International Atomic Energy Agency 1 “The Future of Nuclear Power” A Study by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology 10 February 2004 Ken E. Brockman International Atomic Energy Agency Thelma Higgins Nuclear Energy Institute Eric Proust CEA, France
International Atomic Energy Agency 2
Source: IIASA
International Atomic Energy Agency 4 World primary energy supply by fuel, 2000 (in percentage)
International Atomic Energy Agency Source: IIASA
International Atomic Energy Agency 6 Global Primary Energy Supply, Source: Adapted from IEA, 2002 History Projection
International Atomic Energy Agency 7 Four Areas of Findings Cost Safety Waste Proliferation
International Atomic Energy Agency 8 Nuclear Power Plant Economics Long Term Cost Recovery High Capital Investment Lower Operating Costs Decommissioning and Waste Processing Carbon Incentives
International Atomic Energy Agency 9 Nuclear Safety “An Accident Anywhere is an Accident Everywhere” - Hans Blix Reactor Safety Design Operating Training and Qualification of Staff Physical Security and Terrorism Nuclear Fuel Cycle
International Atomic Energy Agency 10 Spent Fuel / High Level Waste Management Long Term Waste Repositories Geologic Alternatives Once Through Fuel Cycle Closed Fuel Cycle
International Atomic Energy Agency 11 Open Ended (Once Through) Fuel Cycle
International Atomic Energy Agency 12 Closed Fuel Cycle (Plutonium Recycling)
International Atomic Energy Agency 13 Closed Fuel Cycle (Full Actinide Recycling)
International Atomic Energy Agency 14 Non - Proliferation Special Nuclear Materials Considerations Aftermath of 9-11 The Nuclear Wal-Mart
International Atomic Energy Agency 15 IAEA: From Atoms for Peace to Atoms for Prosperity