GRAZING ECONOMICS: YEAH, BUT WILL IT MAKE MONEY? Dr. Curt Lacy Agricultural Economists University of Georgia.

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Presentation transcript:

GRAZING ECONOMICS: YEAH, BUT WILL IT MAKE MONEY? Dr. Curt Lacy Agricultural Economists University of Georgia

Do this describe you?

Dr. Curt Lacy Extension Economist-Livestock University of Georgia Economics of Improved Grazing Systems

Will Intensive Management Grazing Pay??  It depends!!  Additional revenue  Reduced cost  Additional expense  Reduced income

Speaking of costs  Aka direct costs  changing these impacts level of production. Fertilizer Seed Feed Vet  Aka Indirect costs  changing these has no impact on production Depreciation/interest or principal and interest payments (prorated establishment costs) Taxes insurance Variable CostsFixed Costs

Additional Costs Reduced Revenue Additional Revenue Reduced Costs Total additional costs +reduced revenue = A Total additional revenue +reduced costs = B Total Profit = B-A Increased conception Increased weaning weights Higher stocking rate EQIP/CSP??? Lower fertilizer costs Reduced equipment costs Reduced feed needs Additional fencing costs Increased fertilizer costs Increased labor costs Additional Cow investment Reduced stocking rate Reduced weaning weights Partial Budgeting Form for Analyzing Grazing Profitability

Two Examples 1. Going from continuous to rotational grazing 2. Incorporating clovers

Continuous to Rotational Grazing Continuous 200 acres of fescue- bermuda pasture 3 pastures of 60,70, and 70 acres Currently 2 acres per cow Cows currently consume 1.50 tons of hay/cow/year 90% calf crop with 500# Rotational Add 2 cross fences per pasture of 4-strand high- tensile fence 1.45 acres per cow Purchase 38 $900 each Cows consume 1.04 tons of hay/cow/year Hay cost = $75/ton

Additional Costs Reduced Revenue Additional Revenue Reduced Costs Total additional costs +reduced revenue =$20,571 Total additional revenue +reduced costs = $17,596 Total Profit = ($2,975) 38 additional cows with 90% calf crop, weaning 500 pound $100/Cwt. = $17,100 Total additional revenue = $17,100 Net difference in hay costs 100 cows consuming 1.50 t/yr of $75/t = $11,250 (continuous) 138 cows consuming 1.04 t/yr of $75/t = $10,764 (rotational) Reduced costs = $486 Depreciation and interest on 38 additional $900 each 8% interest for 6 years = $4,902 Depreciation and interest on 1 additional 8% interest for 3 years = $419 Additional variable costs for 38 cows = $14,250 Fencing - additional annual cost = $1,000 Total additional costs = $20,571 Continuous to Rotational Grazing – Adding Cows

Additional Costs Reduced Revenue Additional Revenue Reduced Costs Total additional costs +reduced revenue =$1000 Total additional revenue +reduced costs = $3,450 Total Profit = $2,450 Net difference in hay costs 100 cows consuming 1.50 t/yr of $75/t = $11,250 (continuous) 100 cows consuming 1.04 t/yr of $75/t = $7,800 (rotational) Reduced costs = $ Fencing - additional annual cost = $1000 Total additional costs = $1000 Continuous to Rotational Grazing – No additional cows

Replace 100 Acres of Commercial N with Clover Current Situation 120# N/acre N cost $0.55/lbs. 2 acres/cow 90% calf crop with 500# Clover 3#/acre of $5.25/# - good for 3 years Additional 10# P/acre $.40/# Additional 10# K/acre $0.45/# 2.13 acres per cow Weaning weights increased 20#

Additional Costs Reduced Revenue Additional Revenue Reduced Costs Total additional costs +reduced revenue =$4,525 Total additional revenue +reduced costs = $9,999 Total Profit = $5,474 Additional 20 pounds on calves from 43 90% calf crop sold for $100/cwt. = $774 Savings on 2 applications of 60#/acre of commercial $0.55/pound = $6,600 7 fewer $375/cow = $2,625 3#/acre of Durana or good for 3 years = $525/year Additional 10# phosphorous/acre per = $400 Additional 10# potash/acre per = $450 Total additional costs = $1, Acres in Clover Stocking rate reduced by 15%  7 90% calf crop, 500 pound $100/Cwt. = $3,150

Impacts of Fertilizer Cost & Usage on Profitability

What if Pounds Weaned do Not Increase?

Important Considerations  Include only changes  Make sure expected production increases are relevant to your scenario  Take into account the start up period  Don’t base calf prices on today’s prices  Think it through!!

Two questions 1. What happens if we “grow” into more cows? 2. How do I handle shared assets and liabilities?

Growing into more cows 1. Same process as with partial budget. 2. Develop an “average” cash flow projection sheet for years after you reach herd objective 3. Develop projected annual cash flows for 5-7 years with and without additional cows leading up to the year where you are fully online. 4. Sum the annual cash flows for the two scenarios. 5. Make you decision based on potential net income and your risk tolerance.

Shared Assets/Liabilities  Common question when considering co-grazing.  Also comes up when land is used for more than one enterprise or purpose.  Tractor used for crops, cattle and hay  Combination equipment shed/livestock facility  Same principle applied to allocating overhead expenses.

Allocating assets/liabilities-the contribution approach 1. Determine the total cost 1. Fixed 2. Variable 2. Can you identify specific costs that can be allocated to specific enterprises? 1. Extra expenses for goat or sheep 3. If not, allocate expenses by percentage of income. 1. If co-grazing cows and sheep and cows generate 60% of income then charge cows 60% of expenses. 4. Apply enterprise contribution percentage to appropriate variable and fixed costs. *** If one enterprise will not cover its variable costs, it can’t reduce fixed or total costs