1. November 8, 2016 Election Results Florida’s Gulf Coast
Where The Votes Are
November 8, 2016 Election Results
Florida’s Gulf Coast

2. This analysis will look at the precinct and voter history data
This analysis will look at the precinct and voter history data. This is hard data, not a sample such as a pre-election poll or exit poll. It does not reveal who voters indivually supported.
Polls versus returns
Full Excel spreadsheets available at jacoboglesblog.wordpress.com

3. President-elect Trump and Sen
President-elect Trump and Sen. Marco Rubio both won nearly the same number of votes in Sarasota and Manatee. Trump had 275 more votes than Rubio in Sarasota. Rubio took 773 more votes than Trump in Manatee.
President US Senate

4. Congress District
Republican Candidate
Democrat Candidate
Third/NPA Candidate
FL-1
255,107
114,079
FL-2
231,163
102,801
9,398
FL-3
193,843
136,338
12,519
FL-4
287,509
113,088
9,065
FL-5
108,325
194,549
FL-6
213,519
151,051
FL-7
171,583
182,039 33
FL-8
246,483
127,127
16,951
FL-9
144,450
195,311
FL-10
107,498
198,491
FL-11
258,016
124,713
11,990
FL-12
253,559
116,110
FL-13
171,149
184,693
FL-14
121,088
195,789
FL-15
182,999
135,475
FL-16
230,654
155,262
FL-17
209,348
115,974
13,353
FL-18
201,488
161,918
12,512
FL-19
239,225
123,812
129
FL-20
54,646
222,914
FL-21
118,038
210,606
FL-22
138,737
199,113
FL-23
130,818
183,225
9,077
FL-24
FL-25
157,921
95,319
FL-26
148,547
115,493
16,502
FL-27
157,917
129,760
Total
4,733,630
3,985,050
111,529
Reps. Buchanan and Rooney dominated, and GOP House candidates outperformed Trump statewide.
US House

5. Greg Steube easily won the District 23 Florida Senate Seat, taking more votes than Rubio in Sarasota
State Senate

6. Sarasota
101
331
707
103
-809
333
167
105
644
335
196
106
830
337
139
107
670
339
276
109
341 28
111
-393
401
113 32
403
215
115
-2421
405
478
117
166
407
449
119
-165
409
909
121
313
411
1013
123
-291
413
575
125
-151
415
915
127
1162
417
1568
129
-48
419
414
131 53
421
262
133
1646
423
354
135
364
425
233
201
427 45
203
498
205
384
207
-97
431
854
209
433
211
435
520
213
437
140 25
390
217 95
605
219
678
503
165
221
1182
505
469
223 1
507
733
225 -4
509
128
227 77
511
580
229
272
513 65
231
1117
515
293
1544
517
301
210
519
352
303 13
521
305
551
523
152
307
1437
525
673
309
619
527
311
1036
529
719
1476
531
192
315
378
533
317
340
535
1480
319
162
537
715
321
881
539
762
323
277
541
703
325
208
543
327
782
545
945
329
314
Total
38841
No State House races were close. Democrats carried no GOP-leaning precincts, and Republicans won only a few left- leaning ones.
Manatee
101
213
-633
103 81
215
-551
107
217
-178
111 71
415
-372
117
800
417
864
119
434
419
235
121
1042
421
123
594
501
1262
125
299
503
755
127
1420
505
610
129
478
507
236
131
778
509
979
133
322
511
918
135
1684
513
397
137
1476
515
1114
139
2127
517
1339
141
258
519
1870
201
521
1250
203
246
523
1165
205
-743
525
281
207
-19
527
773
209
-647
Total
#REF!
211
479
State House

7. Constitutional Officers
Tax Collector
Constitutional Officers
Barbara Ford-Coates provided rare assurance to Democrats, dominating while all other county-wide Democrats failed.
Clerk of Court
Karen Rushing coasted to re-election, winning many Democratic- leaning precincts fellow Republicans failed to win.

8. Mike Moran secured victory winning the safe red precincts, rivaling Steube in votes while Atkins was held to blue areas.
Betsy Benac won re- election over an NPA opponent, who only won a few Democratic precincts.
County Commission
Stephen Jonnson won less than a majority, but his NPA opponents had different geographic support.

9. Messenger won every precinct county-wide against an opponent backed by Manatee Democrats.
Miner edged out victory against a fellow Republican, but had the narrowest win of any regional candidate.
School Board

10. Manatee
Methodology
Voting by Mail has become the most popular method to cast ballots. Election Day now just the end game.
Sarasota

11. Turnout among younger voters leaps for presidential elections, but remains under 60 percent for the under-30 set. For voters 50-90, turnout runs 80 percent or higher.
Turnout by Age

12. Voters by Race
Turnout among white voters was upward of 79%. Among blacks and Hispanics, it was 67%.

13. Party Breakdown
Republicans turned out at such a high rate (83%) that in the two-county region, GOP voters would have outnumbered Democrats if all of them turned out.

14. Female voters continue to outnumber male voters in both counties, and women turn out at higher rates than men.
Gender breakdown
Male
238592
182007
76.28%
Female
282967
222744
78.72%
Unidentified
12060
8129
67.40%

15. Where The Votes Are
DISCUSSION