The Democratic Rollback

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Presentation transcript:

The Democratic Rollback The Resurgence of the Predatory State By Larry Diamond

Celebrations of democracy’s triumph are premature Democracy has recently been overthrown or gradually stifled Most newcomers to the democratic club have performed poorly Democratic aspirations thwarted by terrorism and political and religious violence

Spreading democracy “Emerging democracies must demonstrate that they can solve their governance problems and meet their citizen’s expectations for freedom, justice, a better life, and a fairer society.”

Spreading democracy “If democracies do not more effectively contain crime and corruption, generate economic growth, relieve economic equality, and secure freedom and the rule of law, people will eventually lose faith and turn to authoritarian alternatives.”

Beyond the Facade “In large, strategically important countries, such as Nigeria and Russia, the expansion of executive power, the intimidation of the opposition, and the rigging of the electoral process have extinguished even the most basic form of electoral democracy.” “the fallacy of electoralism” Superficial forms of democracy

Superficial democracy = bad governance Abusive police and security forces Domineering local oligarchies Incompetent and indifferent state bureaucracies Corrupt and inaccessible judiciaries Citizens in name only with few meaningful channels of participation Elections are contests between corrupt, clientelistic parties Parliaments and local governments do not represent broad constituencies

Beyond the Facade “Disillusioned and disenfranchised voters have embraced authoritarian strongmen or demagogic populists.”

It’s The Government, Stupid “It is often assumed that economic growth – or the free-market economy – is the key to creating and consolidating democracy.” Diamond – “Without significant improvements in governance, economic growth will not take off or be sustainable.” “Without legal and political institutions to control corruption, punish cheating, and ensure a level economic and political playing field, pro-growth policies will be ineffective and their economic benefits will be overshadowed or erased.”

The Predatory State Elites use their consolidated power to limit economic competition so as to generate profits that benefit them rather than society at large. Elections become “zero-sum” struggles in which everything is at stake and no one can afford to lose. Ordinary people are “clients” not citizens

The Predatory State Stark inequalities in power and status create “vertical chains of dependency, secured by patronage, coercion, and demagogic electoral appeals to ethnic pride and prejudice.” “The purpose of government is not to generate public goods… Instead, it is to produce private goods for officials, their families and their cronies.”

The Predatory State “(C)orruption is widely regarded as the norm, political participation is mobilized from above, civic engagement is meager, compromise is scarce, and nearly everyone feels powerless, exploited and unhappy.” “Political actors in predatory societies use any means necessary and break any rules possible in their quest for power and wealth.” The “war of all against all”

Sustainable Democracy & Development Require active “civic communities” in which citizens trust one another Institutions of good governance “induce, enforce and reward civic behavior. The Rule of Law prevails to check corruption and power