Expert Group Meeting on National Accounts in the Caribbean 26-28 September 2011 Port of Spain.

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Presentation transcript:

Expert Group Meeting on National Accounts in the Caribbean September 2011 Port of Spain

Outline 1. Intra-country Validation 2. Regional Validation 3. Global Validation 2

Countries Regional Coordinators Global Office Edit Checks Consistency Edit Checks Consistency SNA Compliance Consistency Comparability SNA Compliance Consistency Comparability Quality Assurance Exhaustiveness Consistency Comparability Summary of main findings Quality Assurance Exhaustiveness Consistency Comparability Summary of main findings Intra-Country Validation Regional Inter-country Validation Review of each Country’s Data & Metadata Global Inter-country Validation 3 Review of each Country’s Data & Metadata

4 Intra-Country Validation

5 SNA Compliance Price Validation Economic likelihood To be implemented at regional level also 1.Compare GDP expenditure with UNSD database 2.Completeness checks (non-zero values) 3.Check negative values 4.Make sure FISIM is allocated 5.Check allocation of net expenditures 6.Arithmetic basic checks 1.Compare GDP expenditure with UNSD database 2.Completeness checks (non-zero values) 3.Check negative values 4.Make sure FISIM is allocated 5.Check allocation of net expenditures 6.Arithmetic basic checks 1.Implement price tracking for major products 2.Verify average price changes from 2005 to Consistency of PLIs across BHs within a country 1.Implement price tracking for major products 2.Verify average price changes from 2005 to Consistency of PLIs across BHs within a country 1.Verify per capita BH expenditures 2.Verify BH shares of GDP 1.Verify per capita BH expenditures 2.Verify BH shares of GDP

6 Compare GDP & major aggregates with international databases Check aggregations Check negative values Check aggregations Check negative values Completeness checks, such as all basic headings containing non-zero values Deriving per capita value of real expenditures can also indicate areas that need to be examined for inconsistencies between the prices & the values International Databases Aggregation Completeness Per Capita Checks

7 Notional Real Expenditures The data from the 2005 ICP can be used to identify outliers that have changed significantly more than the average for all basic headings Price - Expenditures Temporal Nominal Expenditures Geometric Mean of Prices Check Plausibility for each BH Check Variations Compare Variations of Per Capita Notional Real Expenditure

8 Regional Validation

9 99 Apply Intra-country validation processes Clusters of economies according to economically-based and regionally- agreed criteria Country Clustering 2005 GDP per capita will be a key indicator of the group to which an economy should be allocated As per previous slides Inter-Country Evaluation As per next slide

10 GDP Share Per Capita Real Expenditures Price Level Index (PLI) Compare shares of GDP contributed by each BH (nominal and real expenditures) Compare per capita real expenditures for each BH Variations in per capita real expenditures for each basic heading between economies in each cluster Consistency of PLIs across basic headings within an economy Variation of PLIs within basic headings between the economies in each cluster

11 Global Validation

Apply Intra-country validation processes Apply inter-country validation processes Global validation report Same as previously defined Across economies within each region Across economies between regions Main findings 12

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