Peace From Above: Envisioning the Future of UN Aerospace Power.

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Presentation transcript:

Peace From Above: Envisioning the Future of UN Aerospace Power

Global Threats OLD (STATE) EMPHASIS Inter-State Conflict Civil War Proliferation Failed States Refugees NEW (HYBRID) EMPHASIS Poverty Infectious Disease Environmental Degradation Inter-State Conflict & Civil War Genocide & Other Atrocities Proliferation Terrorism Transnational Crime

Peacekeeping OLD (STATE) EMPHASIS Sovereignty Borders Governments Armed Forces No Intelligence Veto Possible/Decisive Marginal Outcomes NEW (HYBRID) EMPHASIS Legitimacy Human Rights Public Health Precision Giving Precision Intelligence Veto Unlikely/Irrelevant Sustainable Outcomes

Aerospace Power OLD (STATE) EMPHASIS Limited Fixed Wing – Imagery – Transport Limited VSTOL – Gunships – Hand-held Imagery – VIP Transport – Medevac NEW (HYBRID) EMPHASIS Contracted Long-Haul Regional Management – Big Air to Small Air – Big Boats to Small Boats Long Loiter Surveillance VSTOL for All Purposes Precision Cargo Drops Peace Jumpers

Intelligence OLD (STATE) EMPHASIS Depend on Members Depend on Secrets Depend on Active Lies Lack 90% of what is needed to do mandate, force structure, campaign plan, and day to day tactics. NEW (HYBRID) EMPHASIS Harness World Brain 90% Open Source Lies quickly exposed Can have—if leaders will be leaders—90% of what is needed to do precision peacekeeping and “peaceful preventive measures” IS Open Source

Strategic Opportunity Lost: Iraq II My name is Colin Powell and I believe, based largely on overhead imagery and one human CURVEBALL, that…. Failure of UN Strategic Airpower including Space Reconnaissance Failure of UN Strategic Intelligence (non-existent, co-equal with NATO)

Operational Opportunity Lost: Haiti Big Air Re-Sort Small Air Delivery Light Nested Plastic + Design Intelligence AIR DROP KITS OR CREATE LOCAL FACTORIES OVERNIGHT

Tactical Opportunity Lost: Pakistan Undeclared Air War, Atrocities?Video Air War Bad Intelligence, Atrocities?

Technical Opportunity Lost: Nuclear Predictable & Preventable by UN IAEA2012 Earthquakes & Tsunamis Expected

The Future of UN Intelligence

The Future of UN Aerospace Power I Peace Jumpers Global Public Awareness Strip Alert Each Continent Regularly Exercised with Tangible Deliveries Jump with one day’s rations and comms Immediate begin calling in “peace strikes” Back office database of needs created Reverse TPFDD created and published All parties offering assistance must do so in relation to the Reverse TPFDD Priority to precision air drops (see II) Regional air management controls big air arriving at distribution points, breaks down to small air or cross-ships to small boats TPFID : Time-Phased Force Deployment Data

The Future of UN Aerospace Power II

The Future of UN Aerospace Power III UN East Congo 1:50,000 Need

The Future of UN Aerospace Power IV Big Air Re-Sort Small Air Delivery Manage Air-Sea Lift Regional Traffic Management Aircraft Origins Load to TPFDD FedEx & UPS Used Create a precision Berlin Airlift Peace Jumpers are the “strategic corporal” guiding precision deliveries loaded to specified need Intelligence-driven logistics Intelligence-driven operations Focus on people & needs, not on governments & armed force

The Future of Governance

Peace from Above Intelligence-Driven Precision Peace Targets, Space, Cyber, Air Aerospace Power (Eyes, Sharing, Sense-Making, Precision Air Delivery

Peace from Above Intelligence-Driven, Space, Cyber, Air 2011 Cyber-Command or IO 21 + IO Roots See Also: Reference: Building a Global Intelligence Web 2010 M4IS2 Briefing for South America — 2010 M4IS2 Presentacion por Sur America (ANEPE Chile) 2009 The Ultimate Hack: Re-Inventing Intelligence to Re- Engineer Earth (Denmark October 2009) 2009 DoD OSINT Leadership and Staff Briefings 2009 The Ultimate Hack: Re-Inventing Intelligence to Re- Engineer the World2009 The Ultimate Hack: Re-Inventing Intelligence to Re- Engineer the World (British Columbia for Engineers) 2009 Briefing: Open Everything at UNICEF in NYC 2008 DIA NDIC Multinational Intelligence Fellows 2007 Amazon as Hub of World Brain 2007 Open Everything: We Won, Let’s Self-Govern 2007 United Nations “Class Before One” Infomation-Sharing and Analytics Orientation 2006 Briefing to the Coalition Coordination Center (CCC) Leadership at the U.S. Central Command (USCENTCOM)–Multinational Intelligence: Can CENTCOM Lead the Way? Reflections on OSINT & the Coalition