ESA Climate Change Initiative programme status March 2011 mark dohery esa

CCI objectives implementation projects and teams key issues

CCI objectives Realize the full potential of the long-term global EO archives that ESA, together with its Member states, has established over the last thirty years..... ….. as a significant and timely contribution to the ECV databases required by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change 6 Years / 75 Meuro

Copenhagen COP15 Copenhagen COP15 “ Encourages CEOS to continue coordinating and supporting the implementation of the satellite component of GCOS Urges Parties that support space agencies involved in global observations to enable these agencies to continue to implement, in coordinated manner through CEOS, the actions identified in the updated CEOS report, in order to meet the relevant needs of the Convention, in particular by ensuring long-term continuity of observations and data availability ”

e.g. sea level ECV GCOS RequirementCurrent Status Accuracy Stability 1 cm 0.5 mm/decade 2 cm 10 mm/decade a major scientific challenge

Two climate action paths CEOS response 2006GCOS-107 in 2006GCOS-92 in 2004GCOS-82 in 2003 GCOS requirements CEOS response CCI is part of ESA’s contribution to the coordinated international response

Main External Partners: CCI: International Coordination UNFCCC which coordinates the interests and decisions of its Parties on Climate Policy, GCOS which represents the scientific and technical requirements of the Global Climate Observing System on behalf of UNFCCC, CEOS which serves as a focal point for Earth Observation related activities of Space Agencies (e.g NOAA, NASA, JAXA, EUMETSAT) Individual Partner Space Agencies with whom ESA cooperates bilaterally (e.g. EUMETSAT) International Climate Research Programmes, which represent the collective interests and priorities of the worldwide climate research, (e.g. WCRP) EC and National Research Programmes which establish research priorities and provide resources for climate research community within Europe (e.g. DG Research, DG-JRC) GMES Partners: DG Enterprise and Industry, user DGs ENV, EEA… CCI: International coordination

METEOSAT Second Generation MSG-1, -2, -3 METEOSAT M-1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 METOP-1, -2, -3 Earth Watch Earth Explorers ERS-1, ENVISAT GOCE GMES in cooperation with EC SMOS (Gravity and Ocean Circulation Explorer) Earthnet: Access for European users to non-European missions: Landsat, SeaWifs, NOAA, JERS, MODIS, ALOS, Proba, Bird, Scisat... Since 1977 Sentinel 1 Sentinel 2 to better understand the Earth System in cooperation with EUMETSAT Meteo Applications Services to initiate long term monitoring systems and services Sentinel 4/5 Science (Gravity and Ocean Circulation Explorer) (Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity) CryoSat-2 (Polar Ice Monitoring) ADM/Aeolus (Atmospheric Dynamics Mission) SWARM (Magnetic Mission) EarthCare (Clouds, Aerosols & Radiation Mission) Sentinel 3 MTG ESA EO Systems past present future EE 7 Sentinel 5PC

GMES Sentinels 2012 (A), 2014 (B) TBD Sentinel 1 – SAR imaging All weather, day/night applications, interferometry 2013 (A), 2014 (B) TBD Sentinel 2 – Multispectral imaging Land applications: urban, forest, agriculture,.. Continuity of Landsat, SPOT 2013 (A), 2014 (B) TBD Sentinel 3 – Ocean and global land monitoring Wide-swath ocean colour, vegetation, sea/land surface temperature, altimetry 2018 Sentinel 4 – Geostationary atmospheric Atmospheric composition monitoring, trans- boundary pollution 2014 (5P), 2019 Sentinel 5 and Precursor – Low-orbit atmospheric Atmospheric composition monitoring

CCI starts with 11 ECVs CCI First Steps (11 ECVs) : Later in CCI (10 ECVs) : Not in CCI (24 ECVs)

ESA missions data => FCDRs => ECVs Sea Level SST Ocean Colour Sea state Ocean salinity Sea ice concentration Lakes Glaciers & ice caps Land cover faPAR LAI Biomass Burned area & active fire Soil moisture (research) Snow area Albedo Cloud properties O3 total and profiles Aerosol OD & other props GHGs distribution Upper air winds FCDR of each ECV requires data from several sensors Data from each sensor contributes to FCDR of several ECVs multiple sensors….consistency…..

what we want to achieve specialized EO data groups ECV 1 ECV 2 ECV 3 specialized climate research groups international climate research community ( GCOS WCRP’…) consistent global satellite data products for climate research international EO community (CEOS)

CCI: phased implementation Phase 1: (3y) -scientific user consultation -detailed specifications -prototyping Phase 2: (3y) -operational systems -Implementation -production Phase 3: (6y !) -user assessment

Develop and validate algorithms to meet GCOS ECV requirements for (consistent, stable, error-characterized) global satellite data products from multi-sensor data archives Optimize impact of ESA EO missions data on climate data records Produce, within R&D context, most complete and consistent possible multi-sensor global satellite data products for climate research and modelling Generate complete specifications for an operational production system Strengthen inter-disciplinary cooperation between international earth observation, climate research and modelling communities, in pursuit of scientific excellence next 3 years => CCI phase 1 Cardinal Requirements

CCI Project teams ECVScience Leader cloud_ccDWD ozone_cciBIRA aerosol_cciDLR/FMI chg_cciU Bremen sst_cciU Edinburgh landcover_cciUCL sealevel_cciCLS oceancolour_cciPML glaciers_cciU. Zurich fire _cciU.Alcala CMUG UKMO Hadley

Climate modeling user group (CMUG) Hadley Centre; Meteo-F; MPI; ECMWF gateway to international climate modelling community focal point for all ECV teams CMUG

Science Leader EO Science Team Specialised climate research team System Engineer(s) research Institutes xyz CCI project teams Project Manager Climate Modelling Users Group International Science ref body

CCI projects schedule x 11 `2010 `2011 `2012 `2013 requirements algo dev, inter-comp, selection system & product proto-typing product validation & User assessment Operational system specification open

CCI global data products some ECVs are... - state variables of models, - forcing, or boundary conditions, - poorly or not represented in Models - inter-linked:e.g. cloud, aerosol, - of probabilistic nature e.g. clouds

confronting observations and models knowledge exchange … to better quantify climate change …. Mr. Modeller Mr. EO Miss. Clim Science

coupled climate models In yellow – used within CCI

forecast / re-analysis / other In yellow – used within CCI

ECV Data Climate Research Package EO Archives (L1B) CCI: multiple levels of scrutiny peer review and feedback user requirements product specification algorithms evaluation algorithm selection product validation uncertainty characterization data and models confrontation climate assessment round-robin data package

uncertainty characterization openness, traceability, repeatability data standards scientific cooperation key issues

integrated and consistent approach to generating space-based climate records

CCI teams are working now together…

Additional ECVs starting 2011 sea_ice_cci ice_sheets_cci soil_moisture_cci CCI news