Temperature anomaly o C Ice concentration. Impacts of Climate Variations on the Bering Sea Ecosystem Overarching theme: Describing the state of the Bering.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Bering Sea Important: Large Ecosystem, Pollock $2 B, 40 % of US catch Considerable data sources: Annual surveys and research First-order Knowledge Base:
Advertisements

The Latitudes. Generalizations can be made about climate based on latitude. Generalizations can be made about climate based on latitude. This is because.
How is Climate Change Expected to Impact Fisheries How is Climate Change Expected to Impact Fisheries Neil A. Bellefontaine Neil A. Bellefontaine World.
Arctic catastrophes: sea ice changes and impacts in the Eastern Arctic during the past 4,000 years Mudie, P.J. 1, Levac, E. 2, and Rochon, A. 3 1 Geological.
Carbon Isotope Variations in Aquatic Plants: Applications Onshore-Offshore (Benthic vs. Pelagic?) Kelp forest ecology Decreased productivity in the Bering.
Chukchi/Beaufort Seas Surface Wind Climatology, Variability, and Extremes from Reanalysis Data: Xiangdong Zhang, Jeremy Krieger, Paula Moreira,
PDO/PNA The PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation) is an index derived from North Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies and it has a high correlation to.
1 Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Review June 30 - July 2, 2009.
Geoff Roest MO 590/790.  Home builder in Southern California San Gabriel Mountains  Using unpaved access roads while building Concerned about washouts.
The Bering Sea Is it just a Warmer Barents Sea? George L. Hunt, Jr. University of California, Irvine and Bernard Megrey NOAA Alaska Fisheries Science Center.
The Arctic Where is the Arctic? Summer 2010 Workshop in Biology and Multimedia for High School Teachers
Overview Northern hemisphere extra-tropics El Niño Seasonal Climate – Winter Mike Blackburn Seasonal Climate Discussion, 14 April 2010.
Ozan Mert Göktürk Naki Akçar Dominik Fleitmann
The Changing State of Arctic Sea Ice The Changing State of Arctic Sea Ice James E. Overland and John Calder, NOAA, USA December 7, 2009.
P. Stabeno, PMEL The Bering Sea What is BEST? A program designed to understand and predict the consequences of climate change for Bering Sea marine ecosystems.
Continentality & Climate World Climate Patterns World Geo 3200/3202 Unit 2, Chpt 4 December 2010.
Pinnipeds FEATHER-FOOTED. Pinnipeds “Feather-footed” Phocidae - True “earless” seals 9 species Otariidae - “eared seals” 5 sea lion species 9 fur seal.
ARCTIC SEA ICE COVER September 2005 NASA. SEA ICE EXTENT March 2006 Maximum September 2006 Minimum NEW RECORD! 2006: At or near record minimum in summer.
NOAA Arctic Ocean Observations for Climate NOAA Arctic Research Office John Calder, Kathy Crane.
Question and Answer Session Related to the Weather photo: D. Martin Douglas K. Miller Professor and Chair Atmospheric Sciences Department UNC Asheville.
Megan Stachura and Nathan Mantua University of Washington School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences September 8, 2012.
Arctic sea ice melt in summer 2007: Sunlight, water, and ice NSIDC Sept 2007.
Arctic Sea Ice and the Ice-Albedo Feedback Harry Stern, Polar Science Center, University of Washington, Seattle Climate Complexity Workshop 2012 May 9,
Climate Forecasting Unit Arctic Sea Ice Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to- Decadal Timescale Virginie Guemas, Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth,
Outline Further Reading: Detailed Notes Posted on Class Web Sites Natural Environments: The Atmosphere GE 101 – Spring 2007 Boston University Myneni L30:
North Pacific Climate Regimes and Ecosystem Productivity Changing climate, changing ecosystem: Current issues & results.
Constructing Climate Graphs
Spatial Fisheries Values in the Gulf of Alaska Matthew Berman Institute of Social and Economic Research University of Alaska Anchorage Ed Gregr Ryan Coatta.
Detecting Change in the Bering Sea Ecosystem Sergei Rodionov 1, James E. Overland 2, Nicholas A. Bond 1 1 JISAO, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.
ECOSYSTEM SNAPSHOT: TUNDRA. FEATURED POPULATION: ARCTIC FOX.
Stratification on the Eastern Bering Sea Shelf, Revisited C. Ladd 1, G. Hunt 2, F. Mueter 3, C. Mordy 2, and P. Stabeno 1 1 Pacific Marine Environmental.
A Major Climate/Ecosystem Shift Observed in the Northern Bering Sea James E. Overland1, Jacqueline M. Grebmeier2, Sue E. Moore3, Ed V. Farley4, Eddy C.
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Overland, J. A. Richter-Menge, H. Eicken, H. Wiggins, and J. Calder 1.
In Northern Mists: Bering Climate-Present and Future James Overland, Phyllis Stabeno, Muyin Wang and Nick Bond NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory.
Arctic System Model workshop III Montreal, Canada, July 17 th, :50 – 11:10 Ocean/Atmosphere observations A. Proshutinsky, WHOI a)Model forcing validation.
Improvement in forecast skill from for ECMWF 5-km hemispheric flow pattern Highlights of the past recent decades.
Science Behind Sustainable Seafood Solving the Ecosystem Problem Alaska Fisheries Science Center.
1.4 Understanding Climate Patterns- Arctic Climate
Biological Implications of Arctic Change Jacqueline M. Grebmeier Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology University of Tennessee Knoxville, Tennessee,
Oaverview of IPCC reports Kyoto, Copenhagen, Russia’s & America’s Role, IPCC Reports etc. June 2, 2014 Return to Home Page.
PAPER REVIEW R Kirsten Feng. Impact of global warming on the East Asian winter monsoon revealed by nine coupled atmosphere-ocean GCMs Masatake.
Interannual Variability during summer (DJF) in Observations and in the COLA model J. Nogues-Paegle (University of Utah) C. Saulo and C. Vera (University.
Ocean processes affecting ice-cover in the Arctic, and their impact on hydrocarbon exploration William Crawford Eddy Carmack Josef Cherniawsky Institute.
Fig Decadal averages of the seasonal and annual mean anomalies for (a) temperature at Faraday/Vernadsky, (b) temperature at Marambio, and (c) SAM.
Benthic Processes in the Bering Sea and Arctic Ocean:
Didier Swingedouw LSCE, France Large scale signature of the last millennium variability: challenges for climate models.
1 Assessing Vulnerability of Living Marine Resources in a Changing Climate Roger Griffis Climate Change Coordinator, NOAA Fisheries Service.
Changes in Sea Ice Alison Liou Meghan Goodwin. Arctic Oscillation (Northern Annular Mode) Antarctic Oscillation (Southern Annular Mode) Zonal = movement.
Quantifying Pan-Arctic Change Jim Overland 1 Nancy Soreide 1 Muyin Wang 2 Mick Spillane 2 1.PMEL/NOAA, 2. JISAO/UW Seattle,Washington.
MICHAEL A. ALEXANDER, ILEANA BLADE, MATTHEW NEWMAN, JOHN R. LANZANTE AND NGAR-CHEUNG LAU, JAMES D. SCOTT Mike Groenke (Atmospheric Sciences Major)
Oceans & El Nino Ocean-atmosphere coupling matters.
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Overland, J. A. Richter-Menge, H. Eicken, H. Wiggins, and J. Calder 1.
Ecosystem Studies of Sub-Arctic Seas (ESSAS) and Bering Sea Ecosystem Study (BEST) A Basis for Cooperative Norwegian - United States Research on Sustainable.
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE TEACHERS’ CONFERENCE ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE TEACHERS’ CONFERENCE, Borki Molo, Poland, 7-10 February 2007 Extreme Climatic and atmospheric.
Central limit theorem - go to web applet. Correlation maps vs. regression maps PNA is a time series of fluctuations in 500 mb heights PNA = 0.25 *
Great Lakes Ice Database, 1973-present 1/15 Great Lakes Ice & Climate Research, Modeling, and Applications Jia Wang Integrated Physical & Ecological Modeling.
Michael Steele Polar Science Center / APL University of Washington Jan 14, 2009 AOMIP WHOI Mechanisms of Upper Ocean Warming in the Arctic and the Effect.
Climate Change Problem Solving (AOSS 480 // NRE 480)
Changes in the Melt Season and the Declining Arctic Sea Ice
Composite patterns of DJF U200 anomalies for (a) strong EAJS, (b) weak EAJS, (c) El Niño and (d) La Niña.
Overview of 2016/17 Winter Climate over South Korea
ATMS790: Graduate Seminar, Yuta Tomii
Sea Level Pressure and mb Thickness
Impacts of Climate Change on Marine Organisms and Ecosystems
Sea Ice 16 Sept 2009.
Globale Mitteltemperatur
Globale Mitteltemperatur
The TUNDRA Today I will learn about the Tundra because I need to know the characteristics that scientists use to classify the biomes.
Globale Mitteltemperatur
Fig. 3 The relationships between air temperature, atmospheric circulation, AISMR, and CESCF for the periods 1967–1990 and 1991–2015. The relationships.
Presentation transcript:

Temperature anomaly o C Ice concentration

Impacts of Climate Variations on the Bering Sea Ecosystem Overarching theme: Describing the state of the Bering Sea, and using this information for inter-disciplinary and multi-institution studies

Temperature and fluorescence at Sites 2 (left) and 4 (right)

Depth-Averaged Temperature in the SE Bering Sea

Vertically Averaged Temperature (°C) at Site 2

Grey - Lowest 1/3 Pink - Middle 1/3 Red - Highest 1/ Bering Sea Climate Indices

Bering Sea Pollock

Pollock and Bottom Temperature Relative CPUE 170 o W o W 60 o N 58 o N 60 o N 58 o N J Ianelli

Hunt et al., 2002 Oscillating Control Hypothesis

Pollock Recruitment with Summer Wind Mixing & Winter Surface Temperature

Produced from NOAA/PMEL’s Bering Sea Climate Theme Page

St. Paul St. George Northern fur seal pups born on Pribilof Islands Error bars are 95% confidence intervals

[M. Webber-USFWS] Walrus herd in the Chukchi Sea– June 2002 Schematic of food web in the northern Bering and Chukchi Seas [Grebmeier and Dunton 2000] Clam food in walrus stomachs [photos courtesy G. Sheffield]

850 mb Temperature: 1-January-1975 Bering Sea Arctic North Pacific Bering Climate Cold/Dry Arctic Air vs. Warm/Moist Pacific Air

Mooring Sites 4 2 5

Final Remarks Present - Can often go beyond exploratory correlative analysis to scenario testing based on induction. Near Future - Continue monitoring and process studies to refine quantitative understanding of mechanisms.