1. DO THE OLD THEORIES APPLY ANY MORE?
Two big questions for social scientists:
Will global politics in the 20th c. follow the rules of a new system?
Do the standard theories of IR still predict state behavior?

2. WHAT IS THE POST COLD-WAR SYSTEM?
The unipolar model: American liberal hegemony will endure
Faltering unipolarism is in transition to multi- or bi-polar hegemony
The “clash of civilizations” model
Another two-worlds model: peace and turmoil
The apolar model
The globalization model:
interconnectedness & interdependence
Is this truly unprecedented? Is it unstopable?

3. FRIEDMAN’S VIEW OF GLOBALIZATION
Defining technologies: Miniaturization, info. technology, and the internet, & transportation)
The fundamental rules: The “Washington Consensus”; The “Golden Straightjacket”
Defining structure of power: States, markets, individuals & intl. institutions
Dominant institution: The firm
Dominant ideas: Free market capitalism vs. state capitalism; Maybe democracy… but maybe not
Dominant culture: Americanization?
Demographic trends: Unprecedented movement, birth rates
The measurement of power: How you are connected to everyone else
The defining fear: Falling behind

4. BUT IS THE WORLD REALLY FLAT?
Globalization is a choice? A little history and the current crisis
Evidence that the world isn’t flat: Gehemawat’s 10% presumption
Domestic foreign invest vs. Foreign dir. investment
Portfolio investment, trade, patenting
People and phone call revenue
Even the internet is primarily domestic
Why is globalization slowing down?
Most states and most markets are domestic, and they have rooted interests (even the EU is an example)
The stakes of globalization will affect global power
Domestic politics fights back against globalization (in China, too)
The big fights ahead: The limits of energy & water, climate warming, how much human rights should trump sovereignty, & globalizing the entire economy rather than just what the powerful countries want globalized.