1. Middle East and North Africa The Military Implications Sir Tim Garden

2. Issues Causes of Conflict in MENA Threats from Region Our Capabilities Lessons from the Recent Past What next? What force posture is needed?

3. The Causes of Conflict State to State Borders Resources Ethnic Arms including WMD Power ambitions Alliances

4. The Causes of Conflict Non State Actors Internal terrorism External terrorism Religious groups Crime Corruption

5. Risks in the MENA Region Post Conflict Iraq Al Qaeda Israel-Palestine - Syria - Jordan Iran Nuclear programme Saudi Arabia & Egypt Stability North Africa

6. What are the Threats to Us? International Terrorism Weapons of Mass Destruction Threats to Regional Allies International Crime Breaches of International System

7. Who are we? United Nations SC USA + coalitions NATO EU Quartet (EU UN US Russia) Inner EU core (UK France Germany)

8. Lessons Learned Gulf War 1 and 2 Afghanistan Balkan experience Post Conflict operations

9. What Capabilities? Expeditionary offensive warfare Sustainability post conflict Intelligence Conflict prevention

10. Where next? NATO in Afghanistan Iraq Israel-Palestine peacekeeping? Iran and WMD US action on Syria? Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Libya?

11. Military Requirements Rapid Deployment Sustainability Intelligence Experience Alliance operations

12. Strategic Questions High tech weapons? Conflict Prevention? Oil dependence? Islamic democracy? Future alliances? Endless war on terrorism?