February 8, 2008 SERPM65 vs. SERPM6-Corradino 1 SERPM-6.5 & SERPM-6: Differences & Future Directions Southeast Florida FSUTMS Users Group Meeting Ft. Lauderdale, FL

2February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino TAC Team FDOT - Districts 4 & 6 Turnpike Palm Beach MPO Broward MPO Miami-Dade MPO SFRTA Corradino (Consultant)

3February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM History Model Base Year System SERPM-11986UTPS SERPM-2 Pre-Census 1990 Tranplan/RS6000 SERPM-31990Tranplan/RS6000 SERPM-41990Tranplan/RS6000 SERPM Tranplan/PC X32 SERPM Tranplan/Windows 32 SERPM-5 FTA 1999 Tranplan/Windows 32 SERPM-62000Cube/Voyager SERPM Cube/Voyager

4February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino 24-Hour & TOD Model… SERPM65SERPM6 Full time of day & 24-Hour model 2005 base year Full time of day 2000 base year

5February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM-65 Coverage Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade Counties 2005 Population: 5.4 million 5.4 million 2005 Households: 2.0 million 2.0 million 4,284 TAZs (internal+dummy+ext ) (internal+dummy+ext )

6February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65: Zone & Node Info…

7February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM6: Zone & Node Info…

8February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino What’s New? All zonal data (ZDATA1/ZDATA2/ SCHOOL/WALK) in TAZ Shape file DBF 3 Period Time-of-day & 24-Hour Highway Model 2 Period Transit TOD Model Dynamic area types Estimation of initial speeds from posted speed and signals data Estimation of capacities from roadway physical characteristics Estimation of time delays at freeway merges Equilibration of speeds in peak period pre-assignment Trips for HHs with autos distributed using highway skims, while 0-auto HHs use transit skims Micro-coding of fixed-guideway transit stations Model is validated to observed highway speeds as well as to traffic counts Transit nets kept in PT, but Trnbuild used for paths, skims and assignment Non-motorized mode choice Built-in mode choice constant estimation process Better External Trip Process for Freeways More Scrutiny of Toll Facility Data and Volumes

9February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65 – Model Flow 1.Setup controls and file names 2.External – EE by period 3.Trip Gen – LSGEN by auto ownership and TOD 4.Highway – Includes speed and capacity calculators 5.Distribution – Includes equilibration (FEEDBACK) of peak period highway speeds 6.Transit Nets – PT  Trnbuild and connectors, paths, skims and fares 7.Mode Choice 8.Transit Assignment by access path and TOD 9.Highway Trip Tables – Combines trip tables for assignment – 24H & TOD 10.Highway Assignment – 24 Hour & by TOD (use most computer time) 11.Highway Evaluation – HEVAL and RMSE by TOD and county

10February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65: TAZ Attributes

11February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65: TAZ Attributes (contd.)

12February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65: T/G Folders & Inputs

13February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65: T/G Folders & Outputs

14February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65: T/P Structure

15February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino AREA TYPES Now dynamically calculated by Voyager script from ZDATA densities (population + employment) ATYPE may change for each year Definitions: CBD (same as old CBD) CBD (same as old CBD) Non-CBD Low-Density (similar to old OBD) Non-CBD Low-Density (similar to old OBD) Non-CBD Medium-Density (similar to old Residential) Non-CBD Medium-Density (similar to old Residential) Non-CBD High-Density (similar to old Fringe) Non-CBD High-Density (similar to old Fringe) Non-CBD Very Low-Density (similar to old Rural) Non-CBD Very Low-Density (similar to old Rural)

16February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino 2005 Area Types… 2030 Area Types…

17February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Facility Types…

18February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65: Unloaded Network Attributes

19February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM6: Unloaded Network Attributes

20February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino An Example of Network Difference… SERPM65SERPM6

21February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino 24-Hour Counts… TOD Counts…

22February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Traffic Count by Facility: SERPM65 (2005) vs. SERPM6 (2000)

23February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Initial Speed Estimation Estimates uninterrupted flow initial speed from an equation Adds delays from traffic control devices

24February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Speed Relationships

25February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65: IE/EI Trips (exiting/entering Freeway) T/D Logit Curve

26February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Time of Day – Transit Model Standard FSUTMS uses auto speeds from 24-hour assignment as for HBW mode choice HBO & NHB use free-flow speeds HBO & NHB use free-flow speeds SERPM6/6.5 uses time of day Peak period trips use AM congested speeds Peak period trips use AM congested speeds Off-peak period trips use free-flow speeds Off-peak period trips use free-flow speeds Standard FSUTMS Models Purpose & Period Auto Impedances HBW all Congested HBO all Free-flow NHB all Free-flow Time-of-day Models Purpose & Period Auto Impedances HBW peak HBO peak NHB peak AM congested HBW off-peak HBO off-peak NHB off-peak Free-flow

27February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65 - Transit Nets #PT Mode (applicable county)TRNBUILD Mode (applicable county) 1Walk Access 2Drive Access 3Sidewalk/Transfer connector 4Bus (Palm Beach & Broward)Bus (Palm Beach) 5Bus (Miami-Dade)Bus (Dade) 6Express Bus (all)Express Bus (Broward) 7Metro-Rail 8Tri-Rail 9Metromover 10New Mode (all)New Mode (Broward) 11Project Mode (all) 12Tri-Rail Shuttle (all) 13Limited Stop Bus (all)Limited Stop Bus (Miami-Dade) 14n/aBus (Broward) 15n/aExpress Bus (Miami-Dade) 16n/aExpress Bus (Palm Beach) 17n/aNew Mode (Miami-Dade) 18n/aLimited Stop Bus (Broward) 19n/aLimited Stop Bus (Palm Beach) 20n/aNew Mode (Palm Beach)

28February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Transit Districts…

29February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Mode Choice Transit District Constants

30February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65 – Highway Assignment Follows multi-user class link constrained equilibrium assignment methodologies ( with selected node penalties ) For TOD Version AM Peak (Warm-up & Final) AM Peak (Warm-up & Final) Off-Peak (Warm-up & Final) Off-Peak (Warm-up & Final) PM Peak (Warm-up & Final) PM Peak (Warm-up & Final) Composite 24 Hours (add preceding) Composite 24 Hours (add preceding) For 24-Hour Version (NOT for SERPM6) 24-Hour Assignment (Warm-up & Final) 24-Hour Assignment (Warm-up & Final)

31February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Generalized Turning Penalties (MTURNDEF) … SERPM65 SERPM6

32February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65: Modified BPR Functions

33February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Freeway & Ramp Merge Delay Functions

34February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65: Highway Assignments Convergence Statistics

35February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM6: Highway Assignments Convergence Statistics

36February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65: 24-Hour Model Loaded Network Attributes

37February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65: TOD Model Loaded Network Attributes

38February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM6: TOD Model Loaded Network Attributes

February 8, 2008 SERPM65 vs. SERPM6-Corradino 39 SERPM65 Validation Results (Selected) : 24-Hour & Initial TOD Models

40February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino SERPM65 Districts

41February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino JTW vs. HBW (Model) Flows By County

42February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino JTW vs. HBW (Model) Trip Ends By District

43February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Trip Production End (%s): JTW vs. HBW (Model)

44February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Trip Attraction End (%s): JTW vs. HBW (Model)

45February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Turnpike External Survey Data vs. SERPM65 Results

46February 8, 2008SERPM65 vs. SERPM6 - Corradino Selected Turnpike Segment Volume & Growth: 2005 – 2030 (24-Hour Model)

February 8, 2008 SERPM65 vs. SERPM6-Corradino 47 SERPM65: Further Directions 24-Hour Model: Address any “reasonable” comments Address any “reasonable” comments TOD Model (w/o HOT Lane modeling): Validate model for “reasonable” volume estimates of toll facilities. Validate model for “reasonable” volume estimates of toll facilities. Prepare Technical Report & User’s Manual

February 8, 2008 SERPM65 vs. SERPM6-Corradino 48 SERPM65: Further Directions (Contd.) TOD Model (revision): Revised CV scripts to allow modeling of HOT Lanes Revised CV scripts to allow modeling of HOT Lanes Modify skimming for SR2 & SR3+ to allow certain lanes as HOV2 & HOV3+ Modify skimming for SR2 & SR3+ to allow certain lanes as HOV2 & HOV3+ Modify mode-choice programs to incorporate the above changes in skimming Modify mode-choice programs to incorporate the above changes in skimming Test & Revalidate the model for modeling of HOT Lanes Test & Revalidate the model for modeling of HOT Lanes Technical Report & User’s Manual on the validation and operation of revised model Technical Report & User’s Manual on the validation and operation of revised model