State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program Develop Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios

State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program 6.2 How Do “Planning Factors” Fit into the Homeland Security Strategic Planning Process? Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios

State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program 6.3 Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios Risk Assessment Needs Assessment Shortfalls or “Gaps” Desired Capabilities Current Capabilities Vulnerability Assessment Threat Assessment State Administrative Agency

State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program 6.4  Planning factors process  State and local task  Assessment completion off-line  List Potential Targets  Consider military facilities  Likelihood of CBRNE use on Target  Project casualties  Number of Deceased  Determine Maximum Score  Determine Potential CBRNE Scenarios Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios R E F E R E N C E : Jurisdiction Handbook page 29

State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program 6.5  Key points  Planning Factors determine potential incidents rather than “worst-case scenarios”  Consider an attack against a facility, site, system, or special event  Death, injuries, or infrastructure damage that would overwhelm response capabilities including mutual aid agreements  Concentrate on the number of casualties Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios

State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program 6.6  Planning Factors and CBRNE scenario(s) help to establish:  Desired and current capabilities to respond effectively to CBRNE scenario(s)  Tasks by discipline  Planning requirements for effective response  Organization requirements  Equipment that should be on-hand  Training desires for effective response  Exercises to evaluate the response Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios

State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program 6.7  Step 1 - List Potential Targets  List potential targets  Use the Vulnerability Assessment worksheets Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios Planning Factors ChemicalEvacuated Victims Deceased Site/Target Potential ( ) Non-InjuredWalkingStretcher “Worried Well” (Optional) Max Value Total R E F E R E N C E : Jurisdiction Handbook page 30

State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program 6.8  Step 2 - Likelihood of CBRNE on Target  CBRNE material listed  Determine if potential for location  Note with check mark Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios Planning Factors ChemicalEvacuated Victims Deceased Site/Target Potential ( ) Non-InjuredWalkingStretcher “Worried Well” (Optional) Max Value Total

State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program 6.9  Step 3 - Project Casualties  Project the number of victims for each evacuation category Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios Planning Factors ChemicalEvacuated Victims Deceased Site/Target Potential ( ) Non-InjuredWalkingStretcher “Worried Well” (Optional) Max Value Total

State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program 6.10  Step 4 - Number of Deceased  Victims who are deceased Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios Planning Factors ChemicalEvacuated Victims Deceased Site/Target Potential ( ) Non-InjuredWalkingStretcher “Worried Well” (Optional) Max Value Total

State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program 6.11  Step 5 - Determine Maximum Score  Determine highest estimated total for each Planning Factor  Enter the total Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios Planning Factors ChemicalEvacuated Victims Deceased Site/Target Potential ( ) Non-InjuredWalkingStretcher “Worried Well” (Optional) Max Value Total

State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program 6.12  Step 6 - Determine Potential CBRNE Scenarios  Determine highest estimated numbers for each Planning Factor  CBRNE material used Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios Maximum Evacuation Max Deceased Max Non-Injured Max Walking Max Stretcher “Worried Well” (Optional) Chemical Biological Radiological Nuclear Explosive

State Homeland Security Assessment and Strategy Program 6.13 DISCUSSION Planning Factors for CBRNE Scenarios