4. GLM Algorithm Latency Testing 2. GLM Proxy Datasets Steve Goodman + others Burst Test 3. Data Error Handling Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) Lightning Cluster-Filter Algorithm: Latency, Error Detection, and Proxy Datasets 1. GLM Instrument Development Lightning Jump Algorithm for Improving Severe Weather Warning Lead time Schematic of a lightning jump (Williams et al. 1999)

A Nested Tracking Approach for Reducing the Slow Speed Bias Associated with Atmospheric Motion Vectors (AMVs) Wayne Bresky 1 and Jaime M. Daniels 2 IM Systems Group (IMSG), Inc. 1 NOAA/NESDIS, Center for Satellite Applications and Research (STAR) 2 0 Abstract Highlights work done to better understand and characterize the slow speed bias commonly associated with mid and upper level satellite-derived wind estimates Introduces a new nested tracking approach which is shown to significantly reduce this slow speed bias Results from case studies involving use of Meteosat-8 rapid-scan SEVIRI imagery are shown motion of 5x5 box motion of 15x15 box new approach

Microburst windspeed potential assessment: progress and recent developments Kenneth L. Pryor The GOES-sounder derived microburst products diagnose wind gust potential based on conceptual models of prototype environmental profiles. A prototype microburst sounding profile includes large CAPE and a well-developed mixed layer. The GOES-sounder derived microburst products diagnose wind gust potential based on conceptual models of prototype environmental profiles. A prototype microburst sounding profile includes large CAPE and a well-developed mixed layer. The Microburst Windspeed Potential Index (MWPI) algorithm incorporates CAPE, temperature lapse rate, and the relative humidity gradient (dew point depression difference) between the storm cloud base and the sub-cloud layer to model this prototype profile. The Microburst Windspeed Potential Index (MWPI) algorithm incorporates CAPE, temperature lapse rate, and the relative humidity gradient (dew point depression difference) between the storm cloud base and the sub-cloud layer to model this prototype profile. Validation during the convective seasons indicated a strong correlation between MWPI values and observed surface downburst wind gusts. Validation during the convective seasons indicated a strong correlation between MWPI values and observed surface downburst wind gusts.

A flight icing threat algorithm for GOES-R William L. Smith Jr., Patrick Minnis, Doug Spangenberg Multichannel-RGB Verified by Icing PIREPS Nov. 8, UTC Aircraft icing threat determined from ABI cloud products (i.e. phase, temperature, liquid water path, and effective radius) Flight Icing Threat from GOES-11,12 PIREPS Icing Intensity Icing Mask Unknown None Icing Possible

5 5 Validation with MODIS (example 13 th June 2008) Cloud particle size Cloud optical thickness 5 MODIS MYD06 and MOD06 products are well tested and validated data set. Cloud Properties Cloud Properties Andy Heidinger and Michael Pavolonis

Use of Spectral Information Sensitive to: 1.Composition 2.Particle size 3.Particle shape The goal is to isolate the cloud microphysical signal in the measured radiances such that it can be directly related to particle distributions via the single scatter properties. Cloud phase relationship derived from single scatter properties Good separation between water and ice over most R eff

Algorithm Results Derivation of cloud phase from cloud type Liquid water phase = Liquid water type Supercooled water phase = Supercooled water type Mixed phase = Mixed type Ice phase = Thin ice type or Thick ice type or Multilayered ice type Water, Supercooled Water, Mixed Phase, Ice

ABI Cloud Height Algorithm MODIS Cloud Pressure Validation MYD06 provides cloud height using a CO 2 slicing approach that has been well-characterized. The image on the right shows a comparison of the ACH run on SEVIRI compared to MODIS results for simultaneously observed pixels. Bias = -24 hPa Standard Deviation = 80 hPa These stats are computed for all pixels - not just thick low clouds.

ABI Cloud Height Algorithm MODIS Cloud Temperature Validation MYD06 provides cloud height using a CO 2 slicing approach that has been well-characterized. The image on the right shows a comparison of the ACH run on SEVIRI compared to MODIS results for simultaneously observed pixels. Bias = -3.6 K Standard Deviation = 9 K

A flight icing threat algorithm for GOES-R William L. Smith Jr., Patrick Minnis, Doug Spangenberg Multichannel-RGB Verified by Icing PIREPS Nov. 8, UTC Aircraft icing threat determined from ABI cloud products (i.e. phase, temperature, liquid water path, and effective radius) Flight Icing Threat from GOES-11,12 PIREPS Icing Intensity Icing Mask Unknown None Icing Possible

11 The GOES-R Rainfall Probability Algorithm R. J. Kuligowski and J. C. Davenport Requirement: forecast probability of rainfall exceeding 0.25 mm during the next 3h, covering 60°S to 60°N within 70° LZA at the full ABI resolution every 15 min Requirement: forecast probability of rainfall exceeding 0.25 mm during the next 3h, covering 60°S to 60°N within 70° LZA at the full ABI resolution every 15 min No current real-time satellite-based rainfall probability algorithms, so had to develop “from scratch” No current real-time satellite-based rainfall probability algorithms, so had to develop “from scratch” Developed using SEVIRI data from 1-5 Jan, April, July, Oct 2005 Developed using SEVIRI data from 1-5 Jan, April, July, Oct 2005 Tested on SEVIRI data for 6-9 April, July, Oct 2005 Tested on SEVIRI data for 6-9 April, July, Oct 2005 Validated against NIMROD radar over western Europe (example on right with NIMROD rain area on top) Validated against NIMROD radar over western Europe (example on right with NIMROD rain area on top)

12 The GOES-R Rainfall Potential Algorithm R. J. Kuligowski, V. Lakshmanan, and J. C. Davenport Requirement: 0-3 h forecast of rainfall accumulation covering 60°S to 60°N within 70° LZA at the full ABI resolution every 15 min Requirement: 0-3 h forecast of rainfall accumulation covering 60°S to 60°N within 70° LZA at the full ABI resolution every 15 min Based on K-Means algorithm developed at NOAA / OAR / NSSL Based on K-Means algorithm developed at NOAA / OAR / NSSL Tested on SEVIRI data for 6-9 April, July, Oct 2005 Tested on SEVIRI data for 6-9 April, July, Oct 2005 Validated against NIMROD radar over western Europe (example on right with NIMROD on top) Validated against NIMROD radar over western Europe (example on right with NIMROD on top) Performance meets F&PS requirements Performance meets F&PS requirements

Backup Cloud Property Slide

14 Cloud Properties Theoretical Description Cloud Properties Andy Heidinger and Michael Pavolonis Theoretical Description ● Figure on the right illustrates the cod-ceps solution space for a given viewing geometry and surface reflectance. ● This information for all viewing geometries comprises the lookup tables used in the forward model. ● Our tables were optimized to capture the variations of reflectance with cod and ceps and to minimize memory.