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Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Issues, Decisions &Attitudes.

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Presentation on theme: "Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Issues, Decisions &Attitudes."— Presentation transcript:

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2 Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course

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4 How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Issues, Decisions &Attitudes

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6 and Keep Your Business Profitable!

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8 Welcome Safety Managers & all to CASS 2003, Hollywood, Florida!

9 Flight Safety Foundation, Corporate Advisory Committee

10 Welcome Safety Managers & all to CASS 2003, Hollywood, Florida! U.S. National Business Aircraft Association NBAA

11 Charles Dodgson, Oxford math lecturer, text author, 1850s-1880s

12 Lewis Carroll writer of children's books 1850s -1880s Caricature by Zach Trenholm, SALON Magazine.

13 Planning Alice in Wonderland

14 Alice said to the Cat, Would you tell me, please, which way I ought to go from here?

15 That depends a good deal on where you want to get to, said the Cheshire Cat.

16 I dont much care where… said Alice.

17 Then it doesnt matter which way you go, said the Cheshire Cat.

18 …so long as I get somewhere, Alice added as an explanation.

19 Oh, youre sure to do that, said the Cheshire Cat, if you only walk long enough.

20 know which way to go Flight safety program managers need to know which way to go…

21 accidentpreventers & how far to walk to become accident preventers…

22 accident investigators … and not become accident investigators!

23 Procedures & Examples of how to produce… Safety Forecast & Plans

24 Forecast Annual Safety Forecast & Plan Annual Safety Plan Safety Forecast & Plans

25 Future Safety Issues, Decisions & Attitudes...to meet Future Safety Issues, Decisions & Attitudes Safety Forecast & Plans

26 Paul Miller -Independent Pilots Association, safety committee -IPA represents 2500+ pilots who fly for UPS, a global logistics company & express package delivery service -B767 & B757 intl line captain -Safety program manager: pilot association, 2 airports & a specialized air logistics organization

27 Paul Miller, safety committee member Independent Pilots Association Safety program manager: Safety program manager: pilot association, 2 airports & a specialized air logistics organization

28 Safety Forecasts & Plans

29 -Simple Procedures

30 Safety Forecasts & Plans -Simple Procedures -Estimating and Compensating

31 Safety Forecasts & Plans -Simple Procedures -Estimating and Compensating -Expected Flight Safety Hazards

32 Safety Forecasts & Plans -Simple Procedures -Estimating and Compensating -Expected Flight Safety Hazards -As yet Unresolved

33 Safety Forecasts & Plans -Simple Procedures -Estimating and Compensating -Expected Flight Safety Hazards -As yet Unresolved -As yet Unmanaged

34 Safety Forecasts & Plans -Simple Procedures -Estimating and Compensating -Expected Flight Safety Hazards -As yet Unresolved -As yet Unmanaged -May be Unreported

35 Safety Forecasts & Plans -Simple Procedures -Estimating and Compensating -Expected Flight Safety Hazards -As yet Unresolved -As yet Unmanaged -May be Unreported -Will affect a local organization…

36 Safety Forecasts & Plans -Simple Procedures -Estimating and Compensating -Expected Flight Safety Hazards -As yet Unresolved -As yet Unmanaged -May be Unreported -Will affect a local organization… …YOURS!

37 …All Safety is Local

38 Annual Safety Forecast -based on Early Detection of Hazards -using cultural listening

39 Annual Safety Forecast -based on Early Detection of Hazards -using cultural listening -not exact science -daily working list

40 Annual Safety Forecast -based on Early Detection of Hazards -using cultural listening -not exact science -daily working list -logical inductive reasoning

41 Annual Safety Forecast -based on Early Detection of Hazards -using cultural listening -not exact science -daily working list -logical inductive reasoning -calculation of risk -mathematical, graphic modeling

42 What are Hazards?

43 -Probable Risks

44 What are Hazards? -Probable Risks -Serious Risks

45 What are Hazards? -Probable Risks -Serious Risks People

46 What are Hazards? -Probable Risks -Serious Risks People -Injury & Death

47 What are Hazards? -Probable Risks -Serious Risks People -Injury & Death Property

48 What are Hazards? -Probable Risks -Serious Risks People -Injury & Death Property -Damage & Destruction

49 What are Hazards? -Probable Risks -Serious Risks People $$Pesos$$ -Injury & Death Property -Damage & Destruction

50 What are Hazards? -Probable Risks -Serious Risks People $$Pesos$$ -Injury & Death Property $$Pesos$$ -Damage & Destruction

51 What are Hazard$? -Probable Risk$ -Serious Risk$ People $$Pesos$$ -Injury & Death Property $$Pesos$$ -Damage & Destruction Additional cost$?

52 Hazard Unresolved?

53 -no strategy for resolution?

54 Hazard Unresolved? -no strategy for resolution? -longstanding?

55 Hazard Unresolved? -no strategy for resolution? -longstanding? -culturally accepted as irresolvable?

56 Hazard Unmanaged?

57 -no manager for resolution?

58 Hazard Unmanaged? -no manager for resolution? -no assigned manager?

59 Hazard Unmanaged? -no manager for resolution? -no assigned manager? -assigned manager not functioning?

60 Hazard Unreported?

61 -New or emerging hazard?

62 Hazard Unreported? -New or emerging hazard? -Known but unreported?

63 Hazard Unreported? -New or emerging hazard? -Known but unreported? -Reoccurring hazard?

64 Hazard Affect?

65 -people?

66 Hazard Affect? -people? -your local organization?

67 Hazard Affect? -people? -your local organization? -customers, neighbors & visitors?

68 Hazard Affect?

69 -property & equipment?

70 Hazard Affect? -property & equipment? -your local organization?

71 Hazard Affect? -property & equipment? -your local organization? -belonging to others?

72 Early Detection …is the key

73 Early Detection Why Early Detection? The earlier a hazard is detected by a forecast, the earlier a resolution plan can be created.

74 Early Detection Theorem

75 The longer a hazard exists,

76 Early Detection Theorem The longer a hazard exists, the higher the probability that it will cause a mishap

77 Detection at all Why Detection at all? Hazard & Mishap Theorem

78 Detection Why Detection at all? Hazard & Mishap Theorem Mishapshazard-based A. Mishaps are hazard-based

79 Detection Why Detection at all? Hazard & Mishap Theorem Mishapshazard-based A. Mishaps are hazard-based Hazardspeople-action B. Hazards are people-action

80 Detection Why Detection at all? Hazard & Mishap Theorem Mishapshazard-based A. Mishaps are hazard-based Hazardspeople-action lack-of-actionbased B. Hazards are people-action or lack-of-action-based

81 Hazard & Mishap Theorem Corollary

82 Elimination of people- based hazards…

83 Hazard & Mishap Theorem Corollary Elimination of people- based hazards…eliminates the basis for mishaps.

84 Safety Riddle:

85 Safety Riddle: Does the mishap cause the hazard to occur? ??

86 Safety Riddle: Does the mishap cause the hazard to occur? Or does the hazard cause the mishap to occur? ? ??

87 Safety Riddle: Does the mishap cause the hazard to occur? Or does the hazard cause the mishap to occur? ? ?? ?

88 Quickness Corollary to Early Detection Theorem…

89 The quicker a hazard is resolved,

90 Quickness Corollary to Early Detection Theorem… The quicker a hazard is resolved, the lower the probability that the hazard will cause a mishap.

91 Quickness Corollary to Early Detection Theorem… The quicker a hazard is resolved, the lower the probability that the hazard will cause a mishap. The resolution time is as important as the resolution The resolution time is as important as the resolution

92 Rabbit Response

93 Annual Safety Plan based on Rabbit Response of Resolution

94 Annual Safety Plan - based on Rapid Response of Resolution from Hazard Report Recommendations

95 Annual Safety Plan - based on Rapid Response of Resolution from Hazard Report Recommendations Immediate Intervention Immediate Intervention: affecting Procedure, Practice, Technique

96 Annual Safety Plan - based on Rapid Response of Resolution from Hazard Report Recommendations Immediate Intervention: affecting Procedure, Practice, Technique Interim Remediation Interim Remediation: affecting Policy, Procedure

97 Annual Safety Plan - based on Rapid Response of Resolution from Hazard Report Recommendations Immediate Intervention: affecting Procedure, Practice, Technique Interim Remediation: affecting Policy, Procedure Long Term Resolution Long Term Resolution: affecting Philosophy, Policy

98 Annual Safety Plan - based on Rapid Response of Resolution from Hazard Report Recommendations Immediate Intervention: affecting Procedure, Practice, Technique Interim Remediation: affecting Policy, Procedure Long Term Resolution: affecting Philosophy, Policy Hazard Intervention = Mishap Prevention

99 Early Detection Methods

100 -Internal

101 Early Detection Methods -Internal -Direct and Formal

102 Early Detection Methods -Internal -Direct and Formal Verbal & written, in-person, email, on- line, mail, phone call, suggestion box,

103 Early Detection Methods -Internal -Direct and Formal your boss, your peers, your employees, Verbal & written, in-person, email, on- line, mail, phone call, suggestion box, your boss, your peers, your employees,

104 Early Detection Methods -Internal -Direct and Formal training material, safety audits, on-site safety assist visits, Verbal & written, in-person, email, on- line, mail, phone call, suggestion box, your boss, your peers, your employees, training material, safety audits, on-site safety assist visits,

105 Early Detection Methods -Internal -Direct and Formal your own safety inspections, any credible source. Verbal & written, in-person, email, on- line, mail, phone call, suggestion box, your boss, your peers, your employees, training material, safety audits, on-site safety assist visits, your own safety inspections, any credible source.

106 Early Detection Methods -Internal -Indirect and Informal

107 Early Detection Methods -Internal -Indirect and Informal Grapevine, water-cooler, ear-to-rail, inferred from other comments & reports,

108 Early Detection Methods -Internal -Indirect and Informal meeting comments, customers, visitors, anonymous source, smoke-on-horizon, Grapevine, water-cooler, ear-to-rail, inferred from other comments & reports, meeting comments, customers, visitors, anonymous source, smoke-on-horizon,

109 Early Detection Methods -Internal -Indirect and Informal gossip, intelligence sources, your own intuition, experience, judgment, Grapevine, water-cooler, ear-to-rail, inferred from other comments & reports, meeting comments, customers, visitors, anonymous source, smoke-on-horizon, gossip, intelligence sources, your own intuition, experience, judgment,

110 Early Detection Methods -Internal -Indirect and Informal piece together story, from any credible source. Grapevine, water-cooler, ear-to-rail, inferred from other comments & reports, meeting comments, customers, visitors, anonymous source, smoke-on-horizon, gossip, intelligence sources, your own intuition, experience, judgment, piece together story, from any credible source.

111 Early Detection Methods -External -Formal and Informal

112 Early Detection Methods -External -Formal and Informal Industry literature,

113 Early Detection Methods -External -Formal and Informal other industry literature, seminars, conferences, Industry literature, other industry literature, seminars, conferences,

114 Early Detection Methods -External -Formal and Informal workshops, trade organizations, Industry literature, other industry literature, seminars, conferences, workshops, trade organizations,

115 Early Detection Methods -External -Formal and Informal regulatory material, inferred from other safety organizations, press reports, Industry literature, other industry literature, seminars, conferences, workshops, trade organizations, regulatory material, inferred from other safety organizations, press reports,

116 Early Detection Methods -External -Formal and Informal other industry members actions, any credible source. Industry literature, other industry literature, seminars, conferences, workshops, trade organizations, regulatory material, inferred from other safety organizations, press reports, other industry members actions, any credible source.

117 Credible Source Safety manger

118 Cultural Listening Lessons

119 Substance - Substance of Communications:

120 Cultural Listening Lessons what is being said, what is not being said? - Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said?

121 Cultural Listening Lessons - Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said? - Response :

122 Cultural Listening Lessons - Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said? Acknowledge, propose remedy. - Response : Acknowledge, propose remedy.

123 Cultural Listening Lessons - Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said? - Response : Acknowledge, propose remedy. Style - Style of Communications:

124 Cultural Listening Lessons - Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said? - Response : Acknowledge, propose remedy. how it is being said & what else can you infer? - Style of Communications: how it is being said & what else can you infer?

125 Cultural Listening Lessons - Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said? - Response : Acknowledge, propose remedy. - Style of Communications: how it is being said & what else can you infer? - Response :

126 Cultural Listening Lessons - Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said? - Response : Acknowledge, propose remedy. - Style of Communications: how it is being said & what else can you infer? - Response : Give appreciation, credit, encouragement, positive reassurance that remedy is forthcoming, in cultural language of reporter (local, vernacular)

127 Probability

128 -Probable, percentages, possible, likely, likelihood, potential, numerical advantage, mathematical model, graphs, charts, tables, historical data

129 Probability -Probable, percentages, possible, likely, likelihood, potential, numerical advantage, mathematical model, graphs, charts, tables, historical data -Local interpretations, verbal descriptions, artistic stories, traditional analogies, personal expressions of feelings.

130 Probability -Probable, percentages, possible, likely, likelihood, potential, numerical advantage, mathematical model, graphs, charts, tables, historical data -Local interpretations, verbal descriptions, artistic stories, traditional analogies, personal expressions of feelings. WHATEVER WORKS BEST in cultural context of your local organization -WHATEVER WORKS BEST in cultural context of your local organization

131 Safety Forecasting

132

133 -Looking ahead

134 Safety Forecasting -Looking ahead -used in many businesses

135 Safety Forecasting -Looking ahead -used in many businesses -based on principle of early detection

136 Safety Forecasting -Looking ahead -used in many businesses -based on principle of early detection of unreported, unmanaged & unresolved

137 Safety Forecasting -Looking ahead -used in many businesses -based on principle of early detection of unreported, unmanaged & unresolved hazards to people and property

138 Safety Forecasting -Looking ahead -used in many businesses -based on principle of early detection of unreported, unmanaged & unresolved hazards to people and property -based on principle of rapid response

139 Safety Forecasting -Looking ahead -used in many businesses -based on principle of early detection of unreported, unmanaged & unresolved hazards to people and property -based on principle of rapid response -based on classifying hazard as a procedure, practice, policy, technique or philosophy

140 Safety Forecasting procedure -procedure is written step by step specific instructions such as Aircraft Operating Manual Instrument Landing Procedures

141 Safety Forecasting - procedure is written step by step specific instructions practice -practice is common customary application of a procedure by the pilot (practitioner) such as how to execute Instrument Landing Procedures

142 Safety Forecasting -procedure is written step by step specific instructions -practice is common customary application policy -policy is written organizational goal for all to follow such as, all pilots shall be trained in Instrument Landing Procedures for operations during instrument conditions

143 Safety Forecasting -procedure is written step by step specific instructions -practice is common customary application -policy is written organizational goal for all to follow technique -technique is an art, style or twist of how best to execute these landing practices to obtain increased airport capacity safely

144 Safety Forecasting -procedure is written step by step specific instructions -practice is common customary application -policy is written organizational goal for all to follow -technique is an art, style or twist philosophy - philosophy is a set of orderly rules of conduct for all to decide right from wrong such as instrument procedures improve public safety in commercial aviation.

145 Safety Forecasting -procedure is written step by step specific instructions -practice is common customary application -policy is written organizational goal for all to follow -technique is an art, style or twist -philosophy is a set of orderly rules of conduct for all to decide right from wrong

146 Safety Forecasting -what are the people and property for which you have:

147 Safety Forecasting -what are the people and property for which you have: responsibility, ownership, oversight, liability, duty of care, awareness or other local connection. Missing Doppler radar story 1996. After 1978 microburst mishap and 1985 mishap major hub airport still did not Doppler radar. While it may have been the responsibility of the weather service & CAA, it was the city and airline which suffered the loss in life, money and business.

148 Sir, does your dog bite? No, my dog does not bite… Ouch! The dog bit me! You said your dog does not bite! Yes, but that is not my dog!

149 Safety Forecasting -awareness from early detection -logical inductive reasoning Deductive reasoning vs Inductive ?

150 Safety Forecasting Will the hazard affect them?

151 Safety Forecasting Will the hazard affect them? A. Deduction:

152 Safety Forecasting Will the hazard affect them? A. Deduction: -Yes, because it has affected them in the past

153 Safety Forecasting Will the hazard affect them? A. Deduction: -Yes, because it has affected them in the past, or -No, because it has not affected them in the past.

154 Safety Forecasting Will the hazard affect them? B. Induction:

155 Safety Forecasting Will the hazard affect them? B. Induction: -Yes, because it poses a probable, serious risk

156 Safety Forecasting Will the hazard affect them? B. Induction: -Yes, because it poses a probable, serious risk, or -No, because my assets are probably not at serious risk.

157 Inductive reasoning -outside the data set -projecting outward -educated guess -estimate -based on experience and judgment -financial, business, marketing, crop, sports, housing, production, political, election, education forecasts.

158 Pothole in the Road

159 -gradually appears and gets worse

160 Pothole in the Road -gradually appears and gets worse -every car doesnt hit it

161 Pothole in the Road -gradually appears and gets worse -every car doesnt hit it -obvious for all to see

162 Pothole in the Road -gradually appears and gets worse -every car doesnt hit it -obvious for all to see -some cars hit it anyway

163 Pothole in the Road -gradually appears and gets worse -every car doesnt hit it -obvious for all to see -some cars hit it anyway -some of those cars blow a tire

164 Pothole in the Road -gradually appears and gets worse -every car doesnt hit it -obvious for all to see -some cars hit it anyway -some of those cars blow a tire -some of those lose control

165 Pothole in the Road -gradually appears and gets worse -every car doesnt hit it -obvious for all to see -some cars hit it anyway -some of those cars blow a tire -some of those lose control -some of those collide with a car or tree

166 Pothole in the Road -gradually appears and gets worse -every car doesnt hit it -obvious for all to see -some cars hit it anyway -some of those cars blow a tire -some of those lose control -some of those collide with a car or tree -some of those will be injured

167 Pothole in the Road -some of those will die

168 Pothole in the Road -some of those will die -all because of a pothole in the road

169 Pothole in the Road -some of those will die -all because of a pothole in the road -the pothole could have been fixed as soon as it appeared

170 Pothole in the Road -some of those will die -all because of a pothole in the road -the pothole could have been fixed as soon as it appeared -Deduction says no one would get hurt because no one has been hurt yet.

171 Pothole in the Road -some of those will die -all because of a pothole in the road -the pothole could have been fixed as soon as it appeared -Deduction says no one would get hurt because no one has been hurt yet. -Induction says if we fix the pothole no one will get hurt.

172 Inductive Logic Safety managers must perfect inductive logic to prevent accidents

173 Inductive Logic they will spend a lot of time using deductive reasoning trying to explain why a disaster occurred. Safety managers must perfect inductive logic to prevent accidents or they will spend a lot of time using deductive reasoning trying to explain why a disaster occurred.

174 Calculation of the Risk of the Hazard

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176

177

178

179 0 +Y +X +Z 100%

180 Risk may vary by time of day, time of season, time of year

181 Times of high activity, low activity, combined activity & coincidence

182 Risk equals probability times seriousness

183 Z = X Y

184 Risk equals probability times seriousness Z = X Y

185 Risk equals probability times seriousness Z = X Y -Three dimensional curve, depicting the full range of risks. It is a graphic display of the safety challenge

186 Mathematical expression of Hazard Risk of Cost of Loss or Z Z = sine |X| N ( Y ) Where: X = Hazard Probability from 0 to here-it-comes Y = Hazard Seriousness from minor to major Sine = regular time fluctuations N = variable factors

187 N = Possible Variable factors N = n1+n2+n3+n4+n5+n6, where: n1 = Assigned legal punitive costs n2 = Loss of public relations image & market share n3 = Loss of managerial talent to resolving disaster n4 = Loss of company growth & productivity n5 = Employee morale destruction n6 = Eventual discovery that disaster was preventable causing loss of confidence

188 A graph of the mathematical equation Z= sine|X|(NY) gives a visual clue to the magnitude of the safety hazard resolution challenge!.

189 Hazard Risk of Cost of Loss is product of two other factors & is somewhat geometric

190 Risk (costs) = probability x severity Z = X Y where Z, X,Y>0

191 Severity and probability grow together the costs begin a rise in risk cost.

192 Safety Forecast may involve you becoming aware of hazards such as these: -Flightcrew observing language-based misunderstood ATC instructions, which have led to close encounters with terrain, heard about on a hotel van -Increased employee auto mishap injuries, heard about from health benefits director -unreported ? -unmanaged ? -unresolved ?

193 Planning

194 …from local safety forecast

195 local organization Planning involves very specific procedures, which are clear for your local organization to follow.

196 -Innovative flight crew terrain hazard awareness training

197 -All-employee drive-safe activities

198 -Innovative flight crew terrain hazard awareness training -All-employee drive-safe activities - Examples of local flight safety programs

199 -Innovative flight crew terrain hazard awareness training -All-employee drive-safe activities - Examples of local flight safety programs - Responding to forecasts of unresolved hazards

200 -Innovative flight crew terrain hazard awareness training -All-employee drive-safe activities - Examples of local flight safety programs - Responding to forecasts of unresolved hazards, - Preventing accidents rather than investigating aviation disasters

201 external Planning involves very specific recommended procedures for external organizations

202 -Coordinated Interagency Premishap Preparation

203 -Coordinated Interagency Premishap Preparation -Letters of Safety Concern to an aviation business trade association

204 -Coordinated Interagency Premishap Preparation -Letters of Safety Concern -Examples of specific recommendations

205 -Coordinated Interagency Premishap Preparation -Letters of Safety Concern -Examples of specific recommendations for organizations external to your local operation

206 Example of annual safety forecast

207 Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast.

208 -Airport Operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast

209 Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast. -Airport Operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast based on culturally interpreted hazard report data, logical projections,

210 Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast. -Airport Operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast based on culturally interpreted hazard report data, logical projections, industry literature and seminars,

211 Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast. -Airport Operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast based on culturally interpreted hazard report data, logical projections, industry literature and seminars, expressions of probability and severity determinations.

212 Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast. -Airport operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast based on culturally interpreted hazard report data, logical projections, industry literature and seminars, expressions of probability and severity determinations. -From the Forecast

213 Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast. -Airport Operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast based on culturally interpreted hazard report data, logical projections, industry literature and seminars, expressions of probability and severity determinations. -From the Forecast an Annual Safety Plan

214 Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast. -Airport Operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast based on culturally interpreted hazard report data, logical projections, industry literature and seminars, expressions of probability and severity determinations. -From the Forecast an Annual Safety Plan was developed to address the hazards.

215 Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops 1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year 2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar 3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking 4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally 5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards 6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff 7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths

216 Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops 1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year 2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar 3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking 4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally 5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards 6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff 7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths

217 Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops 1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year 2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar 3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking 4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally 5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards 6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff 7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths

218 Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops 1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year 2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar 3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking 4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally 5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards 6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff 7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths

219 Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops 1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year 2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar 3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking 4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally 5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards 6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff 7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths

220 Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops 1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year 2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar 3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking 4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally 5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards 6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff 7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths

221 Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops 1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year 2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar 3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking 4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally 5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards 6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff 7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths

222 Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops 1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year 2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar 3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking 4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally 5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards 6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff 7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths

223 Forecast Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops Bird strikes 1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year FOD 2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar coordination problems 3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking hazmat employee exposure 4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally minor injury increase 5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards driving losses & vehicular damage 6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff without alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths 7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths

224 Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops reported safety visit 1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year observed seminar 2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar experienced 3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking read about experienced locally 4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally reported 5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards mentioned by 6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff sufficient study 7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths

225 Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops

226 January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification

227 Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning

228 Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training

229 Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking

230 Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking May- Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review

231 Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review June-All Employee First-aid Training

232 Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review June-All Employee First-aid Training July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication

233 Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review June-All Employee First-aid Training July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication August-All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning

234 Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review June-All Employee First-aid Training July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication August-All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning September-Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology Review

235 Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review June-All Employee First-aid Training July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication August-All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning September-Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology Review October-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Transportation

236 Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review June-All Employee First-aid Training July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication August-All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning September-Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology Review October-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Transportation November-All Employee Hazmat Awareness Training

237 Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review June-All Employee First-aid Training July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication August-All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning September-Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology Review October-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Transportation November-All Employee Hazmat Awareness Training December- Access Highway Traffic & Pedestrian Safety Review

238 Plan Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops January January - Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification February February - All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning March March - All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training April April - Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking May May - Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review June June - All Employee First-aid Training July July - Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication August August - All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning September September - Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology Review October October - Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Transportation November November - All Employee Hazmat Awareness Training December December- Access Highway Traffic & Pedestrian Safety Review

239 Plan Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops Exercise January-Quarterly Premishap Exercise -Alert Notification FOD Deep Cleaning February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning Training March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training Exercise April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise -Interagency Tasking InspectionReview May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review Training June-All Employee First-aid Training Exercise July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise -Radio Communication FOD Deep Cleaning August-All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning Review September-Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology Review Exercise October-Quarterly Premishap Exercise -Transportation Training November-All Employee Hazmat Awareness Training Review December- Access Highway Traffic & Pedestrian Safety Review

240 January 13, Tues, 1000-1200, Quarterly Air Disaster Preparedness Drill; Safety Conference Room, Bldg 2; Airline Safety Reps, Field Support, Emergency Services, Airfield Communications, Public Affairs, Legal, Administration, Transportation, Security, contract photo/video, corporate flight business association. January 13, Tues, 1000-1200, Quarterly Air Disaster Preparedness Drill; Safety Conference Room, Bldg 2; Airline Safety Reps, Field Support, Emergency Services, Airfield Communications, Public Affairs, Legal, Administration, Transportation, Security, contract photo/video, corporate flight business association. February 12, Thurs, 0800-1200, All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning; Base of Terminal Bldg; Field Support, Airline Safety Reps, contract cleaners, Disposal, private and corporate ramp coordinators. March 17, Wed, 1000-1130, 1300-1430, All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training; Airfield Ops Training Room, all departments, either of 2 sessions. All corporate and private ramp employees invited.

241 April 13, Tues, 1000-1200, Quarterly Air Disaster Preparedness Drill-Inter Agency Tasking, Safety Conference Room, Bldg 2; Airport Regions CEO, Airport Manager, County Emergency Services Manager, City Press Club President, City Legal Association, County Department of Transportation, corporate flight business association. May 1,4 Sat 1300-1500, Tues 0800-1200, Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection, Ramp Vehicle Safety Review, Terminal Safety Reps and Ground Support Mechanics June 3 Thurs, 1000-1130, All Employee First Aid, CPR-AED & Medical Response Training, Safety Training Room, Bldg 2, All Departments; All corporate and private ramp employees invited.

242 July 13, Tues, 1000-1200 Quarterly Air Disaster Preparedness Drill-Radio Communications; Safety Conference Room, Bldg 2, All Departmental Communications Reps, All Airline Safety Reps, corporate cliental, corporate flight business association. August 6, Friday, 0800-1200, All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning, Airops Ground Support, Safety, contract cleaners, Disposal, private and corporate ramp coordinators. Meet at Fire Station 2, north of field. August 6, Friday, 0800-1200, All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning, Airops Ground Support, Safety, contract cleaners, Disposal, private and corporate ramp coordinators. Meet at Fire Station 2, north of field. September 21, Tuesday; 1000-1200, Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology Review; Safety Conference Room, Bldg 2, Safety, Air Field Manager, Field Support, Engineering, Staff Biologist, Public Affairs.

243 October 12, Tues., 1000-1200; Quarterly Air Disaster Preparedness Drill-Emergency Transportation; Safety Conference Room, Bldg 2; Air Field Manager, Air Field Transportation, contract bus transportation vendors, corporate cliental, corporate flight business association. November 4, Thurs, 0900-1100, 1300-1500; All Employee Hazardous Materials Awareness Training, Safety Training Room, Bldg 2; All Departments, safety Hazmat training vendor; All corporate and private ramp employees invited. October 12, Tues., 1000-1200; Quarterly Air Disaster Preparedness Drill-Emergency Transportation; Safety Conference Room, Bldg 2; Air Field Manager, Air Field Transportation, contract bus transportation vendors, corporate cliental, corporate flight business association. November 4, Thurs, 0900-1100, 1300-1500; All Employee Hazardous Materials Awareness Training, Safety Training Room, Bldg 2; All Departments, safety Hazmat training vendor; All corporate and private ramp employees invited. December 1, Wed, 0700-0900; Access Highway, Traffic & Pedestrian Safety Review, Safety Training Room, Bldg 2, Safety, Airfield Manager, Engineering, Public Safety Rep.

244 October 12, Tues., 1000-1200; Quarterly Air Disaster Preparedness Drill-Emergency Transportation; Safety Conference Room, Bldg 2; Air Field Manager, Air Field Transportation, contract bus transportation vendors, corporate cliental, corporate flight business association. November 4, Thurs, 0900-1100, 1300-1500; All Employee Hazardous Materials Awareness Training, Safety Training Room, Bldg 2; All Departments, safety Hazmat training vendor; All corporate and private ramp employees invited. October 12, Tues., 1000-1200; Quarterly Air Disaster Preparedness Drill-Emergency Transportation; Safety Conference Room, Bldg 2; Air Field Manager, Air Field Transportation, contract bus transportation vendors, corporate cliental, corporate flight business association. November 4, Thurs, 0900-1100, 1300-1500; All Employee Hazardous Materials Awareness Training, Safety Training Room, Bldg 2; All Departments, safety Hazmat training vendor; All corporate and private ramp employees invited. December 1, Wed, 0700-0900; Access Highway, Traffic & Pedestrian Safety Review, Safety Training Room, Bldg 2, Safety, Airfield Manager, Engineering, Public Safety Rep.

245 Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops

246 1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system.

247 Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops 1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system. 2. Insufficient meteorological support & ATC procedures for convective weather flight ops avoidance.

248 Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops 1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system. 2. Insufficient meteorological support & ATC procedures for convective weather flight ops avoidance. 3. Regulatory shortfall concerning flight duty and rest.

249 Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops 1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system. 2. Insufficient meteorological support & ATC procedures for convective weather flight ops avoidance. 3. Regulatory shortfall concerning flight duty and rest. 4. Insufficient aircraft rescue and firefighting (ARFF) capability at smaller airfields, during off-peak traffic hours, when you operate.

250 Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops 1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system. 2. Insufficient meteorological support & ATC procedures for convective weather flight ops avoidance. 3. Regulatory shortfall concerning flight duty and rest. 4. Insufficient aircraft rescue and firefighting (ARFF) capability at smaller airfields, during off-peak traffic hours, when you operate. 5. Varying levels of regulatory safety concerning the required equipment for proposed DRVSM operations.

251 Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops 1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system. 2. Insufficient meteorological support & ATC procedures for convective weather flight ops avoidance. 3. Regulatory shortfall concerning flight duty and rest. 4. Insufficient aircraft rescue and firefighting (ARFF) capability at smaller airfields, during off-peak traffic hours, when you operate. 5. Varying levels of regulatory safety concerning the required equipment for proposed DRVSM operations. 6. Human factors problems view as labor-management issue with cultural overtones.

252 Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops reporting system 1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system. convective weather flight ops avoidance 2. Insufficient meteorological support & ATC procedures for convective weather flight ops avoidance. flight duty and rest. 3. Regulatory shortfall concerning flight duty and rest. ARFF 4. Insufficient aircraft rescue and firefighting ( ARFF ) capability at smaller airfields, during off-peak traffic hours, when you operate. Varying levels of regulatory safety 5. Varying levels of regulatory safety concerning the required equipment for proposed DRVSM operations. Human factors 6. Human factors problems view as labor-management issue with cultural overtones.

253 Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops 1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system. 2. Insufficient meteorological support & ATC procedures for convective weather flight ops avoidance. 3. Regulatory shortfall concerning flight duty and rest. 4. Insufficient aircraft rescue and firefighting (ARFF) capability at smaller airfields, during off-peak traffic hours, when you operate. 5. Varying levels of regulatory safety concerning the required equipment for proposed DRVSM operations. 6. Human factors problems view as labor-management issue with cultural overtones.

254 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops

255 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system,

256 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built- in response procedures,

257 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built- in response procedures, feed-back procedures

258 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built- in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved.

259 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product,

260 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere.

261 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display

262 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures.

263 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures. 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA

264 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest.

265 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures.

266 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures. 4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators

267 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures. 4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF).

268 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures. 4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall.

269 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures. 4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations of your organization.

270 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures. 4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations 5. Attend CAA hearings to call for One Level Of Safety for all DRVSM operations communication.

271 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures. 4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations 5. Attend CAA hearings to call for One Level Of Safety for all DRVSM operations communication. Publish proceedings in company newsletter.

272 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures. 4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations 5. Attend CAA hearings to call for One Level Of Safety for all DRVSM operations communication. Publish proceedings in company newsletter. 6. Establish Human Factors Workshop based on latest human factors research,

273 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures. 4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations 5. Attend CAA hearings to call for One Level Of Safety for all DRVSM operations communication. Publish proceedings in company newsletter. 6. Establish Human Factors Workshop based on latest human factors research, to influence company culture

274 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures. 4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations 5. Attend CAA hearings to call for One Level Of Safety for all DRVSM operations communication. Publish proceedings in company newsletter. 6. Establish Human Factors Workshop based on latest human factors research, to influence company culture, deemphasize human factors as management-labor issue.

275 Plan Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops Develop 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved Obtain 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures Publish 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures. Change 4. Begin campaign to Change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations Attend Publish 5. Attend CAA hearings to call for One Level Of Safety for all DRVSM operations communication. Publish proceedings in company newsletter. Establish 6. Establish Human Factors Workshop based on latest human factors research, to influence company culture, deemphasize labor issue.

276 Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops system procedures 1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved product procedures 2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures abstracts procedures 3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures. philosophy education service 4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations One Level Of Safety newsletter 5. Attend CAA hearings to call for One Level Of Safety for all DRVSM operations communication. Publish proceedings in company newsletter. Workshop culture 6. Establish Human Factors Workshop based on latest human factors research, to influence company culture, deemphasize human factors as management-labor issue.

277 Conclusion Charting a safe course

278 Safety Forecast -based on hazards which are: 1. Unreported 2. Unmanaged 3. Unresolved 4. Local Affect

279 Safety Plan -based on Local Safety Forecast: 1. To report hazard 2. To manage hazard 3. To resolve hazard 4. To protect local assets

280 Successful Flight Safety Program Procedures…

281 … to keep one step ahead of the next big accident

282 …lower your local accident rate toward zero! ! ! ! ! !

283 Forecasting Hazards & Planning Change to meet Future Safety Issues, Decisions & Attitudes…

284

285 …and Keep Your Business Profitable!

286 Thank you!


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