Global Warming. GasMole Percent N2N2 78.08 O2O2 20.95 Ar0.934 CO 2 0.03 O3O3 1.0 x 10 -7 Composition of Atmosphere:

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Presentation transcript:

Global Warming

GasMole Percent N2N O2O Ar0.934 CO O3O3 1.0 x Composition of Atmosphere:

Why CO 2 is important: CO 2 Levels

E out =  T 4  = 5.67 x W/m 2 K 4  = Albedo (shinyness) Earth = 0.28 Mars = 0.17 Jupiter = 0.73 Venus = 0.71 Es = solar energy input Earth = 1380 W/m 2 Mars = 600 Venus = 2600 If E in = E out, then Global Energy Balance :

 = 5.67 x W/m 2 K 4  = Albedo Earth = 0.28 Mars = 0.17 Jupiter = 0.73 Venus = 0.71 E s = solar energy input Earth = 1380 W/m 2 Mars = 600 Venus = 2600 Try for Earth: Calculate average temperature of Earth Of Venus?

Greenhouse Effect: Some energy radiated back to space is captured and re-radiated back to Earth. f = IR transmission factor = fraction energy escaping So: E out = f  T 4

 = 5.67 x W/m 2 K 4  = Albedo Earth = 0.28 Mars = 0.17 Jupiter = 0.73 Venus = 0.71 E s = solar energy input Earth = 1380 W/m 2 Mars = 600 Venus = 2600 Calculate IR transmission factor for Earth: T actual = 291 K Calculate IR transmission factor for Venus: T actual = 750 K

Climate Modeling Determine all the relationships. Predict amounts and rates. Feedback loops: positive and negative. Simulate into the future by iterative method. How do you test your model?

Element Cycles

Element Cycles: reservoirs and fluxes