1. Leveraging National Marketing Information Systems and the Regional Food Balance Sheet. Presentation by: Janet Kalulu Ngombalu Marketing information systems and Communications Manager - EAGC.

2. Presentation outline. Introduction About EAGC. EAGC MIS work. Regional Food Balance Sheet (RFBS) Rationale Role of MIS in Regional Food Balance Sheet Participation of National MIS’s in RFBS Conclusion.

3. Introduction Agribusiness marketing is currently estimated at US $ 150 Million with projected growth. International agribusiness is positioning the Africa to feed the future. According to CAADP, investments in market access requires an initial investment of US $62 billion over some 10 to 15 years while operation and maintenance of these assets will require an additional US $37 billion.

4. Regional Markets Africa is on the right path of intra-regional trade, but lags behind other global regions. Exports from Africa increased significantly in the last 8 years. Intra-regional trade within emerging Asia increased 8 fold. Africa remains low and accounts for less than 10% of world total trade. IRT grown by 49 per cent in the last five years (EAC) Increased investments in foreign direct investment (FDI) almost tripled from $ 692 million (Sh913.4 billion) in 2002 to $ 1.7billion (Sh2.2 trillion) in 2007. The trade is both informal and formal trade.

5. Overview of EAGC  A REGION FREED FROM INDIGNITY OF HUNGER AND FOOD INSECURITY- Overall Goal  Alternative dispute resolution mechanisms  Institutional framework for regional grain trade promotion  Dialogue between public and private stakeholders  A system for providing timely, reliable and accurate information  Stabilized Regional grain market prices  Enhanced Market access by small-scale grain producers  Well- functioning regional grain supply chain  Alternative dispute resolution mechanisms  Institutional framework for regional grain trade promotion  Dialogue between public and private stakeholders  A system for providing timely, reliable and accurate information  Stabilized Regional grain market prices  Enhanced Market access by small-scale grain producers  Well- functioning regional grain supply chain Structured Trading system Market Information System Grain Value chain stakeholders capacity building Grain trade and policy environment REDUCING TRANSACTIONS COSTS

6. EAGC Market Information

9. The Regional Food Balance Sheet (RFBS) It is a reflection of the food security picture at a given time indicating availability, through production estimates and trade It has mostly been prepared by governments through respective Ministries of Agriculture, private sector, millers, traders and farmers EAGC is spearheading efforts for the regional balance sheet with EAC and partners

10. Rationale for RFBS Initiative anchored in the EAC Regional Food Security Action Plan Great potential for food surplus and trade in the region This evidence/information is presently not readily available hence ad-hoc policy decisions to protect national interests Information on regionally available food stock to inform food security policy Regional staple foods trade development – better prices, movement of foods from surplus to deficit region Investments in agriculture as a result of predictable policies.

12. The EAC Regional Food Balance Sheet - Template Annex 1: ESTIMATED AVAILABILITY FOOD BALANCE SHEET – TEMPLATE Country: Uganda Month ending 30 TH August 2011 MaizeWheatRiceBeansMillet Sorghu m A. Domestic Supply (1) Carry Over Stocks - as at 31 st July (MT) (2) Imports (projections for 2011) From Regional sources (EAC&COMESA/SADC) From Extra Regional sources Total Imports (3) Production (projections for 2011) Long rains Short Rains Total Production per year (4) Post harvest loss (5) National Availability (MT) = (1+2+3) – (4)

13. The EAC Regional Food Balance Sheet – Template (Cont’d) MaizeWheatRiceBeansMillet Sorghu m B. Domestic Utilisation (6) Exports (projected exports for August 2011 Exports to EAC/COMESA/SADC Extra regional exports Total Exports (7) Seed (Projected allocation for seed) (8) Feed (Projected allocation for feed) (9) National Consumption (MT) (10) Available stock by end August 2011 (MT) = 5 – (6 + 7+8+9)

14. MaizeWheatRiceBeansMilletSorghum (1) Carry Over Stocks – as at 31 st March 2009 (MT) 854,08 5 5,077 41,709 93,060 10,154 84,238 (2) Imports (projections for 2010) - - - - - -  From Regional sources (EAC&COME SA) 408,30 0 15,000 8,000 12,000 4,703 16,500  From Extra Regional sources 129,06 0 859,99 6 257,532 14,190 36 4 Total Imports 604,67 7 880,08 8 279,055 38,390 4,757 29,783 (3) Production (projections for 2010)  Long rains 5,830,1 62 468,64 8 918,683 1,593,20 5 1,010, 524 1,116, 378  Short Rains 2,261,4 14 89,879 295,415 857,946 93,147 518,91 5 Total Production per year 8,091,5 76 558,52 7 1,214,0 98 2,451,15 1 1,103, 671 1,635, 293 (4) Post harvest loss 573,72 7 36,306 40,931 122,736 22,385 103,70 1 (5) Regional Availability (MT) = (1+2+3)-4 8,976,6 11 1,407,3 86 1,493,9 31 2,459,86 5 1,096, 197 1,566, 060 (6) Exports (projected exports for 2010 - - - - - - Export s to EAC/COMESA 126,82 8 5,378 25,382 37,364 - 14,524 Extra regional exports - 2,000 4,000 61 - - Total Exports 126,82 8 5,378 25,382 37,425 - 14,524 (7) Regional Consumption (MT) 7,980,0 77 1,344,0 55 1,355,1 02 2,010,24 0 962,48 6 1,460, 509 (8) Available stock by end of As at 1 st April 2010 (MT) = 5 – (6 + 7) 870,24 4 67,442 113,447 591,606 133,71 1 91,027 MaizeWheatRiceBeansMilletSorghum (1) Carry Over Stocks – as at 31 st March 2009 (MT) 854,085 5,077 41,709 93,060 10,154 84,238 - - - - - -  From Regional sources (EAC&COMESA) 408,300 15,000 8,000 12,000 4,703 16,500  From Extra Regional sources 129,060 859,996 257,532 14,190 36 4 Total Imports 604,677 880,088 279,055 38,390 4,757 29,783 (3) Production (projections for 2010)  Long rains 5,830,162 468,648 918,683 1,593,205 1,010,524 1,116,378  Short Rains 2,261,414 89,879 295,415 857,946 93,147 518,915 Total Production per year 8,091,576 558,527 1,214,098 2,451,151 1,103,671 1,635,293 (4) Post harvest loss 573,727 36,306 40,931 122,736 22,385 103,701 (5) Regional Availability (MT) = (1+2+3)-4 8,976,611 1,407,386 1,493,931 2,459,865 1,096,197 1,566,060 (6) Exports (projected exports for 2010 - - - - - - Exports to EAC/COMESA 126,828 5,378 25,382 37,364 - 14,524 Extra regional exports - 2,000 4,000 61 - - Total Exports 126,828 5,378 25,382 37,425 - 14,524 (7) Regional Consumption (MT) 7,980,077 1,344,055 1,355,102 2,010,240 962,486 1,460,509 (8) Available stock by end of As at 1 st April 2010 (MT) = 5 – (6 + 7) 870,244 67,442 113,447 591,606 133,711 91,027 Table 1: Illustrative EAC Regional Food Balance Sheet As at 1 st April 2010 Source: National Food Balance Sheet survey reports

15. National Institutional Framework – Roles and responsibilities Public: Ministries of Agriculture, Ministries of Trade, Ministries of Emergency programs, Central Bureau of Statistics organizations, National Food Reserve Agencies, Revenue Authorities, Central Banks, Ministries of Finance & Planning. Private: Farmer organizations, Traders Organizations, Millers Organizations, Warehouse operators, commodity exchanges, civil society, seed companies, animal feed organizations, development partners, FAO, FEWSNET, WFP and National MIS service providers.

16. National MIS initiatives and RFBS Main driver of RFBS Quality, Valid, Relevant and Timely data Market Intelligence projections and analysis reports Warehouse stock tracking Prediction of surplus and deficit areas. Provide Market linkage and access. Daily, weekly or regular monitoring of information. Harmonised regional data collection methodology. Export/import monitoring Packaging and Dissemination to relevant users. Coordination of National Committees. Monthly updating of the balance sheets

18. END Thanks For More Information Janet Kalulu Ngombalu jngombalu@eagc.com www.eagc.org www.ratin.net Harriet Nabirye EAGC Country Manager, Uganda Email: hnabirye@eagc.orghnabirye@eagc.org +254 772 457417