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Growing Economies 4.1 Globalisation
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What you need to know a) Growth rate of the UK economy compared to emerging economies b) Growing economic power of countries within Asia, Africa and other parts of the world c) Implications of economic growth for individuals and businesses: trade opportunities for businesses employment patterns d) Indicators of growth: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita literacy health Human Development Index (HDI)
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What is an “Emerging Economy”?
“Emerging economy” is used to describe an economy in the process of ______________________and ________________
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Common Features of Emerging Economies
Economies making a transition Rapid industrialisation (i.e. development of secondary & tertiary sectors) Have potential to become _____________ economies Faster long-term ___________ _____________than most developed economies Many inhabitants still in ___________, though economic growth is taking many out of poverty Businesses struggle to access ___________ ______________(e.g. trade barriers)
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Emerging economies have achieved significantly higher economic growth rates in recent years
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The Four Classic Original Emerging Economies
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What Happened to the BRICs
BRICs = Brazil, Russia, India & China Research by Jim O’Neill (Goldman Sachs) 15 years ago highlighted the prominent rise of four ________________ markets Particularly significant for developed economies – because of their _______and ___________ rate Brazil has since entered a prolonged recession (as did Russia) China has now become the world’s ____________economy and in many respects is now a ____________ economy
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Perceived Business Threats from Emerging Economies
Increasingly large pool of _____________, but ___________ labour _____________ currencies make their exports cheaper _____________ protection of brand and other intellectual property State ____________ of industries to make them more ______________ globally
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Business Opportunities in Emerging Economies
Growing numbers of educated middle class consumers - = growing consumer ___________ Cultural shifts – e.g. higher demand for personal products, private education & _____________ Demand for ________________and other products & services from developed economies Source of high-skilled but low-cost labour (_____________ / off_________) Great potential for ______________and ac________________s
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Key risks and threats of doing business in emerging economies
Political ____________ Cultural _______________/ sensitivities Variable approaches to financial & _________ dealings (e.g. contractual law) Corruption and _____________still an issue Emerging markets becoming major exporters Low-cost production makes developed economies ______________ in some markets
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Multinationals have led investment into Emerging Economies
Global brands need to operate ___________ By definition they need to be active in fast-_________ emerging economies as well as having established market shares in ____________economies
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Economic Growth in Emerging Economies Now
Country Groups 2013 2014 2015 2016f BRICS 5.7 5.1 3.9 4.6 Developing economies 5.3 4.9 4.3 4.8 High-income economies 1.2 1.7 1.6 2.1 Low-income economies 6.4 6.1 6.2 World economy 2.4 2.6 2.9 Regions / Developing Countries Developing East Asia and Pacific 7.1 6.8 6.3 Developing Europe and Central Asia 2.3 3.0 Developing Latin America and the Caribbean 1.5 -0.7 0.1 Developing Middle East and N. Africa 0.6 2.5 Developing South Asia 7.0 7.3 Developing Sub-Saharan Africa 3.4 4.2 Source: World Bank 2016
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Fastest Growing Economies in 2016
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Why Emerging Economies are Likely to Continue to Enjoy High Growth Rates
U________________ process continues I________________ – especially in East Asia and S Africa Population ___________ Per ___________ income growth, rise of middle classes and consumer society Workforce will continue to improve __________ and be more productive Technological inn____________ in many emerging markets (especially in Korea, China, India)
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Key Indicators of Economic Growth
GDP (total) GDP (per capita) PPP Literacy Health
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GDP per Capita for Key Economic Regions
Gross domestic product per capita in selected global regions measured at current prices in 2014 (in U.S. dollars)
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GDP Per Capita and GDP Per Capita (PPP Adjusted)
Central African Republic 320 600 Malawi 350 1,140 Ethiopia 590 1,620 Kenya 1,340 3,060 Bangladesh 1,190 3,550 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,628 3,562 Zambia 1,500 3,660 South Asia 1,533 5,653 Vietnam 1,980 5,690 India 1,590 6,020 South Africa 6,050 12,830 China 7,820 14,160 Brazil 9,850 15,020 World Average 10,437 15,415
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Share of GDP by Sector by Country (2014)
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The Human Development Index (HDI)
Since 1990, the United Nations has published an alternative measure of economic development - the ___________________________________(shortened to HDI)
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Key Points about the HDI
HDI focuses on three key measures of human development: longevity basic education minimal income The HDI ____________________made by countries in improving these three basic development outcomes The inclusion of education and health indicators is a sign of successful policies in providing access to health care, sanitation and education
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The Three Measures used in the HDI
Knowledge: First an educational component made up of two statistics – mean years of schooling and expected years of schooling Long and healthy life: Second a life expectancy component is calculated using a minimum value for life expectancy of 25 years and maximum value of 85 years A decent standard of living: The final element is gross national product (GDP per capita adjusted to purchasing power parity standard (PPP)
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2015 Human Development Index – Highest Rankings
Human Development Index (HDI) Life expectancy at birth Expected years of schooling Mean years of schooling Gross national income (GNI) per capita GNI per capita rank minus HDI rank Country Value (years) (2011 PPP $) Norway 0.944 81.6 17.5 12.6 64,992 5 Australia 0.935 82.4 20.2 13.0 42,261 17 Switzerland 0.930 83.0 15.8 12.8 56,431 6 Denmark 0.923 80.2 18.7 12.7 44,025 11 Netherlands 0.922 17.9 11.9 45,435 9 Germany 0.916 80.9 16.5 13.1 43,919 Ireland 18.6 12.2 39,568 16 United States 0.915 79.1 12.9 52,947 3 Canada 0.913 82.0 15.9 42,155 New Zealand 81.8 19.2 12.5 32,689 23 Singapore 0.912 15.4 10.6 76,628 -7 Hong Kong, China (SAR) 0.910 84.0 15.6 11.2 53,959 -2 Liechtenstein 0.908 80.0 15.0 11.8 79,851 -10 Sweden 0.907 82.2 12.1 45,636 -1 United Kingdom 80.7 16.2 39,267 Iceland 0.899 82.6 19.0 35,182 12 Korea (Republic of) 0.898 81.9 16.9 33,890 13
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Countries with lowest HDI ranking in 2015
Human Development Index (HDI) Life expectancy at birth Expected years of schooling Mean years of schooling Gross national income (GNI) per capita GNI per capita rank minus HDI rank Country Value (years) (2011 PPP $) Côte d'Ivoire 0.462 51.5 8.9 4.3 3,171 -24 Malawi 0.445 62.8 10.8 747 13 Ethiopia 0.442 64.1 8.5 2.4 1,428 2 Gambia 0.441 60.2 8.8 2.8 1,507 -2 DRC 0.433 58.7 9.8 6.0 680 11 Liberia 0.430 60.9 9.5 4.1 805 7 Guinea-Bissau 0.420 55.2 9.0 1,362 -1 Mali 0.419 58.0 8.4 2.0 1,583 -8 Mozambique 0.416 55.1 9.3 3.2 1,123 1 Sierra Leone 0.413 50.9 8.6 3.1 1,780 -16 Guinea 0.411 58.8 8.7 1,096 Burkina Faso 0.402 7.8 1.4 1,591 -13 Burundi 0.400 56.7 10.1 2.7 758 Chad 0.392 51.6 7.4 1.9 2,085 -22 Eritrea 0.391 63.7 3.9 1,130 -6 Central African Republic 0.350 50.7 7.2 4.2 581 Niger 0.348 61.4 5.4 1.5 908 -5
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Limitations of the HDI The standard HDI measure does not take into account ________________________________, such as cultural identity and political freedoms (human security, gender opportunities and human rights for example) The GDP per capita figure – and consequently the HDI figure – takes no account of __________________________. If income is unevenly distributed, GDP per capita will be an inaccurate measure of people’s monetary well-being Purchasing power parity (PPP) values used to adjust GDP data change quickly and can be inaccurate or misleading
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