DVRPC TMIP Peer Review Introduction and Context Oct. 29 th, 2014

Planning Context for Modeling & Analysis Introduction to DVRPC and the Office of Modeling and Analysis Main planning partners with example studies Model Improvement Plan Early feedback and prospective future regional analysis needs

Introduction to the Region

Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission  Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO)  2 States  9 Counties  351 Municipalities  5.6 Million Population  3,800 sq. miles  ~115 employees Activities –  Long Range Plan (LRP)  Transportation Improvement Program (TIP)  Wide range of planning and technical support for regional partners

DVRPC Region - Transportation System & Land Use Multimodal – 125+ bus lines, 4 Heavy rail, 9 LRT/Streetcar, 14 Regional Rail, Amtrak 18 Bridges (mostly toll) connecting NJ & PA 2 Major toll highways, numerous non-tolled (but no HOV) Center City Philadelphia is still the region’s core and largest activity center Several other urban activity centers – Trenton, Camden, etc. Significant suburban activity centers – King of Prussia, Rt. 1 Corridor in Mercer Open rural fringes remain

DVRPC Region – Transportation System Some days we have 2 million pedestrian trips on Broad Street… …but hard to forecast when.

TRIP MATRIX BY COUNTY (%) 7

Residential Single-Family Detached Residential Multi-Family Residential Row Home Residential Mobile Home Manufacturing Light Industrial Manufacturing Heavy Industrial Transportation & Parking Utility Commercial Community Services Military Recreation Agriculture Mining Wooded Vacant Water

Introduction to The Office of Modeling and Analysis

DVRPC – Office of Modeling and Analysis 8 Full time permanent staff + interns 9 VISUM licenses, 2 VISSIM licenses Responsible for majority of model development and applications in the region

DVRPC – Office of Modeling and Analysis  Workstation Type A – 2 ea.  Dual Xeon 8-Core processors (E5-2687W v2)  192 GB RAM  Workstation Type B – 2 ea.  Single Xeon 6-Core processor (E v1)  64 GB RAM  Server  Quad Xeon 4-Core processor (E7440)  64 GB RAM

DVRPC – Office of Modeling and Analysis  Total Storage Space: 43.8 TB  29.7 TB Used  14.1 TB Free  “Backed up” Space: 29.3 TB  20.9 TB Used  8.4 TB Free  70.37% of data is backed up

DVRPC – Office of Modeling and Analysis Data: Surveys (25%) Forecasting: Conformity analysis & Long range planning (15%) Highway alternatives analysis (Ex: US 202 Sec 600) (20%) Transit studies / FTA New Starts (Ex: KoP Rail) (25%) Economic analysis (PATCO Econ Study) (10%) Bike and walk travel estimation (Bike share demand) Microsimulation (5%) Evacuation modeling (10%)

Alphabet soup of partners: Main partners for modeling (clients): PennDOT SEPTA (PA side transit agency) DRPA (bridge authority and transit agency) MOTU & PCPC (City of Phila. Agencies) MCPC (Montgomery County)

8 Year Improvement Plan Modeled after last plan Input from: Planning partners Staff TMIP peer review

Planning Context – Top 3 1. What we do well now – keep doing (well) 2. Operational level tools – transit and auto 3. Good data, new data

Planning Context – External Feedback + Continued support for current tasks + DTA for signal timing and other operational analysis + Excitement for transit operations model (25 uses/year) + Support for data collection (counts, NPT data, etc.) - Limited need for predictive LU model

Planning Context – Internal Feedback + Model results and survey results viewers (democratization of model and data) + Sketch and operational transit, bike, ped tools + Strong interest in integrated LU-Transp. Models + More metrics than just TT, congestion (health impacts, safety impacts, etc.) + Pavement condition and connected vehicles + Better truck modeling, including economic measures

Planning Context – Internal Feedback + Easy mesh with microsimulation + Easier use of TIM + Traffic impact analysis + Signal optimization capabilities + Need to be able to model CMP strategies (whether TDM, or other tool)

Planning Context – Us Modelers + Continue to do great “traditional” studies (new highway and transit major capacity studies) + Bring the ABM on-line on-time and within budget, and in a way where staff is completely comfortable with the model + Enhance the efficiency and ease of modeling, esp. in sharing results with non-modelers + Match analysis with planning needs – i.e. more operational level tools + Ability to model tolling important (but, not most important) ~ some type of LU model for LRP

Travel Models - Overview TIM1.0 First VISUM model, completed in 2009 TIM 2.0 “Best-in-class” 4-step model Networks carry forward TIM 2.1 & TIM 2.2 Minor bug fixes and improvements Tim 3.0 Fully disaggregate microsimulated activity based