Estimating Activity Durations Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Understanding Your Habit: Flow Charts & Lists of Routines Farrokh Alemi Ph.D.

Advertisements

Project Cost Management Chapter 7

Tutorial on Risk Adjusted P-chart Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.

Effective Teamwork Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. What do you like about teams? What needs improvement? Takes too much time Rewards popularity not good ideas Many.

Borough of Manhattan Community College, March, 2014 Institutional Effectiveness and Strategic Planning.

Critical Path Method Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. Course on Project Management Purpose of CPM Finish fast Finish fast Quantify progress Quantify progress Communicate.

Introduction to Decision Analysis

Rapid Analysis Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. Analysis takes time and reflection People must be lined up and their views sought. People must be lined up and their.

Planning Execution & Control CPMEHR Catch All.

Chapter 9. Definitions Determining what is being accomplished, i.e. evaluating the performance and if necessary, applying corrective measures so that.

Project Control Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D. Lee Baliton.

XmR Chart Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. Purpose of Control Chart  Real or random.  Tell a story of changes in outcomes of the process.

Project Execution Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D. Lee Baliton.

DEMAND FORECASTING A forecast is a prediction or estimation of future situation. It is an objective assessment of future course of action. Since future.

Does Project Management Work Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D. Narrated by Lee Baliton.

PMP EXAM OVERVIEW © Kanabar & Warburton PMP Exam Overview o How to become certified. o Application Process o Sample Exam questions. Professional.

6-1 Copyright © 2013 McGraw-Hill Education (Australia) Pty Ltd Pearson, Larson, Gray, Project Management in Practice, 1e CHAPTER 6 Estimating Project,

Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Statistical Office FSO Item 3: Methods to Improve Estimates of Migration Flows Joint UNECE/Eurostat Work.

PAIRED TEST Farrokh Alemi Ph.D.. Framework for Hypothesis Testing.

20041 CE Management and Planning Diane Bishton – K229 Planning & Forecasting - Nature & purpose.

Presented by the National Resource Center on ADHD.

Introduction to Control Charts: XmR Chart

Information Technology Project Management, Seventh Edition Note: See the text itself for full citations.

Management of technology and development Exercise 1 Sanja Marinkovic.

VARIANCE & STANDARD DEVIATION By Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D. This lecture is organized by Dr. Alemi and narrated by Yara Alemi. The lecture is based on the OpenIntro.

Introduction to System Change Farrokh Alemi Ph.D..

Project Initiation Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. Course on Project Management Project Phases 1. Initiation 2. Planning 3. Execution 4. Controlling 5. Closing.

1 Chapter 9 Questionnaires and Data Collection Forms © 2005 Thomson/South-Western.

PERT Chart Expert by Critical Tools Greater Cincinnati MPUG Chapter September 26, 2002 Presented by Chas Eddingfield GCMPUG Technology Chair - MSP Support.

Managing the Information System Project Dr. Dania Bilal IS 592 Spring 2005.

Advanced Project Management Project Time Management Ghazala Amin.

Risk Assessment Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. Session Objectives 1.Discuss the role of risk assessment in the TQM process. 2.Describe the five severity indices.

Vendor Selection Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. Alemi at Georgetown 2 Objectives Model decision makers preferences Facilitate communication and documentation.

Modeling Preferences of a Group Member Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.

Digitization Project Rubric University of North Texas Digital Libraries Marcia McIntosh and Derek Rankins.

Mass s Tailored to Individuals Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.

Time to Dissatisfied Customer Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D. October 2006.

1 Course on Quality Change Cycles Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D

Collecting requirements – Different methods Defining scope – Estimates for all resources Creating the WBS – Different approaches Verifying scope – Formal.

HYPOTHESIS TESTING FRAMEWORK Farrokh Alemi Ph.D..

Participatory Vendor Selection Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.

BSBPMG503A Manage Project Time 6.4 Estimate Activity Duration The process of approximating the number of work periods needed to complete individual activities.

0 Calculation of Return on Investments Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.

Project Scheduling Software

Researching your contemporary issue From How to Write an Effective Special Study Dodson, Jarvis & Melhuish.

Project Control Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. Course on Project Management Purpose Monitor progress Monitor progress Corrective action Corrective action.

Developing Flipped Learning Experiences Date: Time Instructor Name Click the microphone icon at the top of the Audio & Video window to enter the Setup.

Turning the aircraft carrier…. The Starting Point… We have a system… I fill in some forms every year. You have to understand, we’re different. We’re unique.

Project Management Concepts Gantt Chart – shows tasks as bars whose length indicates timing. PERT* chart (Network Diagram) – shows relationships between.

INFERENCE Farrokh Alemi Ph.D.. Point Estimates Point Estimates Vary.

Time To Missed Exercise Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. Why do it? You need to distinguish between random days of missed exercise from real changes in underlying.

Measuring Impact of a Cause Farrokh Alemi Ph.D.. Definition.

Risk Adjusted X-bar Chart Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D. Based on Work of Eric Eisenstein and Charles Bethea, The use of patient mix-adjusted control charts to compare.

GCF (Greatest Common Factor) Standard: check Created by Penelope Rogers.

DATA BASICS By Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. How best to collect data? Statistics Is.

Project Execution Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. Course on Project Management Components of Project Execution 1. Completing plans 2. Managing project resources.

This Me! Dr. Brinker CMHS. List and Define all the personality types we discussed in class. Extravert vs. Introvert – Optimistic vs. Pessimistic vs. Realist.

Project Management MGT 30725

Project Initiation Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.

This is Me! Dr. Brinker CMHS.

Please use the top of the slide. The area that will be printed is 4

This Me! Dr. Brinker CMHS.

Calculation of Present Value

One way ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE (ANOVA)

Competencies in Health Information Systems

Benchmarking Clinicians using Data Balancing

Cigarette Smoking Prevalence by Age, Females:

Cigarette Smoking Prevalence by Age, Males:

Benchmarking Clinicians using Data Balancing

Cigarette Smoking Prevalence:

Presentation transcript:

Estimating Activity Durations Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.

Course on Project Management Purpose Accuracy matters Accuracy matters

Course on Project Management Implicit Assumptions Revealed More people, less time More people, less time

Course on Project Management Source of Data Expert opinions Expert opinions Time studies Time studies Statistical analysis Statistical analysis

Course on Project Management Source of Data Expert opinions Expert opinions Time studies Time studies Statistical analysis Statistical analysis

Course on Project Management Source of Data Expert opinions Expert opinions Time studies Time studies Stop motion studies Stop motion studies Diary Diary Statistical analysis Statistical analysis

Course on Project Management Source of Data Expert opinions Expert opinions Time studies Time studies Statistical analysis Statistical analysis

Course on Project Management Assessing Experts Opinions Assumptions Assumptions Estimate, talk and estimate Estimate, talk and estimate Delphi Delphi

Course on Project Management Assessing Experts Opinions Assumptions Assumptions Estimate, talk and estimate Estimate, talk and estimate Delphi Delphi

Course on Project Management Assessing Experts Opinions Assumptions Assumptions Estimate, talk and estimate Estimate, talk and estimate Delphi Delphi

Course on Project Management Example of Estimate Talk Estimate

Course on Project Management Example of Estimate Talk Estimate Thanks for agreeing to help us…please write down …

Course on Project Management Example of Estimate Talk Estimate Responses from different expert are collected and displayed on the flip chart without attribution

Course on Project Management Example of Estimate Talk Estimate This is great. Lets discuss why it could take a long time…

Course on Project Management Example of Estimate Talk Estimate Well it depends on the experience of the person configuring the system

Course on Project Management Example of Estimate Talk Estimate And it also depends on how cooperative the clinicians are.

Course on Project Management Example of Estimate Talk Estimate Discussion of Assumptions

Course on Project Management Example of Estimate Talk Estimate You have said … please re- estimate…

Course on Project Management PERT Optimistic Optimistic Realistic Realistic Pessimistic Pessimistic

Course on Project Management PERT Optimistic Optimistic Realistic Realistic Pessimistic Pessimistic

Course on Project Management PERT Dialogue How long do you think it would take to send 100 surveys out?

Course on Project Management PERT Dialogue It all depends. I have seen people do it in 6 hours and I have seen others do it in 1 hour.

Course on Project Management PERT Dialogue But given what I know about your operations I think it will take 2 hours.

Course on Project Management PERT Dialogue

Take Home Lesson Estimate-Talk-Estimate and PERT method can increase accuracy of estimate of duration of activities