1. Middle-East Air-Pollutant Climatology by J. SAFI 0, M. Abu-Kubieh 0, K. Rishmawi #, S. Kasakseh* # M. Luria +, E. Weinroth + *, E. Tas +, V. Matziev +, I. Levi +, J. Kaplan + R. Bornstein* *San Jose State University, San Jose, CA, USA, + The Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel # Applied Research Institute-Jerusalem, Bethlehem, West Bank 0 Environmental Protection & Research Institute, Gaza City, Gaza Prepared for CLEAN AIR CONGRESS LONDON, UK: AUG 2004

2. FUNDING: USAID/MERC PROGRAM

3. OUTLINE PROJECT OBJECTIVES PROJECT OBJECTIVES METEOROLOGICAL PATTERNS METEOROLOGICAL PATTERNS EMISSION PATTERNS EMISSION PATTERNS CASE STUDIES CASE STUDIES –SFBA WINTER STORMS (LOZEJ 2000) –ATLANTA THUNDERSTORMS (CRAIG 2002) –LOS ANGELES 0 3 (Atmos Environ 2003a,b) –SFBA O 3 (this paper) –HOUSTON UHI AND O 3 (this paper) –Mid-East O 3 (other papers here) –NYC ER (just starting) CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS

4. Specific objectives include: (1) Install environmental monitoring sites (2) Prepare of environmental databases (3) Prepare a regional climatology (4) Conduct field campaigns during periods conducive to poor regional air quality (5) Apply RAMS & MM5 met models and CAMx photochemical air quality model to increase understanding of current and future air quality problems

5. Results show Results show spatial & temporal variations in met factors & air quality concentrations spatial & temporal variations in met factors & air quality concentrations emission patterns also show temporal & spatial patterns that reflect land use patterns emission patterns also show temporal & spatial patterns that reflect land use patterns RAMS winds reproduce observed transport patterns RAMS winds reproduce observed transport patterns CAMx ozone fields reproduce transboundary transport patterns observed by aircraft CAMx ozone fields reproduce transboundary transport patterns observed by aircraft

6. Topo map of study area

16. Future Plans:  GIS/RS tech will be used at Tel Aviv Univ, ARIJ, an EPRI to determine gridded fields of sfc characteristics (e.g., z 0, ε, α, LU/LC) for input into uMM5 and CAMx  Urbanized EPA MM5 meso-model (called uMM5xx) will simulate additional flow cases on the 106 CPU SJSU cluster  CAMx photochemical model will be run with current precursor emissions using output from the RAMS and uMM5xx simulations  Planners at ARIJ, EPRI, and HUJI will identify future regional emission scenarios from projected population conditions during 2010 and 2020 (when regional populations will have doubled from present values) to be tested in CAMx  CAMx simulations will evaluate environmental impacts from the projected emissions