texas by Race/Ethnicity of Recipients in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration YearNH WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal a Panel A: CHIP Total costs 2010$ 231,593.5$ 137,603.3$ 668,476.4$ 54,034.5$ 1,091,707.7 2030235,157.9161,142.6 1,031,942.295,611.9 1,523,854.6 2050216,876.7 182,116.5 1,645,685.3214,054.9 2,258,733.3 State costs 2010 66,906.4 39,753.0 193,120.015,610.3315,389.7 2030 67,936.1 46,553.4 298,123.727,621.9 440,235.1 205062,654.8 52,612.7 475,431.561,839.5 652,538.5 Panel B: Medicaid Total costs 20105,980,855.34,853,773.7 15,734,671.3630,348.027,199,648.3 20306,450,846.56,316,252.1 26,430,429.71,548,609.4 40,746,137.6 20506,209,039.87,644,492.3 43,623,351.73,791,142.6 61,268,026.4 State costs 20101,783,556.01,447,448.14,692,250.0187,976.68,111,230.7 20301,923,712.5 1,883,575.0 7,881,841.4461,812.2 12,150,941.0 20501,851,603.1 2,279,670.713,008,957.61,130,560.0 18,270,791.3 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services 2013; Health Management Associates 2012a, 2012b; Texas Health and Human Services Commission 2013b. a Total costs computed from unrounded values.

Mean Household Income in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

Mean Consumer Expenditures in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

Percent of All Households in Poverty in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

Aggregate Household Income (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

Aggregate Consumer Expenditures (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

Aggregate State Tax Revenues (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

The mark of a truly educated man is to be moved deeply by statistics. George Bernard Shaw

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Steve Murdock Phone: 210-867-4385 E-mail: shm3@rice.edushm3@rice.edu Website: http://hobbycenter.rice.edu

Population Change in the United States, Texas and Bexar County: Implications for Education, Heath and Socioeconomic Development Steve H. Murdock, Director.

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Population Change in the United States, Texas and Bexar County: Implications for Education, Heath and Socioeconomic Development Steve H. Murdock, Director.

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Presentation on theme: "Population Change in the United States, Texas and Bexar County: Implications for Education, Heath and Socioeconomic Development Steve H. Murdock, Director."— Presentation transcript:

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