1. Comparison of the Swedish NC3 and CAFE baseline projections

2. Country perspectives
Swedish energy policy objectives: A secure, efficient and environmentally friendly energy supply
Mainly market based instruments
Kyoto targets likely to be reached with current policies (Kyoto target +4%, national goal -4%)
Liberalisation of electricity market

3. National peculiarities
Large portion of power production with limited carbon dioxide emissions
Nuclear phase-out and restricted large-scale hydropower
Restricted natural gas capacity
Energy intensive industry
Long distances
A lot of electricity used for space heating

4. Comparison: Drivers
GDP significantly lower in NC3: GDP increase 1,1% , because of demographic structure: decreasing working population
Price development of gas and coal considered higher in NC3.

5. Situation in 2000
Sum of residential and tertial sector 6 TWh higher in NC3
Industry OK
Very different figures for passenger aviation and inland navigation - must be differences in definition
Inland navigation large discrepancies for freight transports

6. Energy projections Natural gas: restriction in capacity
Sum of residential and tertiary sector TWH higher in NC3
“Green certificates” included in CAFE baseline?

7. Transport projections
Still differences in definitions for inland navigation and train, plus
Large discrepancies for passenger train transport and road transport
For freight transports, train transport and inland navigation very different