Economics Call November 30, 2009. Existing Home Sales were up 10.1% New Home Sales were up 6.2% –Up big because home prices falling Case-Shiller 3Q were.

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Presentation transcript:

Economics Call November 30, 2009

Existing Home Sales were up 10.1% New Home Sales were up 6.2% –Up big because home prices falling Case-Shiller 3Q were up 3.1% compared to 2Q 2009 – Down 9% vs 3Q2008 Home Sales

Consumer Spending up.7% Personal income up.2% more in the 3Q than in the 1 st month of 4 Q Consumer confidence increase to 49.5 from 48.7 Corporate Profits 3Q were up 10.6% annualized basis Domestic Non Financial up 8.1% annualized basis Early Data

Corporate Profits

Monday: Chicago PMI – 56.1 from 54.2 Tues: ISM manufacturing index fell to 53.6% from 55.7% Thurs: Initial Unemployment, Productivity Numbers, ISM Services Friday: Non Farm Payroll This Week:

S&P Unchanged last week –Ended the week up 7.2% for November Lagging performance by small cap stocks –Russell 2000 lagging behind the Large Cap Indexes Last 6-8 weeks increasing bias from institutional buyers with Large Cap Stocks HP was good for tech sector, up 14% –Dell Stock Market

S&P 500

Lowry Selling Pressure Index –Made New Lows –Lows Show Healthy Market Lowry Selling Pressure Index

Dubai World –Privately Run Government Owned Corporation –Owe 60 billion in Total Debt –6-Month Moratorium on those Debts –Surprise to General Investors. Abu Dhabi and United Arab Emirates –Stand Behind this Debt –Big Oil Exporters. Global Economy

The Dollar Rallied Last Week on Geopolitical News Still a Safe Haven with Uncertainty in the World. Expect Dollar to be Flat Through the End of the Year. Dollar