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Economics of Improved Grazing Systems

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Presentation on theme: "Economics of Improved Grazing Systems"— Presentation transcript:

1 Economics of Improved Grazing Systems
Dr. Curt Lacy Extension Economist-Livestock University of Georgia Economics of Improved Grazing Systems

2 Will Improved Grazing Management Pay??
It depends!! Additional revenue Reduced cost Additional expense Reduced income

3 Speaking of costs Variable Costs Fixed Costs
Aka direct costs  changing these impacts level of production. Fertilizer Seed Feed Vet Aka Indirect costs  changing these has no impact on production Depreciation/interest or principal and interest payments (prorated establishment costs) Taxes insurance

4 Partial Budgeting Form for Analyzing Grazing Profitability
Additional Costs Additional Revenue Additional fencing costs Increased fertilizer costs Increased labor costs Additional Cow investment Increased conception Increased weaning weights Higher stocking rate EQIP/CSP??? Reduced Revenue Reduced Costs Reduced stocking rate Reduced weaning weights Lower fertilizer costs Reduced equipment costs Reduced feed needs Total additional costs +reduced revenue = A Total additional revenue +reduced costs = B Total Profit = B-A

5 The One Question How do I figure fixed costs? Depreciation + Interest
Principal + interest

6 Depreciation + Interest
AKA “Economic” method of determining fixed costs. Best way to calculate economic fixed costs. Ignores cash position, requirements, and cash-flow. Uses: Purchase price Salvage value Useful life Intermediate interest rate

7 Depreciation + Interest on Average Investment

8 Principal + Interest AKA Amortized payments
Utilized when considering cash flow requirements. Uses: Purchase price Down payment Years financed Interest rate

9 Principal + Interest

10 Example for fixed cost

11 Purchase a $35,000 hay baler Economic Method Amortization Method
$35,000 purchase price $10,000 salvage value 7 years useful life Interest rate = 6% $35,000 purchase price $0 down 7 year financing Interest rate = 6%

12 Depreciation + Interest

13 Depreciation + Interest

14 Amortized Payment

15 NUMBER OF YEARS TO PAYBACK
Annual Payments for $1,000 at Various Interest Rates and Payback Periods INTEREST RATE 3.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% NUMBER OF YEARS TO PAYBACK 1 ($1,030.00) ($1,040.00) ($1,060.00) ($1,080.00) ($1,100.00) ($1,120.00) 2 ($522.61) ($530.20) ($545.44) ($560.77) ($576.19) ($591.70) 3 ($353.53) ($360.35) ($374.11) ($388.03) ($402.11) ($416.35) 4 ($269.03) ($275.49) ($288.59) ($301.92) ($315.47) ($329.23) 5 ($218.35) ($224.63) ($237.40) ($250.46) ($263.80) ($277.41) 6 ($184.60) ($190.76) ($203.36) ($216.32) ($229.61) ($243.23) 7 ($160.51) ($166.61) ($179.14) ($192.07) ($205.41) ($219.12) 8 ($142.46) ($148.53) ($161.04) ($174.01) ($187.44) ($201.30) 9 ($128.43) ($134.49) ($147.02) ($160.08) ($173.64) ($187.68) 10 ($117.23) ($123.29) ($135.87) ($149.03) ($162.75) ($176.98) 15 ($83.77) ($89.94) ($102.96) ($116.83) ($131.47) ($146.82) 20 ($67.22) ($73.58) ($87.18) ($101.85) ($117.46) ($133.88) 25 ($57.43) ($64.01) ($78.23) ($93.68) ($110.17) ($127.50) 30 ($51.02) ($57.83) ($72.65) ($88.83) ($106.08) ($124.14) 35 ($46.54) ($53.58) ($68.97) ($85.80) ($103.69) ($122.32) 40 ($43.26) ($50.52) ($66.46) ($83.86) ($102.26) ($121.30)

16 NUMBER OF YEARS TO PAYBACK
Annual Payments for $1,000 at Various Interest Rates and Payback Periods INTEREST RATE 3.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% NUMBER OF YEARS TO PAYBACK 1 ($1,030.00) ($1,040.00) ($1,060.00) ($1,080.00) ($1,100.00) ($1,120.00) 2 ($522.61) ($530.20) ($545.44) ($560.77) ($576.19) ($591.70) 3 ($353.53) ($360.35) ($374.11) ($388.03) ($402.11) ($416.35) 4 ($269.03) ($275.49) ($288.59) ($301.92) ($315.47) ($329.23) 5 ($218.35) ($224.63) ($237.40) ($250.46) ($263.80) ($277.41) 6 ($184.60) ($190.76) ($203.36) ($216.32) ($229.61) ($243.23) 7 ($160.51) ($166.61) ($179.14) ($192.07) ($205.41) ($219.12) 8 ($142.46) ($148.53) ($161.04) ($174.01) ($187.44) ($201.30) 9 ($128.43) ($134.49) ($147.02) ($160.08) ($173.64) ($187.68) 10 ($117.23) ($123.29) ($135.87) ($149.03) ($162.75) ($176.98) 15 ($83.77) ($89.94) ($102.96) ($116.83) ($131.47) ($146.82) 20 ($67.22) ($73.58) ($87.18) ($101.85) ($117.46) ($133.88) 25 ($57.43) ($64.01) ($78.23) ($93.68) ($110.17) ($127.50) 30 ($51.02) ($57.83) ($72.65) ($88.83) ($106.08) ($124.14) 35 ($46.54) ($53.58) ($68.97) ($85.80) ($103.69) ($122.32) 40 ($43.26) ($50.52) ($66.46) ($83.86) ($102.26) ($121.30) Annual Payment = 35 X = $

17 Example Partial Budget

18 Replace 100 Acres of Commercial N with Clover
Current Situation 120# N/acre N cost $0.70/lbs. 2 acres/cow 90% calf crop with 500# Clover 3#/acre of $5.25/# - good for 3 years Additional 10# P/acre $.60/# Additional 10# K/acre $0.55/# 2.13 acres per cow Weaning weights increased 20#

19 100 Acres in Clover Additional Costs Additional Revenue
3#/acre of Durana or good for 3 years = $525/year Additional 10# phosphorous/acre per = $600 Additional 10# potash/acre per = $550 Total additional costs = $1,675 Additional 20 pounds on calves from 43 90% calf crop sold for $125/cwt. = $968 Reduced Revenue Reduced Costs Savings on 2 applications of 60#/acre of commercial $0.70/pound = $8,400 7 fewer $400/cow = $2,800 Stocking rate reduced by 15%  7 90% calf crop, 500 pound $125/Cwt. = $3,938 Total additional costs +reduced revenue =$5,613 Total additional revenue +reduced costs = $12,168 Total Profit = $6,555

20 Impacts of Fertilizer Cost & Usage on Profitability

21 What if Pounds Weaned do Not Increase?

22 Two questions What happens if we “grow” into more cows?
How do I handle shared assets and liabilities?

23 Growing into more cows Same process as with partial budget.
Develop an “average” cash flow projection sheet for years after you reach herd objective Develop projected annual cash flows for 5-7 years with and without additional cows leading up to the year where you are fully online. Sum the annual cash flows for the two scenarios. Make you decision based on potential net income and your risk tolerance.

24 Shared Assets/Liabilities
Common question when considering co-grazing. Also comes up when land is used for more than one enterprise or purpose. Tractor used for crops, cattle and hay Combination equipment shed/livestock facility Same principle applied to allocating overhead expenses.

25 Allocating assets/liabilities-the contribution approach
Determine the total cost Fixed Variable Can you identify specific costs that can be allocated to specific enterprises? Extra expenses for goat or sheep If not, allocate expenses by percentage of income. If co-grazing cows and sheep and cows generate 60% of income then charge cows 60% of expenses. Apply enterprise contribution percentage to appropriate variable and fixed costs. *** If one enterprise will not cover its variable costs, it can’t reduce fixed or total costs

26 Important Considerations
Include only changes Make sure expected production increases are relevant to your scenario Take into account the start up period Don’t base calf prices on today’s prices Think it through!!

27 Economics of Improved Grazing Systems
Dr. Curt Lacy Extension Economist-Livestock University of Georgia Economics of Improved Grazing Systems


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