XMSF and The Road Ahead CAPT Michael Lilienthal, MSC, USN Director Defense Modeling and Simulation Office XMSF Early Adopters’ Workshop

Definition of Transformation “The Evolution and Deployment of Combat Capabilities That Provide Revolutionary or Asymmetric Advantages to Our Forces” - QDR (Sep 30, 2001)

Combating Terrorism Chemical/Biological Defense Missile Defense Consequence Management Protect Bases of Operations

Anti-Access Capabilities Project and Sustain US Forces

Defensive IO and Information Assurance Offensive IO Conduct Information Operations

Remote Sensing/Enhanced C4ISR Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Long-Range Precision Strike Small-Diameter Munitions Defeat Hard and Deeply Buried Targets Deny Enemy Sanctuary Persistent Surveillance, Tracking and Rapid Engagement with Precision Strike

Ensure Access to Space Protect Space Assets Space Surveillance Control Space Sub-Orbital Space Vehicle Conduct Space Operations

High-capacity Interoperable Communications Survivable, Improved, Tactical and Strategic Communications End-to-end C4ISR Leverage Information Technology

Since wars begin in the minds of men, it is in the minds of men that the defenses of peace must be constructed Anonymous

DoD Vision Defense modeling and simulation will provide readily available, operationally valid environments for use by DoD components: -To train jointly, develop doctrine and tactics, formulate operational plans, and assess war fighting situations. -To support technology assessment, system upgrade, prototype and full scale development, and force structuring. To allow maximum utility and flexibility, these modeling and simulation environments will be constructed from affordable, reusable components interoperating through an open systems architecture.

Meeting Warfigher Needs Critical factors in meeting the Warfighters needs: Faster, less costly database development Link to C4I systems with common data formats Standardized (reusable) components Reduced Overhead Today’s military missions are increasingly complex. The warfigher needs tools simulation tools that bring the complex world into focus rapidly and flexibly.

Warfighters Developers Testers Analysts Trainers Supporting multiple functional areas Supporting multiple functional areas Through Live, Virtual, and Constructive Simulation Through Live, Virtual, and Constructive Simulation With Joint, Interoperable, Re-useable models With Joint, Interoperable, Re-useable models Supporting multiple functional areas Supporting multiple functional areas Through Live, Virtual, and Constructive Simulation Through Live, Virtual, and Constructive Simulation With Joint, Interoperable, Re-useable models With Joint, Interoperable, Re-useable models A Common Vision Representation

The Challenge OPS-SPEAK TECH-SPEAK XMSF-SPEAK

Acceptance of Innovation Steps of the Innovation-Decision Process 1. Awareness 2. Interest 3. Evaluation 4. Small Scale Trial 5. Decision first knowledge of the innovation gaining further knowledge about it gaining a favorable or unfavorable attitude towards the innovation make or buy or reject

Acceptance of Innovation Key Issues Importance of User Participation Nature of Operational problem -Innovator’s viewpoint -User’s viewpoint Operational constraints Invented - Here On-Time Procurement

Interest Function of... Level must be high enough to at least be receptive to receive more information about innovation Much of the information is perceived by informal (noisy) channels, rather than knowledgeable ones User’s perception of need General awareness of purpose of innovation Change advocate

Evaluation Relative Advantage - Degree to which perceived idea, and/or device, is better than what it replaces Compatibility - Degree to which innovation is perceived as consistent, with existing values, past experiences, current system, and needs of user Complexity - Degree to which innovation is perceived as relatively difficult to understand and use Observability - Degree to which the results of the use of the innovation are understandable – the greater the complexity, the lower the acceptance, but... – if innovation seems to oversimplify a problem, that’s known to be complex, it may be rejected

The Challenge Can XMSF build upon the –Readily accessible –Widely used –Community developed –Web-based standards To create the complex world –Easily assembled –Affordable –Flexible enough to address transformation goals Needed to enable tomorrow’s agile warfighter

Today’s Kids REQUIREMENT: Prevent Boredom Some game commonality across products Interchangeable partsSocial dimension Today’s Kids (tomorrow’s warfighters) will expect similar transparent capabilities in their warfighting systems! Different classes of experienced users Initial capability: commonality Product evolution creates user diversity

Great transitions require... “the engineering insight to fuse several scientific potentialities into a dramatically different weapon or sensor, the tactical insight to see how the weapon will change the face of battle, and the executive leadership to pluck the flower of opportunity from the thorns of government. The inspiration for these transitions often comes from outside.... The perspiration always comes from within...” Hughes, Wayne P., Jr., Captain, USN, RET., Fleet Tactics: theory and practice. Annapolis : Naval Institute Press, 1986.

Do you have a dog in this fight?

The Ultimate Precision Weapon QUESTIONS?

Let the Workshop Begin

Composability: An Emerging Framework Approach Current Approach At Best Current Approach At Best JVB Emerging Framework Emerging Framework Weather 1 Terrain 1 Data 1 Algorithms 1 Weather 2 Terrain 2 Data 2 Algorithms 2 Weather 3 Terrain 3 Data 3 Algorithms 3 Simulation 1 Simulation 2 Simulation 3 Pre - coordinate to Ensure Everything is as Consistent as Possible. Post - coordinate to Interpret Inconsistencies Between Simulations Simulation 1 Simulation 2 Simulation 3 Data Weather Component Algorithm Components Terrain Component All Simulations Use Consistent Standards, Data, Algorithms, and Services