World trade facts see for updates & details

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Presentation transcript:

World trade facts see www.wto.org for updates & details by Richard Baldwin, Graduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva

Who are the big traders? The 16 nations with more than 1% of world exports together acc’t for 2/3rd of world trade The top 8 acc’t for ½ of world trade World trade in 2004 was $7.3 trillion. $ bill. (2003) % of World Trade Germany 748 10% United States 724 Japan 472 6% China 438 France 387 5% United Kingdom 305 4% Netherlands 294 Italy 292 Canada 273 Belgium 255 3% Korea, Republic of 194 Mexico 165 2% Spain 152 Taipei, Chinese 150 Singapore 144 Russian Federation 134

Who are the big traders?

The Quad 2003   Exports Share European Union (15) 2,901 39% Intra-EU (15) exports 1,350 18% Extra-EU (15) exports 1,105 15% United States 724 10% Canada 273 4% Japan 472 6% THE QUAD 4,369 58% World 7,503 100% China 438 Traditionally the “Quad” (= EU, US, Japan and Canada) dominated the GATT proceedings, especially the trade Rounds. They account for much of world trade, but recently China has become very important.

World trade network by regions WTO definitions of regions:

Trade by regions 2% 3% 4% 5% 20% 23% 42%

World trade network by regions Europe-Europe Asia-Asia N.Amer.-N.Amer.

World trade by commodity: Highly aggregated

World trade by commodity More disaggregated Ag Mining

Who trades what with whom?

Who trades what with whom?

Who trades what with whom? Focus on manufactures trade Europe & North America

Who trades what with whom?

Who trades what with whom?

Who trades what with whom?

Who trades what with whom?

Stylized facts of world trade EU, US, Canada & Japan (“the Quad”) dominate the world trade flows. Manufactured goods dominate world trade flows. More so for rich nations, less so for poor nations Exceptions like OPEC nations The Quad import and export similar products from each other, “intra-industry trade” This form of trade accounts for about 2/3rds of world trade. North-South trade marked by mis-matched imports & exports, i.e. “inter-industry trade” South-South trade is very small.

Stylized facts of world trade North-South trade seems to be “Heckscher-Ohlin trade”, i.e. trade is dissimilar goods between dissimilar nations. North-North trade seems to be “intra-industry trade”, i.e. two-way trade in similar goods among similar nations.