Locally Heavy Rainfall Event: The Set-Up Strong NE Flow converged along the NE Florida coast following the passage of a slow moving backdoor front. Strong.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
An Analysis of Gust Front Activity on 14 June 2006 Chris Bonanno Florida Institute of Technology Rain Shaft.
Advertisements

Hurricanes. Tropical Weather Tropics: the belt between the Tropic of Cancer (23.5N) and the Tropic of Capricorn (23.5S) The weather is very different.
Met Brief, Lenny Pfister Nick Heath. Weather today/yesterday.
The Cayman Islands 2012 Significant Weather Events.
Sea Breezes Circulations, Forecasting, & More! METEO 416/516 Matthew Greenstein March 31, 2004.
“A Study of Causes Behind the Heavy Rainfall Amounts From Tropical Storm Allison” Paul Lewis National Weather Service WFO Houston/Galveston Contact information:
Characteristics of Isolated Convective Storms
Precipitation Why does it occur? What are the three major types of precipitation?
Mainland South Florida Tropical Briefing Mon Sept AM Rob Molleda National Weather Service Miami/South Florida Forecast Office.
Miami, FL Tom Robinson. Discussion A large area of low pressure is weakening in the north Today strong thunderstorms developed along the front.
An Examination of the Tropical System – Induced Flooding in Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania in 2004.
Weather.
How do we measure and forecast the weather?. Radar images can detect areas of rainfall and how heavy it is. RAINFALL.
The 4 August 2004 Central Pennsylvania Severe Weather Event – Environmental and Topographical Influences on Storm Structure Evolution Joe Villani NOAA/NWS,
The March 01/02 Non-Winter Weather Event: Part 1 Michael W. Cammarata Anthony W. Petrolito.
Outlook Winter/Spring 2014 John Pendergrast National Weather Service Melbourne, FL
Use of TAMDAR Data in a Convective Weather Event Saturday, May 21, 2005.
HISTORIC WINTER STORM (FEBRUARY 8-9, 2013) CONFERENCE CALL Wednesday 2:30 PM February 6, 2013.
GROUP # 5 UPDATED 02/20/07 Faye Barthold Michelle Benny Ting Sun.
T.S. Danny National Weather Service Raleigh & Newport/Morehead City North Carolina Threat Assessment Impacts: Aug , 2009 Date/Time Created: 8/27/09.
1 Lake-Effect Snow (LES). 2 Overview of the Lake-Effect Process n Occurs to the lee of the Great Lakes during the cool season n Polar/arctic air travels.
Comparison of the 29−30 June 2012 and 11 July 2011 Derechos: Impact of the Appalachians Matthew S. Wunsch and Ross A. Lazear Department.
1. HAZARDS  Wind shear  Turbulence  Icing  Lightning  Hail 3.
Meteo 3: Chapter 16 Winter Weather Read pages , ,
The Temperate Climate. The Temperate Hadley Cell Westerly Prevailing Winds Warm inputs (often from the Tropical Hadley Cell) Cold inputs form the Polar.
NWS Web Briefing March 1, 2010 National Weather Service Miami/South Florida Forecast Office.
EGOWS 2008 Systematic forecasting of weather “type” in the GFE John Bally CAWCR.
What causes vertical motion? In confined fluids, vertical motion is always accompanied by rotation. For example (click):
Click Here To Start. WSHS Environmental Biology  Lake effect snow is caused when very cold air flows over the relatively warmer water of a large lake.
Mark Conder, Todd Lindley, and Gary Skwira – NOAA/National Weather Service, Lubbock, Texas INTRODUCTIONINTRODUCTION  A complex storm system brought a.
The 1925 Tri-State Tornado What If It Happened Today? Pat Spoden NOAA/NWS WFO Paducah, Kentucky John Hart NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman, Oklahoma.
Observations of Characteristics During FP 2007 Ellen Ramirez Department of Marine and Environmental Systems Florida Institute of Technology Melbourne,
2015. equator Normally, trade winds converge at the equator and push warm water westward. In the eastern Pacific, cold water rises to the surface - upwelling.
Conditions for Convection The Ingredients Method.
Flooding/Severe Weather Potential: March 12, 2010 National Weather Service Miami/South Florida Forecast Office.
*Special Webinar* Severe Storms Likely This Afternoon through Early Wednesday Tuesday February 23, 2016 Please MUTE Your Lines! *6 to Mute #6 to Unmute.
A preliminary investigation of an atmospheric bore and a waves atop a cold front that moved across northern Alabama on 4 December 2008 Patrick Gatlin ATS.
Class #26: Friday October 30 Thunderstorms 1Class #26: Friday, October 30, 2009.
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Mobile - Pensacola Special Briefing Tropical Storm Lee Special Briefing Tropical Storm Lee 4 PM CDT Sunday.
Chapter 8 Thunder, Lightening and Hail Lee Sang-Min 8 November, 2007.
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Mobile - Pensacola Special Briefing Tropical Storm Lee Special Briefing Tropical Storm Lee 1030 AM CDT.
Weather Briefing May 21, 2013 National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Weather Briefing May 22, 2013 National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Colorado Flood. Where it rained When it rained.
Heavy Rain Climatology of Upper Michigan Jonathan Banitt National Weather Service Marquette MI.
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Mobile - Pensacola Special Update Briefing Tropical Storm Karen Special Update Briefing Tropical Storm.
NWS Mobile / Pensacola Special Briefing NEW NUMBER Please call: Conference ID #: We had to increase the number of lines to accommodate.
TOPOGRAPHICALLY INDUCED CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERNS
EASC 11 Forecasting, Weather Maps, and Severe Storms Forecasting
Dropsonde Mission During IOP #3 (2nd flight)
Characteristics of Isolated Convective Storms
Understanding Local Diurnal Winds
The November 26, 2014 banded snowfall case in southern NY
Section 12.2 – Weather Systems
MID-LATITUDE CYCLONES
Air Masses and Fronts REVIEW
Diurnal Winds Atmospheric Sciences 101
Bellwork 5/11 Happy Friday!! 
Air Mass: A huge body of air that has similar temperature, humidity, and air pressure at any given height. Classified by 2 characteristics: Temperature.
Case Study A Tornadic Thunderstorm Near Dodge City, KS on May
A summary of Charles A. Doswell III’s:
Sample Image Formats for the ATOL WAR CHEST
Potential Snow Sunday evening into Monday morning (March 1-2, 2009)
FIGURE 11.1 A tropical wave (also called an easterly wave) as shown by the bending of streamlines—lines that show wind flow patterns.(The heavy dashed.
Understanding Local Diurnal Winds
Thunderstorms Features Cumulonimbus clouds Heavy rainfall Lightning
Diurnal Winds Atmospheric Sciences 101 Winter 2019
Severe Storms CH 20.3.
Forecast Verification time!
Presentation transcript:

Locally Heavy Rainfall Event: The Set-Up Strong NE Flow converged along the NE Florida coast following the passage of a slow moving backdoor front. Strong NE Flow converged along the NE Florida coast following the passage of a slow moving backdoor front. There was adequate instability across the forecast area to support convection…but a trigger was need to initiate shower activity. There was adequate instability across the forecast area to support convection…but a trigger was need to initiate shower activity. IMAGE from 10 pm 9/16: Surface wind barbs (black) Surface Based CAPE (measure of instability): Contours/Color Image

Locally Heavy Rainfall Event: The Set-Up Strong NE Flow converged along the NE Florida coast following the passage of a slow moving backdoor front. Strong NE Flow converged along the NE Florida coast following the passage of a slow moving backdoor front. There was the potential for heavy rainfall in convection due to high moisture content and slow storm motion. There was the potential for heavy rainfall in convection due to high moisture content and slow storm motion. Image: 00Z 9/17 Jacksonville Sounding

Locally Heavy Rainfall Event: The Events KJAX 0.5 Z at 22:59Z 9/16 KJAX 0.5 Z at 00:58Z 9/17 KJAX 0.5 Z at 03:02Z 9/17 Two distinct bands of convection developed late last night. The first band extended N-S from northern Columbia county to eastern Alachua. Two distinct bands of convection developed late last night. The first band extended N-S from northern Columbia county to eastern Alachua. It is possible that as the line inland intensified and created locally low pressure, NE convergence was increased along the coast and thus intensified convection across Duval and northern St. Johns counties. It is possible that as the line inland intensified and created locally low pressure, NE convergence was increased along the coast and thus intensified convection across Duval and northern St. Johns counties.

Locally Heavy Rainfall Event: The Results IMAGE: Storm Total Precipitation (inches) from the Valdosta Radar (KVAX) from last nights rainfall event. -Widespread 3-4 inches (yellow) -Locally 6-10 inches (white & purple)

Locally Heavy Rainfall Event: The Results IMAGE: Storm Total Precipitation (inches) from the Valdosta Radar (KVAX) from last nights rainfall event. Ground Truth reports confirm much of Arlington received 7-8 inches of rainfall Ground Truth reports confirm much of Arlington received 7-8 inches of rainfall Locations near Jacksonville Beach received around 9 to 9.5 inches. Locations near Jacksonville Beach received around 9 to 9.5 inches.