Use of the Spatial Analogy in Climate Change Research Horváth, Levente – Gaál, Márta – Erdélyi, Éva Debrecen 2006.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
The Canadian Climate Impacts Scenarios (CCIS) Project is funded by the Climate Change Action Fund and provides climate change scenarios and related information.
Advertisements

The Canadian Climate Impacts Scenarios (CCIS) Project is funded by the Climate Change Action Fund and provides climate change scenarios and related information.
DEPARTMENT OFCSIRO PRIMARY INDUSTRIESATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH Options for Victorian Agriculture in a “New” Climate -a pilot study linking climate change scenario.
A Look At The Research Perspective Assessed in IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR) Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis (Working Group 1; Sir John.
Seasonal Climate Predictability over NAME Region Jae-Kyung E. Schemm CPC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA NAME Science Working Group Meeting 5 Puerto Vallarta, Mexico Nov.
Snow Trends in Northern Spain. Analysis and Simulation with Statistical Downscaling Methods Thanks to: Daniel San Martín, Sixto.
Scaling Laws, Scale Invariance, and Climate Prediction
Arctic Discharge Observations The Arctic RIMS and the R-Arctic Net datasets Åsa Rennermalm Princeton University.
Task: (ECSK06) Regional downscaling Regional modelling with HadGEM3-RA driven by HadGEM2-AO projections National Institute of Meteorological Research (NIMR)/KMA.
A statistical method for calculating the impact of climate change on future air quality over the Northeast United States. Collaborators: Cynthia Lin, Katharine.
Climate modeling Current state of climate knowledge – What does the historical data (temperature, CO 2, etc) tell us – What are trends in the current observational.
NCAR GIS Program : Bridging Gaps
Dennis P. Lettenmaier Alan F. Hamlet JISAO Center for Science in the Earth System Climate Impacts Group and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering.
Progress in Downscaling Climate Change Scenarios in Idaho Brandon C. Moore.
Lezlie C. Moriniere, ATMO529 (Fall07) Arid Land Resources Sciences / Global Change Focus: Climate Change  Xevents  Human Migration.
Outline Further Reading: Detailed Notes Posted on Class Web Sites Natural Environments: The Atmosphere GG 101 – Spring 2005 Boston University Myneni L31:
Geographic data: sources and considerations. Geographical Concepts: Geographic coordinate system: defines locations on the earth using an angular unit.
Using climate change to predict Nile flow Suzanne Young March 8,
Climate Variability and Prediction in the Little Colorado River Basin Matt Switanek 1 1 Department of Hydrology and Water Resources University of Arizona.
Protecting our Health from Climate Change: a Training Course for Public Health Professionals Chapter 2: Weather, Climate, Climate Variability, and Climate.
1 Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Review June 30 - July 2, 2009.
The Canadian Climate Impacts Scenarios (CCIS) Project is funded by the Climate Change Action Fund and provides climate change scenarios and related information.
Jonathan Edwards-Opperman.  Importance of climate-weather interface ◦ Seasonal forecasting  Agriculture  Water resource management.
Climate data, Trends and Scenarios in Sri Lanka AS-12 Senaka Basnayake Center for Climate Change Studies (CCCS) Department of Meteorology Colombo Sri Lanka.
Climate Modeling Elissa Lynn SCRO August 27, 28/ 2013.
South Eastern Latin America LA26: Impact of GC on coastal areas of the Rio de la Plata: Sea level rise and meteorological effects LA27: Building capacity.
Zhang Mingwei 1, Deng Hui 2,3, Ren Jianqiang 2,3, Fan Jinlong 1, Li Guicai 1, Chen Zhongxin 2,3 1. National satellite Meteorological Center, Beijing, China.
Stephanie Henson Harriet Cole, Claudie Beaulieu, Andrew Yool Global warming impact on phytoplankton seasonal cycles.
Page 1 Met Office contribution to RL5 Task ‘Large-scale interactions between atmospheric moisture and water availability - coupling of atmospheric.
Climate data sets: introduction two perspectives: A. What varieties of data are available? B. What data helps you to identify...
Eötvös Loránd University Department of Meteorology Budapest, Hungary Judit Bartholy Introduction to panel discussion 1: Climate change projections in Europe.
Climate Baseline Scenarios and GCMs performance By Mario Bidegain (Facultad de Ciencias – UR LA32/LA26) Ines Camilloni (Facultad de Ciencias – UBA LA26)
Climate Modeling Jamie Anderson May Monitoring tells us how the current climate has/is changing Climate Monitoring vs Climate Modeling Modeling.
Changes in Floods and Droughts in an Elevated CO 2 Climate Anthony M. DeAngelis Dr. Anthony J. Broccoli.
Assessment of the impacts of and adaptations to climate change in the plantation sector, with particular reference to coconut and tea, in Sri Lanka. AS-12.
© Crown copyright Met Office Providing High-Resolution Regional Climates for Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Planning Joseph Intsiful, African.
CLIMATE CHANGE AND PRECIPITATION NEEDS OF WINTER WHEAT Éva Erdélyi, Corvinus University of Budapest Levente Horváth, University of Debrecen
Interpretation of climate change using maps of climate analogues in the DRIAS climate services project Julien Lémond 1-2, S. Planton 1, M. Ha-Duong 3,
Adaptation Baselines Through V&A Assessments Prof. Helmy Eid Climate Change Experts (SWERI) ARC Egypt Material for : Montreal Workshop 2001.
15 december 2009 Usefulness of GCM data for predicting global hydrological changes Frederiek Sperna Weiland Rens van Beek Jaap Kwadijk Marc Bierkens.
Projecting changes in climate and sea level Thomas Stocker Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern Jonathan Gregory Walker.
Simulation of Temperature and Precipitation using Regional Climate Model (RegCM3) for Uzbekistan Central latitude of the model domain 40N Central longitude.
The Tyndall Centre comprises nine UK research institutions. It is funded by three Research Councils - NERC, EPSRC and ESRC – and receives additional support.
The hydrological cycle of the western United States is expected to be significantly affected by climate change (IPCC-AR4 report). Rising temperature and.
Validation of NARCCAP climate products for forest resource applications in the southeast United States. Willis Shem 1, Thomas Mote 2, Marshall Shepherd.
The Tyndall Centre comprises nine UK research institutions. It is funded by three Research Councils - NERC, EPSRC and ESRC – and receives additional support.
Sea Surface Temperature Changes & Biogeographic Ranges of Commercial Marine Species Canadian Climate Change Impacts & Adaptation Program Project A515 &
Feng Zhang and Aris Georgakakos School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology Sample of Chart Subheading Goes Here Comparing.
Application of GIS in Analysis of Temporal and Spatial Variation of Surface Air Temperature in the Rio Conchos Basin in Mexico Marcelo Somos.
Development of Climate Change Scenarios of Rainfall and Temperature over the Indian region Potential Impacts: Water Resources Water Resources Agriculture.
Fine-Resolution, Regional-Scale Terrestrial Hydrologic Fluxes Simulated with the Integrated Landscape Hydrology Model (ILHM) David W Hyndman Anthony D.
1 Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Global Climate Models, and California Climate Change Impacts.
Mike Dettinger USGS, La Jolla, CA DOWNSCALING to local climate.
Climate Change and Water Supply: Potential Hydrologic Consequences Guido Franco Technical Lead for Climate Change Research Public Interest Energy Research.
Actions & Activities Report PP8 – Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany 2.1Compilation of Meteorological Observations, 2.2Analysis of.
Global Circulation Models
Climate Change and Sustainable Agricultural Intensification
Overview of Downscaling
Can recently observed precipitation trends over the Mediterranean area be explained by climate change projections? Armineh Barkhordarian1, Hans von Storch1,2.
GFDL Climate Model Status and Plans for Product Generation
NAME HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL WORKING GROUP
Interactions between the Responses of
Modeling the Atmos.-Ocean System
South Eastern Latin America
How will the earth’s temperature change?
Emerging signals at various spatial scales
Precipitation variability over Arizona and
Climate Change and Projection for Asia
GFDL-NCAR/CCSM collaborations
Presentation transcript:

Use of the Spatial Analogy in Climate Change Research Horváth, Levente – Gaál, Márta – Erdélyi, Éva Debrecen 2006

Analogue scenarios Observed or reconstructed information on climate that might serve as an analogue for future climatic conditions taken from: Other regions - spatial analogues Previous time periods - temporal analogues

Spatial analogues Present-day climate in another region that resembles the future climate anticipated in the study area

Spatial analogues Advantages: Testing system sensitivity Identifying key climate thresholds Disadvantages: Not related to greenhouse gas forcing Often physically implausible No appropriate analogues may be available

Materials and methods GCM scenarios American Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory GFDL5564, GFDL2534 United Kingdom Meteorological Office UKHI, UKLO (equilibrium climate change experiment) UKTR (transient climate change experiment) IPCC CRU Global Climate Dataset consists of a multi-variate 0.5º latitude by 0.5º longitude resolution mean monthly ( ) climatology for global land area (we use the temperature and the precipitation)

Materials and methods We used precipitation sums and temperature averages for periods of agricultural importance (Nov.-Feb., March-May, June-Aug., Sept.-Oct., 4-4 data) To compare these climatic datas to the the downscaled scenarios for Debrecen take these climate indices, as variables, were used to calculate Euclidean distances To interpret the results we used GIS methods, using the ArcGIS program

And now, a lot of maps

IPCC CRU dataset

Similarity of temperature for the BASE scenario

Similarity of precipitation for the BASE scenario

Similarity of temperature for the GFDL2534 scenario

Similarity of precipitation for the GFDL2534 scenario

Similarity of temperature for the GFDL5564 scenario

Similarity of precipitation for the GFDL5564 scenario

Similarity of temperature for the UKHI scenario

Similarity of precipitation for the UKHI scenario

Similarity of temperature for the UKLO scenario

Similarity of precipitation for the UKLO scenario

Similarity of temperature for the UKTR scenario

Similarity of precipitation for the UKTR scenario

And now, 2 videos BASE GFDL5564

Feedback: Privacy Policy Feedback
Do Not Sell My Personal Information
About project: SlidePlayer Terms of Service

© 2024 SlidePlayer.com Inc. All rights reserved.