1 1 CURRENT ENERGY POLICY CHALLENGES. THE 2030 ENERGY AND CLIMATE FRAMEWORK DG Energy, European Commission

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3 Europe's dependence is set to increase

4 GASOIL in % 82,4% 84,3% 92,7% 94,1% 57,7% 62,3% 75,9% 82,8% EU fossil fuel import dependency

5 What does this mean for the EU energy policy? Internal dimension: need to reduce energy dependence by… » energy efficiency » interconnections among EU MS and markets integration » indigenous energy sources, notably RES, but also conventional and non-conventional fossil fuels » Storage… External dimension: » Action to diversify energy suppliers and routes » International Cooperation on clean energy technologies, energy efficiency and market design

6 Progress towards climate/energy goals Reduce greenhouse gas levels by 20% Increase share of renewables to 20% 100% Reduce energy consumption by 20% ~16-20% Target: -20% 2011 emissions: -17% -20% Current trend to 2020 ?

Roadmaps 2030 Green Paper Proposals for the 2030 framework for climate and energy policies 2011March 2013January 2014 The 2030 framework will build on the 2050 Roadmaps On-going discussions with Member States, EU institutions and stakeholders

8 The Energy Roadmap 2050 as a basis for developing a long-term policy framework. EU objective for 2050: GHG emissions down to 80-95% below 1990 levels. Looks forward to elaboration of a low- carbon 2050 strategy – a framework for longer-term action in energy and related sectors. Give more certainty to governments and investors. Explore routes towards a low-carbon energy system by 2050 which improve competitiveness and security of supply. Basis for developing the 2030 policy framework and concrete milestones with MS, EP and stakeholders European CouncilAim of the Roadmap

9 Range for current trends scenarios Range regarding decarbonisation scenarios Energy savings throughout the system are crucial Gross energy consumption in the EU - range in current trend (REF/CPI) and decarbonisation scenarios (in Mtoe)

10 Transformation of power generation at the centerpiece Source: European Commission Gross Electricity Generation in the EU by fuel (TWh) in the Diversified Supply Technology scenario (Energy Roadmap 2050)

11 Renewables move centre stage – but all fuels can contribute in the long-run Source: European Commission Decarbonisation scenarios in Energy Roadmap fuel ranges (primary energy consumption in the EU in %) 2005

12 The next step for the EU is to define the 2030 framework for energy Source: European Commission The immediate priority is to implement the EU's 2020 Energy Strategy, including the targets The next step is to define the EU's 2030 framework for energy: On the basis of the Energy Roadmap 2050 and the reactions to it Must reflect all objectives of EU energy policy: Competitiveness Sustainability Security of energy supply Three no regrets options for the longer term strategy: Renewable Energy Infrastructure Energy Efficiency

13 Increased certainty and reduced regulatory risks for investors Growth and jobs via more low-carbon technologies Set EU ambitions for a new international agreement Early agreement on the 2030 framework is essential

14 Targets for 2030? Sector targets? Legally binding? Targets Policy instruments to meet potential new targets? Contribution of Research and Innovation? Instruments Take account of international developments Ensure internationally competitive and affordable energy prices Competitiveness & Security of Supply Equitable distribution of efforts among MS Different investment capacities of sectors and consumer groups Effort Sharing These are the main issues to be considered for the 2030 framework

15 Impact Assessment Jan. Commission proposals for the 2030 framework Feb.Mar.Apr.Jun.Jul.AugSept.Oct.…Jan May April Informal 22 May European Council Adoption of the Green Paper consultation procedure Council meetings Update of reference scenario Concrete steps towards the 2030 framework in January 2014 March 2014 European Council Sept Informal Council

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