1. MPO DEMOGRAPHICS Public Meetings June 26 & 27, 2006 North Central Texas Council of Governments Transportation Department

2. 1.Consistent data in various regional, State, and local transportation/air quality planning processes. 2.Ability to test impact of different population and employment trends. 3.Ability to test impact and staging of different transportation investments. 4.Impacts should include sensitive populations, corridor performance, regional air quality, and RTC policy goals. 5.Sensitivity to a high level of detail to account for corridor specific variations. 6.Openness of process to allow for stakeholder input and transparency to the public and federal agencies. MPO Demographic Needs

3. Urban Activity Building a Detailed Base Recent Employment Improvements Distribution of employment Magnitude of employment Parcel based employment Tracking special generators Increase employment types Recent Population Improvements Parcel based households Tracking of infill versus greenfield Tracking of pedestrian versus auto oriented Pending Improvements Method for tracking changes in income and household size Refined location demand modeling Refined location supply tracking

4. 2005 Base Data Other Data (Dunn and Bradstreet, Census Bureau, Census 2000, American Community Survey, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics, The Perryman Group, Urban Land Institute, Federal Reserve, and Xceligent) Development Monitoring (conceptual, announced, under construction, existing) Parcels (land use, building sq. ft., year built) Local Governments and Employers (population estimates, housing estimates, and major employers)

5. 2005 Base Data: Parcels Cooperation with Appraisal Districts (9 counties) Five Complete Counties (Tarrant, Collin, Dallas, Denton, Ellis) Four Partial Counties (Rockwall, Hunt, Johnson, Parker) Two Million Records

6. 2005 Base Data: Development Monitoring Over 8,000 Records in 11 Categories Education: Schools, colleges, and universities Group Quarters: Jails, nursing homes, and dorms Hotel: Hotels and Motels Institutions: Airports, airlines, and all major hospitals Industrial: Industrial buildings Mixed Use: Development with multiple uses Multi-Family: Apartments, town homes, and condos Office: Office buildings Recreation: Sites that attract high volumes of people Retail: Retail structures Single Family: Subdivisions Major developments over 100,000 square feet, 100 employees, and/or 100 Units.

7. 2005 Base Data: Employment Major Employers 4,344 Total Employers 1,344,926 Total Employees 40% of Regional Employment Verification & Surveys Dunn & Bradstreet Local Governments & Chambers Mail and Phone to Companies Other Over 75% of the major employers have been verified by one of the above methods in the past year

8. Advancing the State of the Practice Employment Detail 2005 Mid-Decade Employment Update Basic 1 Basic Intermodal Basic Aviation Service 1 Service High-Tec Service Health Retail 1 Retail Food Current Basic Service Retail

9. Sample Local Government Review Zones, Parcels, Employers, and Households

10. Schedule June 2006 – Preliminary 2005 small area population and employment estimates sent to local governments for review June 22, 2006 – First meeting of the Demographic Forecast Local Review Group June 26, 2006 – First meeting of the Demographic Methodology Group July 28, 2006 – Deadline for local government review and input of 2005 small area population and employment estimates October 2006 – NCTCOG Executive Board approval of 2005 County Control Totals

11. Mike Sims, AICP msims@nctcog.org or Alicia Hopkins ahopkins@nctcog.org (817) 608-2380 www.nctcog.org/2040forecast For more information: MPO DEMOGRAPHICS