1. Connecting people to policy making: the Futurium experiment Symposium "Generation Web 2.0: using new technologies in the public sector in Europe", Tallinn, 26-27 June 2014 Franco Accordino European Commission - DG CONNECT

2. Energy positive Enhanced-humans Big Big Data “Organic” computing Cloud computing Energy efficient Internet of Things 3D Printing Complex systems Virtualisation 2015-202040-50 Foundations Technologies Challenges/Issues Financial stability Sustainability Healthy ageing Resource efficiency Climate changes Policy Making 2.0 Trust Security privacy Smart cities Resource sharing Policy Making 3.0 Towards immortality Interim/beta status Governance Quantum Internet Citizen empowerment “Conventional” ICT (Silicon based, Packet switching, Boolean, …) ICT-Bio-Nano-Neuro-Cogno- Quantum convergence Big Data “Play & Rewind” Bio-devices Simulated worlds

3. Today's socio-political drivers Data, computing and connectivity everywhere Government's control on people Individual empowerment Inclusion and skills Systemic automation Erosion of human employment Inter-generational tensions Costs/impacts of public services Rise of movements Disaffection of people from public matters

4. Futurium purpose To enable a collective inquiry into the ideas and aspirations of citizens, in order to feed future policy reflections

5. Futures (Visions) Policies Inspire Impact on individuals, society, economy, environment, politics, technologies,… Real world Trends Scientific Evidence Sense & Analyse data, Identify issues and challenges, Elicit knowledge (Re-)shape Inform Envision IMPLEMENTATION / REVIEW DESIGN Stakeholders Policy makers Other factors than evidence Social Networks Rational, scientific, analytical Emotional, intuitive, holistic Rules and Laws Scientific evidence & people‘s opinion

6. 6/10 Crowd engagement strategy 1) Host conversations/dialogues with stakeholders Standard format: participatory brainstorming Contributors: scientists, citizens, policy makers,… Virtual (webinar) & in-person meetings Going local: Member States, schools, conferences… Viral process: l oosely coordinated, but with simple, shared rules 2) Capture content into an open, standard online platform (futurium) Based on a fixed meta-model (futures, policies,…) & workflow Enabling co-creation (wiki), voting, forecasting, back casting, mapping,… Automatic semantic annotation, data mining, correlation, fact-finding Agent-based gaming and simulation emergent collective intelligence

7. 7/10 Futurium Data Model Trend Every European Digital Future DAEPolicy A1A101 A A BAC Futures (visions) Policy Ideas pillars actions Agents p1p7 2012 2020 2050 Policies: Are expressed as S.M.A.R.T. objectives May be structured (e.g. pillars) Atomic level: timed actions Have a measurable impact Other measurable attributes (e.g. plausibility, innovation, …) Futures: Desirability (emotional view) Likelihood (rational/scientific view) Causality: antecedent->consequent Forecasting vs. back casting Challenges and Opportunities Agents: Stakeholders in broad sense (EC, MS, Regions, Industry, Citizens…) Implementers (those who execute the actions) Verifiers Decision makers Policy AA pp AA Future @?# Discrete Objects of Collective Inquiry

8. Co-Creation Bottom-up Spontaneous Emergent Co-Creation Bottom-up Spontaneous Emergent Sense Making Top-Down Structured Convergent Sense Making Top-Down Structured Convergent Futurium Foresight methodology Reporting to decision makers

9. Sense-making Futurium co-creation Sense-making Asynchronous sense-making steps over a continuous online engagement process

10. Digital Futures Digital Futures Futurium Futurizens Futures 120+ Events, 3000+ co- creators 30+ Webinars ~1800> Futurium members Breaking into new policy making practices Futurium model 20+ Requests for take-up 11 Themes 200+ Futures 1800+ Evidence items Outcomes

11. 11/10 Stakeholders Participatory Tools Policy Makers mine & visualise Social Media (Twitter, FB, G+,…) Participate Real world data Participate Data Gathering Data Crawling Open Data Knowledge Harvesting Tools Futurium’s conceptual architecture

12. Gaming, multi-agent simulations,… Foresight tools: workflows, Delphi, back- cast diagrams… Semantic tools: fact-finding, search, text mining, … Data Mining, statistics, visual analytics Basic data types: visions, policies, evidence Communities MessagingEvents Wiki Blogs Desirability Plausibility SMART policy attributes Impact Library Polls

13. More features 1)Futurium is a e-Participation platform to enable grassroots engagement into foresight 2)Content co-created on Futurium is informative rather than deliberative 3)Suitable to support civic society engagement in line with Art 11 of the Treaty

14. More information Paper: "The Futurium - a Foresight Platform for Evidence-Based and Participatory Policymaking" http://www.springerlink.com/openurl.asp?genre=a rticle&id=doi:10.1007/s13347-013-0108-9 The futurium platform: http://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/futurium/ Thanks!

15. Background Slides

16. eGovernment Action Plan Empower citizens and businesses Reinforce mobility in the Single Market Enable efficiency and effectiveness Create the necessary key enablers and pre- conditions to make things happen By 2015 50% of citizens and 80% of businesses should use eGovernment services.

17. Case Study: Digital Futures, reflections to prepare for the renewal of the EU policy context in 2014 Se nse Ma king Spring 2014 Autumn 2014 Inspired by long-term advances of digital technologies "Hints"

18. 2015-2025 (?) Policy Ideas Visions 2040-2050 EC mandates 2010-20142015-2019 Barroso II Policy Frameworks 2010-2020 (Europe 2020) Trends 2020+ + Anticipation + Evidence + Participation + Agility Open Data Internet Foresight Approach: back- casting + scenario planning

19. Policy choices Futurium timeline Oct 2012 Mar 2012 Nov 2012 EP/EIF (futurium kick-off) ICT2013 Nov 2013 DAA Dublin Jun 2013

20. 11 Compelling themes