© Kantar Worldpanel ROI GROCERY MARKET REVIEW Data to 10 th June 2012.

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Presentation transcript:

© Kantar Worldpanel ROI GROCERY MARKET REVIEW Data to 10 th June 2012

© Kantar Worldpanel OVERVIEW Market Overview The annual market sales are behind last year, with a decline in market value of 0.1% year-on-year and 0.5% over the shorter term (12 weeks period). The grocery market has shown volume growth of 0.6% year on year and by 0.9 over the 12 week period. Shoppers are buying more volume but despite price inflation are managing their spend through trading down to own brand, shopping around, shopping to a budget and planning ahead. Consumers are making more shopping trips, but the average spend per trip has reduced by 3.7%. Private label continues to be important as a method of reducing spend with a market share at 35%.

© Kantar Worldpanel The Irish grocery market is in decline over 52w period by -0.1% and over the 12w period by -0.5%. TOTAL IRISH GROCERY MARKET VALUE AND GROWTH 52 &12 W/E +0.8%-0.1%+0.7%-0.5% 52 & 12 W/e 10 Jun 12

© Kantar Worldpanel The Irish grocery market is in volume growth over 52w by +0.6% and over 12w by +0.9%. -0.7%+0.6%-1%+0.9% TOTAL IRISH GROCERY VOLUME SALES AND GROWTH 52 &12 W/E 52 & 12 W/e 10 Jun 12

© Kantar Worldpanel -2.3% -7.1% -0.5% +0.4% +0.3% -3.3% +0.7% Ambient Food, Fresh Food and Frozen Food sectors continue to increase sales and win share over the full year TOTAL GROCERY SECTOR VALUE SHARE & GROWTH 52W/E 52 W/e 10 Jun 12

© Kantar Worldpanel Fresh & Chilled Produce 47% Ambient Food 29% Household 7% Frozen 5% Alcohol 7% Toiletries 4% Healthcare 1% Share of total trolley Total Trolley -0.5% value Toiletries, Healthcare, and Alcohol sectors have been the driving forces behind value decline TOTAL GROCERY SECTOR VALUE SHARE & GROWTH 12W/E 12 W/e 10 Jun 12

© Kantar Worldpanel 12w Total Grocery - value %chg by category ANALYSIS BY CATEGORY - GROWTH/DECLINE? Canned Goods, Hot Beverages, Fresh Fish and Poultry are some of the stronger performing categories this period. Shoppers continue to spend less on Bathroom Toiletries and Chilled Bakery Products year on year 12 W/e 10 Jun 12

© Kantar Worldpanel % change year on year – 12 week period CHANGE IN INFLATION RATES AND HOUSEHOLD SPEND 12 W/E Household spend change has decreased to -0.59% year on year 12 W/e 10 Jun 12

© Kantar Worldpanel 9 HOW DO SHOPPERS REACT TO INFLATION? – CONSUMER COPING STRATEGIES Shoppers are buying more volume this year. With increased inflation, shoppers are coping by purchasing on promotion and trading down. 12w Total Grocery - consumer coping strategies 12 W/e 10 Jun 12

© Kantar Worldpanel 12w Total Grocery - consumer coping strategies trended TRENDED VIEW OF CONSUMER COPING STRATEGIES -12 W/E Buying on offer and trading down has been a key theme for shoppers since the start of W/e 10 Jun 12

© Kantar Worldpanel 12w Total Grocery - changes in consumer shopping behaviour Average frequency increased by +3.2% Average frequency increased by +3.2% Average basket spend reduced by -3.7% Average basket spend reduced by -3.7% €7 decrease in 12w spend per HH (-0.6%) €7 decrease in 12w spend per HH (-0.6%) CHANGES IN CONSUMER SHOPPING BEHAVIOUR 12 W/E Irish households continue to shop more often this year, but spending an average of €0.80 less per trip 12 W/e 10 Jun 12

© Kantar Worldpanel 12 (Under €30)(€100+) 29%44%27% %45%20% 2012 (€30 - €100) KANTAR WORLDPANEL: 52 W/E JUNE 2012

© Kantar Worldpanel BRANDED VALUE SHARE OF TOTAL IRISH GROCERY MARKET Branded goods losing resonance 13 KANTAR WORLDPANEL: 52 W/E JUNE 2012

© Kantar Worldpanel 12w Total Grocery – PL value% PRIVATE LABEL VALUE SHARE OF TOTAL IRISH GROCERY Private Label sales are driving market performance, however value share has fallen since March and is now 35% 12 W/e 10 Jun 12 47% in UK

© Kantar Worldpanel Top 10 growth categories Bakery Confectionery Home Cooking Canned Food Hot Beverages Home Baking Crisps & Snacks Ambient Carbs Soft Drinks Frozen Food KANTAR WORLDPANEL: 52 W/E MAY 2012

© Kantar Worldpanel 16 UK Market Overview

© Kantar Worldpanel 17 UK GROCERY SUMMARY — Inflation slowing in UK grocery, household spend also slows, but the market is still in growth year on year. — Own label products grow ahead of branded goods, with own label market share now at 47%. — Shoppers manage spend by buying into own label and trading down price tier.

© Kantar Worldpanel 18 TOTAL UK MARKET SALES GROWTH 12W/E The UK market is in 12w/e sales growth of 2% this period while inflation slows to 4.45%. 12 W/e 10 Jun 12

© Kantar Worldpanel 19 UK SHOPPER REACTION Trading down product is key for UK households managing their spend 12 W/e 10 Jun 12

© Kantar Worldpanel 20 UK GROWTH IN GROCERY PACK SALES BY PRICE BAND With shoppers seeking to manage their spend in the UK, budget products see a strong increase in sales. Growth in Grocery sales (Packs) Change in salesShare of sales 12 W/e 10 Jun 12

© Kantar Worldpanel 21 PRIVATE LABEL VS BRANDED YEAR ON YEAR GROWTH – VALUE 12 W/E Own label also sees growth ahead of branded goods over this year 12 W/e 10 Jun 12