ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS1 HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING SOCIO-ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS OF DISASTERS Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean The World Bank The World Bank 4. Productive Sectors

Productive sectors Agriculture Agriculture Trade and Industry Trade and Industry Tourism Tourism

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS3 Agriculture Direct damages to agriculture infrastructure

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS4 Agriculture... Direct damages: Harvested production

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS5 Agriculture: indirect damages Reduced production

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS6 Cattle raising Cattle losses, weight reduction and fall in milk production

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS7 Fishing Damages to fishing fleet Reducted capture

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ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS10 Damages to agriculture, cattle raising and fishing Direct damages Repair or reconstruction costs of agriculture, cattle farming and fishing infrastructure, including tertiary level roads Repair or reconstruction costs of agriculture, cattle farming and fishing infrastructure, including tertiary level roads Damages or destruction of fishing fleet Damages or destruction of fishing fleet Damages or destruction of fish farming ponds and shrimp factories Damages or destruction of fish farming ponds and shrimp factories Agriculture production ready to be harvested Agriculture production ready to be harvested Stocked agricultural produce and grains Stocked agricultural produce and grains Losses in animal stock Losses in animal stock Indirect damages Reduced yields in future crops Reduced yields in future crops Not planting of future crops Not planting of future crops Reduced fishing Reduced fishing Loss of employment Loss of employment Differential impact on women Differential impact on women

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS11 Information sources Preliminary damage assessment realized by national officials;Preliminary damage assessment realized by national officials; Long-term statistical series on production and trends in the affected region;Long-term statistical series on production and trends in the affected region; Sectoral experts and agents from the sectoral planning office;Sectoral experts and agents from the sectoral planning office; Directors of specialized institutions (trade associations, growers, cattle farmers, fishing asociations);Directors of specialized institutions (trade associations, growers, cattle farmers, fishing asociations); Representatives of companies involved in the transformation of agricultural products, and packers;Representatives of companies involved in the transformation of agricultural products, and packers; Service providers, vendors of secoral inputs;Service providers, vendors of secoral inputs; Printed press of immediate aftermath of the disaster;Printed press of immediate aftermath of the disaster; International sectoral officials having some activities in the affected area.International sectoral officials having some activities in the affected area.

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS12 Summarized table to develop

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS13 Trade and Industry Direct damage to infrastructure and stocks

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS14 Commerce, industry and services Temporary cuts in production Reduced production Reduced incomes Differential impact on women

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS15 Commerce, industry and services Direct damages Repair or reconstruction costs of infrastructure Repair or reconstruction costs of infrastructure Repair or replacement cost of equipment and machinery Repair or replacement cost of equipment and machinery Losses in finished production (stocks and inventories) Losses in finished production (stocks and inventories) Indirect damages Reduced production Reduced production Temporary employment losses Temporary employment losses Differential impact on women Differential impact on women

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS16 Manufacture

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS17 Commercial losses

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS18 Sources of information (Industry) National sources: The most recent industrial census;The most recent industrial census; Information and time series on production;Information and time series on production; Periodic surveys carried out by trade and industry ministries or by central banks;Periodic surveys carried out by trade and industry ministries or by central banks; Information in periodic bulletins from industry associations;Information in periodic bulletins from industry associations; Economic and statistical information published by industrial or manufacturers’ groups;Economic and statistical information published by industrial or manufacturers’ groups; Information prepared by groups on micro and small enterprises or businesses;Information prepared by groups on micro and small enterprises or businesses; Information available in patent, trademark and industry promotion offices, and municipal records..Information available in patent, trademark and industry promotion offices, and municipal records.. International sources: The Latin American Demography Center’s RedatamThe Latin American Demography Center’s Redatam

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS19 Sources of information (Commerce) Information on the commerce sector is generally scarcer and less reliable than that available for industry. National sources: National or local time series on the level of commercial activities;National or local time series on the level of commercial activities; Trade and professional associations of the country or region.Trade and professional associations of the country or region. International sources: International organizations.International organizations.

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS20 Tourism Direct damage to tourism infrastructure

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS21 Tourism Damage to beaches in tourist areas

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS22 Damages to tourism Direct damages Repair or reconstruction costs of tourism infrastructure Repair or reconstruction costs of tourism infrastructure Repair or replacement cost of furniture and tourism equipment Repair or replacement cost of furniture and tourism equipment Damages to beaches and other tourist attractions Damages to beaches and other tourist attractions Indirect damages Temporary fall in hotel occupancy and income of enterprises Temporary fall in hotel occupancy and income of enterprises Negative effect in linked activities Negative effect in linked activities Cancelled future reservations and cost of promotion campaigns Cancelled future reservations and cost of promotion campaigns Unemployment Unemployment Differential impact on women Differential impact on women

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS23 Sources of information National sources: Recent censuses or surveys on tourism spending and stays;Recent censuses or surveys on tourism spending and stays; National statistics offices;National statistics offices; Information provided by national tourism sector authorities;Information provided by national tourism sector authorities; Hotel and tourism associations;Hotel and tourism associations; Tour operators;Tour operators; Central banks;Central banks; Port and airport authorities; andPort and airport authorities; and Insurance companies.Insurance companies. International sources: Central American Tourism Integration Secretariat;Central American Tourism Integration Secretariat; International reinsurance companies; andInternational reinsurance companies; and World Tourism Organization.World Tourism Organization.

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ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS26 Summary of Direct and Indirect Damages in Tourism Sector TotalImpact in International Trade Direct Damage124,09479,100 Indirect Damage 36,299 Total160,393115,284

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS27 Economic Sectors (Millions of dollars)

ECLAC HANDBOOK FOR ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF DISASTERS28 Macroeconomic and other effects Assessment information and quantifications will enable the macroeconomics specialist to determine the future overall effects of the disaster on the performance of the main macroeconomic variables: - Gross domestic product - Balance of payments - Public finances - Inflation Other related subjects: - Employment and income - The differential impact on women - Environmental impacts