1. LATIN AMERICA AND GLOBAL GHG EMISSIONS

2. (c) WWF-Canon / Juan PRATGINESTOS TROPICAL DEFORESTATION

3. GLOBAL CO2 EMISSIONS AND DEFORESTATION ~80% Fossil Fuel ~20% Land Deforestation

4. DEFORESTATION VS FOSSIL FUELS

5. MAJOR DEFORESTATION COUNTRIES (2000) WRI (2005) GHGs (MtC eq)

6. DEFORESTATION IN THE BRAZILIAN AMAZON (2003) Fonte: INPE PRODES Digital, 2004. Deforestation 2002/2003 Deforestation until 2002 2.4 millions ha/yr deforested 60 millions ha deforested 16% of Brazilian Amazon

7. 2050 BUSINESS AS USUAL Deforested 2,698,735 km 2 (16 PgC by 2050) Forest 3,320,409 km 2 Non-forest 1,497,685 km 2 500 km Soares-Filho et al. 2004

8. 2050 ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO Deforested 1,655,734 km 2 (Reduction: 40%) Forest 4,363,410 km 2 Non-forest1,497,685 km 2 500 km Soares-Filho et al. 2004 Solutions: - Public governance & Law enforcement - Land use management - Sustainable forest management - Protected areas

9. ENERGY SECTOR

10. IN BRASIL By 2020 - Growth in power consumption slashed by 40% - Power avoided = five times the Itaipu hydropower plant - USD 15 Billion savings, 10M new jobs

11. SOLUTION 1 DOMESTIC APPLIANCES  Represent a 1/3 of residential power demand  According to IEA, potential for large power savings  By 2020, ambitious efficiency standards would:  Reduce average refrigerator consumption by 40%  Energy savings of over 4.5 Billion USD

12. 1/3 of home electricity bills, 8% of national power needs Consumers’ cost ~ $ 10 $ 1800 in electricity generation and distribution Electric water heating for 5 million new homes = one large dam in the Amazon or 5 coal fired power station THE PROBLEM ELECTRIC WATER HEATERS

13. SOLUTION 2 SOLAR WATER HEATERS Consumers’ cost ~ 1100 for 4-people solar water heater Monthly power bill cut by up to 50%, bay-back period of 3 years Architectural and consumers’ credit barriers

14. Growing production/trade of biofuels Biofuels are a climate solution provided the reduce GHGs emissions Potential pilot project in Brazil to produce sustianable biofuels (eg biofuels supply for the bus fleet of the London Greater Authority SOLUTION 3 BIOFUELS

15. SOLUTION 1 INDUSTRIAL MOTORS  Power plants have a low efficiency ~40%, that is 60% waste energy in the atmosphere  In Brazil, over 50% of industrial power consumption depends on electric motors  With a 5% efficiency improvement would:  save energy equivalent to 6,5 billions kWh  R$ 1.04 billion per year