SEISMIC ZONATION: A POLICY TOOL THAT FACILITATES EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina,

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Presentation transcript:

SEISMIC ZONATION: A POLICY TOOL THAT FACILITATES EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA

SEIMIC ZONATION IS A POLICY TOOL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE EDUCATION PUBLIC-STAKE- HOLDER INTER- ACTION ACCUMULATED KNOWLEDGE COMMUNITY EQUITY AND EMPOWERMENT A GOAL OF DISASTER RESILIECE FOUNDATIONS OF SEISMIC ZONATION

SEISMIC ZONATION IS A KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT TOOL THAT FACILITATES ADOPTION OF POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES TO PROTECT PEOPLE, BUILDINGS, AND INFRASTRUCTURE

TECTONIC DEFORMATION EARTHQUAKE TSUNAMI GROUND SHAKING FAULT RUPTURE FOUNDATION FAILURE SOIL AMPLIFICATION LIQUEFACTION LANDSLIDESQUAKE LAKESAFTERSHOCKS DAMAGE/LOSS DAMAGE/ LOSS DAMAGE/LOSS

INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO HORIZONTAL GROUND SHAKING EARTHQUAKES SOIL-STRUCTURE RESONANCE PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT (SURFACE FAULTING & GROUND FAILURE) IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN TSUNAMI WAVE RUNUP LACK OF DETAILING/POOR CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS IGNORING NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS CAUSES OF DAMAGE CASE HISTORIES

EARTHQUAKE HAZARDS MODEL EXPOSURE MODEL VULNERABILTY MODEL SEISMOTECTONIC SETTING LOCATION OF STRUCTURE QUALITY OF DESIGN AND CONSTRUCTION RESISTANCE TO LATERAL FORCES IMPORTANCE AND VALUE OF STRUCTURE POLITICAL PROCESS ACCEPTABLE RISK BENEFIT/ COSTS EXPERIENCE AND RESEARCH DAMAGE ALGORITHM INCORPORATE NEW KNOWLEDGE INSPECTION AND REGULATION AN EARTHQUAKE RESILIENT CITY SEISMIC ZONATION: A POLICY TOOL

SEISMIC ZONATION: INCREASES PROTECTION OF PEOPLE, BUILDINGS, AND INFRASTRUCTURE WHEN IMPLEMENTED BEFORE AN EARTHQUAKE STRIKES

POLITICAL SOLUTIONS: RISK MANAGEMENT POLICIES PROTECTION PREPAREDNESS PREDICTION AND WARNING RELOCATION EMERGENCY RESPONSE RECOVERY POLITICAL SOLUTIONS: RISK MANAGEMENT POLICIES PROTECTION PREPAREDNESS PREDICTION AND WARNING RELOCATION EMERGENCY RESPONSE RECOVERY TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS SEISMIC ZONATION CAN GUIDE ADOPTION AND IMPLEMENTATION OF BEST PRACTICES EARTHQUAKE DISASTER STUDIES RESEARCH

YOUR CITY DATA BASES AND INFORMATION HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS HAZARD MAPS INVENTORY VULNERABILITY LOCATION RISK ASSESSMENT RISK ACCEPTABLE RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK SESMIC ZONATION MITIGATION PREPAREDNESS EMERGENCY RESPONSE RECOVERY and RECONSTRUCTION POLICIES/BEST PRACTICES FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

SEISMIC ZONATION: ENSURES EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE WHEN IMPLEMENTED DURING POST-EARTHQUAKE RECONSTRUCTION

EXAMPLES OF PAST EARTHQUAKE DISASTERS APRIORI IMPLEMENTATION OF SEISMIC ZONATION AS A KNOWLEDGE MANAGE- MENT TOOL WOULD HAVE SAVED OVER 1 MILLION LIVES AND BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

HAITI- 2010: $ BILLIONS IN LOSSES AND DEATH TOLL OVER 200 THOUSAND

SICHUAN, CHINA: 2008 LOSS OF HOPE COULD EASILY HAPPEN DURING THE HUGE RECONSTRUCTION PROJECT NOW FACING CHINA.

ICA, PERU; 2007

SOLOMON ISLANDS: 2007

ISLAMABAD, PAKISTAN; 2005

BAM, IRAN; 2003

KOACELI, TURKEY; 1999

KOBE, JAPAN; 1995

ERZICAN, TURKEY; 1992

SPITAK, ARMENIA; 1988

MEXICO, 1985

TANGSHAN, CHINA; 1976

NIIGATA, JAPAN; 1964

KANTO-TOKYO, 1923

SAN FRANCISCO, 1906

CREATING GLOBAL TURNING POINTS FOR EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE AND OTHER COUNTRIES  INTEGRATION OF SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS INTO BEST PRACTICES ATIOIN AND MONITORING  CREATING EQUITY EARTHQUAKE SUSTAINABILITY ON A GLOBAL SCALE

PRINCIPLES THAT WILL MAKE SEISMIC ZONATION AN EFFECTIVE GLOBAL KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT TOOL IN THEFUTURE PRINCIPLES THAT WILL MAKE SEISMIC ZONATION AN EFFECTIVE GLOBAL KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT TOOL IN THEFUTURE

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT  PRINCIPLES TURNING POINT GOVERNMENTS PROVIDING THE BEST POSSIBLE DISASTER RESILIENCE FOR THEIR PEOPLE AT RISK

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES TURNING POINT KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT IS AN INTER- ACTIVE PROCESS AMONG THE INSTITUTIONS INVOLVED IN IT

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES EACH COMMUNITY REDUCING ITS IGNORANCE, APATHY, DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES, AND LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES EACH COMMUNITY FORMULATING STRATEGIES TO INCREASE PUBLIC AWARENESS

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES TURNING POINTS MANDATED DESIGNS TO PROTECT PEOPLE, INFRASTRUCTURE, AND LIVELI- HOODS.

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES TURNING POINTS EMPOWERED AND ENABLED PROFESSIONALS AND POLICY MAKERS AT COMMUNITY AND NATIONAL LEVELS

BARRIERS TO SUCCESS INEVITABLE OBSTACLES COMMUNITIES UNABLE TO OVERCOME IGNORANCE, APATHY, ORGANIZATIONAL BOUNDARIES, AND LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

GOAL: CREATING CHANGE FOR A CULTURE OF EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE EDUCATION FROM IGNORANCE TO ENLIGHTENMENT FROM APATHY TO EMPOWERMENT FROM BOUNDARIES TO SEAMLESS FROM LACK OF POLITICAL WILL TO ENABLEMENT CRITICAL CHANGES

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES TURNING POINTS IGNORANCE IS TRANSFORMED INTO ENLIGHTEN- MENT

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES TURNING POINTS APATHY IS TRANSFORMED INTO EMPOWERMENT

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES TURNING POINTS DISCIPLINARY AND POLITICAL BOUNDARIES ARE TRANSFORMED INTO SEAMLESS, ENFICHED UNIVERSES

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES TURNING POINTS LACK OF POLITICAL WILL IS TRANSFORMED INTO POLITICAL ENABLEMENT THAT PRODUCES SUCCESS STORIES

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES TURNING POINTS COOPERATION, COMMUNICATION, COORDINATION, AND COLLAB- ORATION IS THE NORM IN ALL COMMUNITIES

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES TURNING POINTS COMMUNITIES OF DEVELOPED NATIONS ASSISTING COMMUNITIES IN LESS DEVELOPED NATIONS

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES TURNING POINTS A CONTINUING DIALOGUE ON THE PROBLEMS AND THE SOLUTIONS OF DISASTER RESILIENCE