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Date of download: 6/29/2016 From: Predicting Future Functional Status for Seriously Ill Hospitalized Adults: The SUPPORT Prognostic Model Ann Intern Med.

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Presentation on theme: "Date of download: 6/29/2016 From: Predicting Future Functional Status for Seriously Ill Hospitalized Adults: The SUPPORT Prognostic Model Ann Intern Med."— Presentation transcript:

1 Date of download: 6/29/2016 From: Predicting Future Functional Status for Seriously Ill Hospitalized Adults: The SUPPORT Prognostic Model Ann Intern Med. 1995;122(5):342-350. doi:10.7326/0003-4819-122-5-199503010-00004 Derivation of study sample. Figure Legend: Copyright © American College of Physicians. All rights reserved.American College of Physicians

2 Date of download: 6/29/2016 From: Predicting Future Functional Status for Seriously Ill Hospitalized Adults: The SUPPORT Prognostic Model Ann Intern Med. 1995;122(5):342-350. doi:10.7326/0003-4819-122-5-199503010-00004 Calibration curves.Top.Bottom.In both panels, the solid line denotes perfect calibration between observed frequency and predicted risk for severe functional limitations 2 months after hospitalization. The dotted line indicates actual calibration. Data for 1746 seriously ill patients in the model development sample. Data for 2478 seriously ill patients in the independent validation sample. The histogram provides the distribution of actual patients. ROC = receiver-operating characteristic. Figure Legend: Copyright © American College of Physicians. All rights reserved.American College of Physicians

3 Date of download: 6/29/2016 From: Predicting Future Functional Status for Seriously Ill Hospitalized Adults: The SUPPORT Prognostic Model Ann Intern Med. 1995;122(5):342-350. doi:10.7326/0003-4819-122-5-199503010-00004 Distribution of limitations in activities of daily living at 2 months with baseline limitations.Numbers above the bars indicate the number of limitations at 2 months. Increases in the proportion of patients with four or more limitations at 2 months are associated with more baseline limitations. ADL = activities of daily living. Figure Legend: Copyright © American College of Physicians. All rights reserved.American College of Physicians

4 Date of download: 6/29/2016 From: Predicting Future Functional Status for Seriously Ill Hospitalized Adults: The SUPPORT Prognostic Model Ann Intern Med. 1995;122(5):342-350. doi:10.7326/0003-4819-122-5-199503010-00004 Phase II feedback form.Sample format presenting prognostic information about survival and functional status to physicians in the intervention phase of SUPPORT. The patient is a 49-year-old man with liver cirrhosis (disease group), and the prognostic estimates are for day 7 of the study. The solid line indicates the predicted mortality rate with 95% CIs. The + sign is the probability of surviving with severe functional limitations 2 months after hospitalization. The probability of not being severely dysfunctional at 2 months if the patient survives is 0.12 (95% CI, 0.06 to 0.25). Figure Legend: Copyright © American College of Physicians. All rights reserved.American College of Physicians

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