VU Amsterdam: Hans de Moel, Elco Koks, Marthe Derkzen, Peter Verburg, Jeroen Aerts Municipality Rotterdam: Nick van Barneveld, Anne Weeda TURAS WP4 case.

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Presentation transcript:

VU Amsterdam: Hans de Moel, Elco Koks, Marthe Derkzen, Peter Verburg, Jeroen Aerts Municipality Rotterdam: Nick van Barneveld, Anne Weeda TURAS WP4 case study: Rotterdam

2 Rotterdam ~600,000 inhabitants ~1.3 million in Rijnmond area Protected by barrier and dikes

3 Rotterdam Largest harbour in Europe Infrastructural hub: ‘Gateway to Europe’ Soruce: Port authority of Rotterdam webiste

4 Rotterdam Largest harbour in Europe Infrastructural hub: ‘Gateway to Europe’ 3,5m4,5m5,5m Source elevation data: AHN

5 Rotterdam Economy Commerce Services Construction DP-RD, 2011

6 Future challenges – socio-economic change Population growth up to 2040, can go in various directions from there DP-RD, 2011

7 Future challenges – climatic change Extremer extremes KNMI, 2006

8 Future challenges Socio-economic change and climate change will put extra pressure on the urban area. Many consequences: Increasing flood hazard (river/sea/rain) Increasing flood exposure Increased heat stress Possible deterioration of living environment Demand for ways to cope with these issues. Issues linked in many cases: Development of unembanked areas should be sustainable in terms of flood risk and living environment. Smart measures can have double edged effects

9 TURAS Work Two themes Adaptation to flood risks (task 4.2) Urban planning (task 4.3) Flood risk track has started a little earlier, so some work has already been done there

10 Progress Improving flood risk assessments

11 Planning Adaptation to flood risks Evaluate costs and benefits of various types of measures In unembanked areas For local flooding from regional water system Similar exercise in New York ODPM, Scotland, 2004 Aerts et al., in review

12 Planning Adaptation to flood risks Improve flood risk assessments, special focus on: Industrial/port areas Indirect effects: business interruption and supply-chain disruption Criticial infrastructure (e.g. energy/water supply) De Kort, 2012 Thailand, 2011

13 Planning Urban planning –> adapt to climate change by optimizing green/blue space and related urban ecosystem services TEEB, 2010

14 Planning TEEB, 2010 Urban planning –> adapt to climate change by optimizing green/blue space and related urban ecosystem services

15 Planning Urban planning Determine the spatial distribution of supply and demand for a range of urban ES, including: Recreation Aesthetics of the living environment Local climate regulation Water provision

16 Planning Urban planning Quantify social and monetary values attached to ES Evaluate alternative scenarios of sustainable city development in terms of possibilities to supply the demand for ES E.g. Large green spaces around the city versus inner-city green spaces

17 Planning Discussion points Which urban services? Which scale (city or district)? Second case study city for urban services? Link to flood risk research Ljubljana? (and/or other TURAS cities)