EU Speaker’s Corner, GEO Week, Geneva, Jan 2014

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EU Speaker’s Corner, GEO Week, Geneva, 13-17 Jan 2014 Research and Monitoring of Ecosystems and Biodiversity in the Arctic: What has been done, and what does it matter? Hannele Savela Thule Institute, University of Oulu on behalf of the INTERACT Consortium

What is the Arctic? Geographic: Region above the Arctic Circle 66° 32" N Biological: North of the arctic tree line Climatological: Location in high latitudes, where the average daily summer temperature does not rise above 10 C (50 F) http://nsidc.org/cryosphere/arctic-meteorology/arctic.html

What makes the Arctic special? Climate Nature Biodiversity Ecosystems Indigenous cultures

Arctic Ecosystems and Biodiversity Foodwebs consisting of plants and animals adapted to extreme conditions One of the most productive ecosystems in the world (e.g. marine organisms, migratory birds) Arctic wildlife have special adaptations to survive the cold and changeable environment Biodiversity Plant and animal species unique to high latitudes Climate change is the most serious threat to Arctic biodiversity Habitat loss and degradation Loss of biodiversity Emergence of invasive alien species Natioal Wildlife Federation (www.nwf.org). Arctic Biodiversity Assessment (www.arcticbiodiversity.is)

What is happening?

The past years have been the warmest recorded in the Arctic Trends in mean surface air temperature over the period 1960 to 2011. Notice that the Arctic is red, indicating that the trend over this 50 year period is for an increase in air temperature of more that 2° C (3.6° F) across much of the Arctic, which is larger than for other parts of the globe. The inset shows linear trends over the period by latitude. —Credit: NASA GISS, retrieved from http://nsidc.org/cryosphere/arctic-meteorology/climate_change.html

The Arctic is changing Time series 1995–2011 of the observed annual mass balance for the Mittivakkat Glacier, SE Greenland (Press release by S. Mernild et al. 2011 for INTERACT).

Warming of the Arctic has consequences… Changes in glaciers, permafrost, snow cover, sea ice Endangered ecosystems and biodiversity Invasive species Emerging diseases Effects on infrastructures Societal and cultural consequences Human activities also affect the Arctic Global consequences  Arctic amplification! National Snow & Ice Data Center, http://nsidc.org/cryosphere/arctic-meteorology/climate_change.html: Researchers say that the changes in the Arctic are worrisome, because they could lead to feedback effects that spur further warming. For instance, when the white sea ice melts in summer, areas of dark open water are exposed which can absorb more heat from the sun. That extra heat then helps melt even more ice. Permafrost may also be involved in feedbacks. As permafrost thaws, plants and animals that were frozen in the ground begin to decay. When they decay, they release carbon dioxide and methane back to the atmosphere that contributes to further warming. Scientists have already seen evidence that positive feedbacks are occurring in the Arctic. They call this Arctic amplification. Scientists are studying the many factors that influence Arctic climate to help figure out how feedbacks work and what will happen in the future. Researchers are also investigating how the changes in the Arctic climate will affect climate in other parts of the world. Scientists study data collected by satellites and at ground stations and also used use sophisticated computer models. Melting glacier: V. Rinterknecht

What to do? Research Monitoring Outreach and information What is happening? Can we stop it? How can we adapt? Research Monitoring Outreach and information Boy looking at dragonfly: H. Savela

Research and monitoring: levels of activity Organizations Projects Individuals

Project level: INTERACT Network for terrestrial research and monitoring in the Arctic 58 stations across the Arctic, northern and northern alpine areas EU FP-7 Infrastructures project 2011-2014 One of the GEO European Projects

Monitoring Real-time monitoring Data and monitoring on environment, biodiversity, and ecosystems Climate records, Hydrology, Permafrost, Vegetation, Phenology, Species richness, Population counts, Tourism impacts INTERACT partners’ monitoring activities have been on-going for up to 100 yr! Real-time monitoring Retrospective monitoring: Back to the Future

What has been done? 1970 to 2009 No change 1977 to 2009 change From space to the ground Xu et al., NCC, 2013 INTERACT strategically samples the complexity of greening in the North Here is an example on something that INTERACT can be useful at, in on-site validation of remotely-sensed data. ”From the space to the ground” approach. The picture on the left is from an article published recently in Nature Climate Change by Xu et al., involving also prof. Terry Callaghan from INTERACT among authors. The graph presents the greening of the Arctic in several places during the past 20 years, as shown by Normalized Differencce Vegetation Index. The results were validated by observations from two INTERACT sites, in Arctic Station on the west-coast of Greenland, and in Abisko in northern Sweden. Similarily to the graph left, you cannot detect change in the two photos taken from the same spot in Arctic Station in 1970 and 2009, whereas you can see a change in the two photos taken from the same sport in Abisko area thirty years apart, as also was observed in the publication. NVDI=Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, PAP=Photosynthetically active period.

Research: Transnational Access Free access to research facilities, field sites, databases 5400 days used at 20 stations in 8 countries 360 researchers from 136 groups from 19 countries, Biodiversity, glaciology, permafrost, climate, hydrology, ecology, biogeochemistry, human dimension… From research to outreach: Publications, presentations, blogs, teaching, meeting local residents… Photo by A. Sier

Modelling ecosystem responses to climate change; HOLOGIS, A Modelling ecosystem responses to climate change; HOLOGIS, A. Long, Durham University, UK Reconstructing Holocene temperature variations using non-biting midgesfrom the margins of the Greenland Ice Sheet GINR in Greenland Computer-based model of the Greenland Ice Sheet to predict how it has changed in the past and what may happen in the future Contemporary lake sediment and water samples Sediment cores from the lakes for reconstructing past changes in midge populations since the last ice age Computer-based model of the Greenland Ice Sheet to predict how it has changed in the past and what may happen in the future 1) Contemporary lake sediment and water samples reconstructing present-day distributions of chironomids from a range of elevations background information about the lake characteristics and environmental conditions 2) Sediment cores from the lakes for reconstructing past changes in midge populations since the last ice age radiocarbon dating of the fossil remains of the midgest to obtain a record of past temperature change Photos by A. Long

Organization level: GEO Organisations and projects working together to Coordinate and integrate Earth Observations to GEOSS Provide data, results and information about research and monitoring to decision and policy makers and users at different levels: GEOSS Common Infrastructure Cold Regions (WA-01-C3), Ecosystems (EC-01-C2), Biodiversity (BI-01)

Do care about it; we can make a difference! What can you do? Citizen science Everyday actions Do care about it; we can make a difference!

Citizen scince in Action: Humpback whale photo ID Collection of photos of the undersides of humpback whale tail fins The underside of a humpback whale's tail fin can be used to identify individual whales Catalogue of humpback whales that visit Greenlandic waters Do the same whales return to certain regions in Greenland year after year? Photos by Tenna Boye.

What does it matter? Arctic is home to 13 million people and unique ecosystems and biodiversity What happens in the Arctic amplifies, and effects the rest of the planet through feedback mechanisms Uarctic website: Arctic areas are inhabited approximately by four million people according to the AHDR (Arctic Human Development Report) definition of the Arctic. The settlement area is divided between eight Arctic countries; Canada, United States, Russia, Finland, Sweden, Norway, Iceland and Denmark. The circumpolar region is extremely sparsely populated. Using more broad definition, according to the University of the Arctic Atlas, there are approximately 13.1 million people living in the area of the circumpolar North, see the map of population distribution in the circumpolar North. Indigenous peoples have inhabited the Arctic for thousands of years. The proportion indigenous people is estimated to be about 10 percent of total population living in arctic areas. There are over 40 different ethnic groups living in the Arctic. Arctic indigenous peoples include for example Saami in circumpolar areas of Finland, Sweden, Norway and Northwest Russia, Nenets, Khanty, Evenk and Chukchi in Russia, Aleut, Yupik and Inuit (Iñupiat) in Alaska, Inuit (Inuvialuit) in Canada and Inuit (Kalaallit) in Greenland. All of the above-mentioned countries except Iceland have indigenous peoples living within their Arctic territory. Official statistics do not necessarily recognize indigenous populations separately, although differences occur. The number of indigenous people is not accurate because of the definition of indigenousness.

Thank you for listening! Integrating Observations to Sustain the Planet Thank you for listening!