Latino Profile of Los Angeles City and County, California, and the United States Prepared for the Angelinos for a Better Future Initiative of Southwest Voter Registration Education Project by the William C. Velasquez Institute Presentation Antonio Gonzalez President William C. Velasquez Institute and Southwest Voter Registration Education Project 2914 N. Main St Los Angeles, CA Phone: (WCVI) Phone: (SVREP)
Los Angeles City and County Detailed Information
Los Angeles County – Population by Majority Race/Ethnicity
Los Angeles County – Latino Registration Percentage
Los Angeles City – Population by Majority Race/Ethnicity
Los Angeles City – Latino Registration Percentage
Registration by Los Angeles County, City, and City Council District Los Angeles Region Total Reg Latino RegLatino Reg % County 3,948,813 1,026, % City 1,436, , % CD 1 51,796 28, % CD 2 113,987 17, % CD 3 115,949 15, % CD 4 112,410 13, % CD 5 152,275 7, % CD 6 64,329 29, % CD 7 65,397 35, % CD 8 101,935 18, % CD 9 63,868 24, % CD 10 85,530 17, % CD ,155 13, % CD ,547 17, % CD 13 70,226 24, % CD 14 80,990 44, % CD 15 90,957 30, % Data Source: William C. Velasquez Institute; Registration Current as of January 2008
Selected 2001 and 2005 Election Results for Los Angeles City by City Council District Data Source: Los Angeles City Clerk. Note: 2001 and 2005 City Council Districts Different. Major Differences between CD 6 (new Latino Seat), 2, 5, and 11. All others similar. Los Angeles Region 2005 Mayor - Villaraigosa Villaraigosa % 2005 Mayor - Hahn 2001 Mayor - Villaraigosa 2001 Villaraigosa % 2001 Mayor - Hahn 2001 City Atty - Delgadillo 2001 Delgadillo % 2001 City Atty - Feuer City289, %203,968264, %304,791284, %258,428 CD 1 15, % 5,13716, % 5,90514, % 6,490 CD 2 19, % 16,62717, % 20,70520, % 16,390 CD 3 20, % 18,44916, % 27,71720, % 22,401 CD 4 19, % 14,28620, % 19,06216, % 21,529 CD 5 25, % 21,77724, % 29,76916, % 36,201 CD 6 15, % 7,31623, % 27,32322, % 25,811 CD 7 16, % 7,02917, % 8,79917, % 7,127 CD 8 20, % 13,3169, % 28,89623, % 12,615 CD 9 12, % 6,08310, % 11,86414, % 6,087 CD 10 18, % 12,11412, % 20,56319, % 11,902 CD 11 30, % 23,12923, % 30,15219, % 31,262 CD 12 20, % 21,92116, % 34,53124, % 24,836 CD 13 16, % 8,18818, % 11,11115, % 13,211 CD 14 25, % 8,99123, % 9,40521, % 9,565 CD 15 11, % 19,60514, % 18,98919, % 13,001
Upcoming Election Information
Super Tuesday Latino Vote in Democratic Presidential Primary Latino Vote by Selected State and Candidate Percentage State Total State Respondents Latino % of Total State Respondents Estimated Latino Respondents** Latino Respondent Margin of Error %*** Clinton %Obama % Arizona121818% %55%41% California187929% %69%29% Connecticut11786% %43%53% Illinois118117% %49%50% Massachusetts13655% %56%36% Nevada*109815% %64%26% New Jersey129810% %73%26% New Mexico118134% %56%36% New York139312% %68%30% *Note: Nevada Results of an Entrance Poll **Latino N Estimate Based on Percentage of Total Respondents ***Margin of Error Based on Estimated Latino Respondent Size Original Data Source: CNN Exit Poll. Percentages may not add up to 100% when all categories or candidates are not shown. Numbers based on preliminary exit poll results. How the poll was conducted: The National Election Pool Exit Poll was conducted by Edison/Mitofsky. Members of the pool are ABC, AP, CBS, CNN, Fox and NBC. The polling places are a stratified probability sample of the state. In addition, absentee and/or early voters were interviewed in a pre-election telephone poll; results from the phone poll were combined with results from the exit poll. The combination reflects approximately the correct proportion of absentee voters and election day voters.
Latino Vote in Democratic Presidential Primary
California Total and Latino Votes Cast in 2000, 2004, and 2008 Presidential Primaries March 2000 Primary March 2004 Primary February 2008 Primary* Total Change from Percentage Change from Total Votes Cast for Democratic Presidential Candidates 3,272,0293,107,629 4,259,0311,151,402+37% Latino Votes Cast for Democratic Presidential Candidates 556,245 (17% of Total Dem) 498,474 (16% of Total Dem) 1,235,119 (29% of Total Dem) 736, % Total Votes Cast for Republican Presidential Candidates 4,153,7022,216,3512,443,153226,802+10% Latino Votes Cast for Republican Presidential Candidates 332,296 (8 % of Total Rep) 127,662 (5.8% of Total Rep) 317,610 (13% of Total Rep) 189, % Data Sources: Total Votes Cast for Democrats and Republicans taken from California Secretary of State website. Latino Votes cast for President calculated by applying various exit poll figures from CNN (2008), NY Times (2000, 2004), and WCVI (2004) to the Secretary of State totals. *2008 Total Votes Cast current as of Monday, February 11, Latino Vote calculated from Media Exit Poll percentages applied to California Secretary of State Totals.
California Latino Voter Polling Trends for Democratic Presidential Primary California Latino Voter Polling Trends for Democratic Presidential Primary, in Chronological Order Poll (Date- Author)Clinton %Obama % 4/13/ Field Poll59%18% 8/17/ Field Poll63%14% 10/26/07 - Field Poll52%16% 1/13/ Los Angeles Times/CNN/Politico61%19% 1/22/ Field Poll59%19% 1/26/ Los Angeles Times/CNN/Politico59%19% 2/5/08-Exit Poll69%29%
2008 U.S. Presidential Election Battleground States
2008 U.S. Senate Races - Close Congressional Quarterly Ratings
2004 Registration, Turnout, and Latino Potential by Close Senate Race State 2004 Total Reg 2004 Total Turnout 2004 Total Turnout % 2004 Latino Reg 2004 Latino Turnout 2004 Latino Share of Reg % 2004 Latino Turnout % 2004 Latino Share of Total Turnout Potential Unregistered Latino Voters in 2004 Potential Unregistered Latino Voters in 2004 % Colorado 2,307,000 2,097, % 204, ,0008.8%80.9%7.9% 157, % Louisiana 2,413,000 2,067, % 19,000 16,0000.8%84.2%0.8% 11, % Maine 824, , % 7, %100.0%1.0% 2, % Minnesota 3,080,000 2,887, % 53,000 49,0001.7%92.5%1.7% 20, % New Hampshire 716, , % 5, %100.0%0.7% 4, % North Carolina 4,292,000 3,639, % 44,000 27,0001.0%61.4%0.7% 65, % South Dakota 425, , % 4, %100.0%1.1% 2, % Texas 9,681,000 7,950, % 2,170,000 1,533, %70.6%19.3% 1,518, % TOTAL23,738,00020,431, %2,506,0001,806, %72.07%8.40%1,779, %
2006 U.S. House Election Results Party by Margin of Victory - All
2006 U.S. House Election Results Party by Margin of Victory – Close Elections
Close Margins of Victory in 2006 Less Than 5% Democrats 1.Connecticut 2 - Joe Courtney - 0.0% 2.Georgia 12 - John Barrow - 0.6% 3.Pennsylvania 8 - Patrick J. Murphy - 0.6% 4.Georgia 8 - Jim Marshall - 1.0% 5.Florida 16 - Tim Mahoney - 1.8% 6.Wisconsin 8 - Steve Kagen - 2.1% 7.Kentucky 3 - John Yarmuth - 2.4% 8.New York 19 - John Hall - 2.4% 9.New Hampshire 1 - Carol Shea-Porter - 2.7% 10.Iowa 2 - Dave Loebsack - 2.8% 11.Kansas 2 - Nancy Boyda - 3.5% 12.Florida 22 - Ron Klein - 3.8% 13.Pennsylvania 4 - Jason Altmire - 3.8% 14.Arizona 5 - Harry E. Mitchell - 4.0% 15.Indiana 9 - Baron P. Hill - 4.5% Republicans 1.Florida 13 - Vern Buchanan - 0.2% 2.North Carolina 8 - Robin Hayes - 0.2% 3.New Mexico 1 - Heather A. Wilson - 0.4% 4.Ohio 15 - Deborah Pryce - 0.5% 5.Wyoming AL - Barbara Cubin - 0.5% 6.Ohio 2 - Jean Schmidt - 1.1% 7.New Jersey 7 - Mike Ferguson - 1.4% 8.Pennsylvania 6 - Jim Gerlach - 1.4% 9.New York 25 - James T. Walsh - 1.6% 10.Nevada 3 - Jon Porter - 1.9% 11.Colorado 4 - Marilyn Musgrave - 2.5% 12.Illinois 6 - Peter Roskam - 2.8% 13.Virginia 2 - Thelma Drake - 2.8% 14.New York 29 - John R. "Randy" Kuhl Jr % 15.Washington 8 - Dave Reichert - 3.0% 16.California 4 - John T. Doolittle - 3.1% 17.Connecticut 4 - Christopher Shays - 3.4% 18.Michigan 7 - Tim Walberg - 3.9% 19.New York 26 - Thomas M. Reynolds - 4.0% 20.Ohio 1 - Steve Chabot - 4.4%
2010 Gubernatorial Elections
2010 U.S. Senate Elections
California Demographic Trends
Source: State of California, Department of Finance, Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity, Gender and Age for California and Its Counties , Sacramento, California, May Note: The Department of Finance uses a baseline cohort-component method to project population by gender, race/ethnicity and age. For the purposes of this projection, the seven-race/ethnic categories are mutually exclusive. Minority refers to Latino, Asian/Pacific Islander, Black, and American Indian populations. California Population Comparison by Ethnic Group, Data compiled by the William C. Velasquez Institute
Source: State of California, Department of Finance, Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity, Gender and Age for California and Its Counties , Sacramento, California, May Note: The Department of Finance uses a baseline cohort-component method to project population by gender, race/ethnicity and age. For the purposes of this projection, the seven-race/ethnic categories are mutually exclusive. Minority refers to Latino, Asian/Pacific Islander, Black, and American Indian populations. Due to aggregation of Hispanic figures, percentages do not equal 100%. California Population Shares by Ethnic Group, Data compiled by the William C. Velasquez Institute
Growth of Total California Population by Ethnic Group, ( ) Source: State of California, Department of Finance, Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity, Gender and Age for California and Its Counties , Sacramento, California, May Note: The Department of Finance uses a baseline cohort-component method to project population by gender, race/ethnicity and age. For the purposes of this projection, the seven-race/ethnic categories are mutually exclusive. Minority refers to Latino, Asian/Pacific Islander, Black, and American Indian populations. Data compiled by the William C. Velasquez Institute
Composition of Total population of California by Race/Ethnicity, , May 2004 Source: State of California, Department of Finance, Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity, Gender and Age for California and Its Counties , Sacramento, California, May Note: The Department of Finance uses a baseline cohort-component method to project population by gender, race/ethnicity and age. For the purposes of this projection, the seven-race/ethnic categories are mutually exclusive. Minority refers to Latino, Asian/Pacific Islander, Black, and American Indian populations. Data compiled by the William C. Velasquez Institute
California Total and Latino Registration Comparison by Assembly District
Select National Latino Demographic and Election Information
Geographic AreaNL White NL White % Hispanic or Latino Origin Latino % Combined Minority Combined Minority % TOTAL United States202,266, %45,018, %102,213, %304,479,123.California16,327, %13,261, %21,086, %37,414,014.Texas11,548, %8,438, %12,247, %23,795,327.Florida11,250, %3,689, %7,081, %18,332,184.New York11,834, %3,214, %7,776, %19,611,203.Illinois8,484, %1,904, %4,497, %12,982,691.Arizona3,751, %1,825, %2,521, %6,273,384.New Jersey5,528, %1,388, %3,315, %8,844,040.Colorado3,475, %950, %1,371, %4,846,618.New Mexico857, %870, %1,131, %1,988,158.Georgia5,598, %713, %3,878, %9,477,273 Table 5: Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST ) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May 17, (1) 'In combination' means in combination with one or more other races. The sum of the five race groups adds to more than the total population because individuals may report more than one race. Top 10 Most Latino States in 2006 by Latino Population Total
Geographic AreaNL White NL White % Hispanic or Latino Origin Latino % Combined Minority Combined Minority % TOTAL United States202,266, %45,018, %102,213, %304,479,123.New Mexico857, %870, %1,131, %1,988,158.Texas11,548, %8,438, %12,247, %23,795,327.California16,327, %13,261, %21,086, %37,414,014.Arizona3,751, %1,825, %2,521, %6,273,384.Nevada1,516, %620, %1,048, %2,564,858.Florida11,250, %3,689, %7,081, %18,332,184.Colorado3,475, %950, %1,371, %4,846,618.New York11,834, %3,214, %7,776, %19,611,203.New Jersey5,528, %1,388, %3,315, %8,844,040.Illinois8,484, %1,904, %4,497, %12,982,691 Table 5: Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST ) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May 17, (1) 'In combination' means in combination with one or more other races. The sum of the five race groups adds to more than the total population because individuals may report more than one race. Top 10 Most Latino States in 2006 by Latino Population Percent
2006 United States Latino Population by State Data Source: Table 5 - Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST ) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May 17, 2007.
2006 United States Latino Population Percent by State Data Source: Table 5 - Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST ) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May 17, 2007.
2004 United States Latino Unregistered Citizen Voting Age Population by State Data Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.US Census Bureau
2004 United States Latino Registration Percent by State Data Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.US Census Bureau
Latino Voter Registration, National Elections, Projection Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.US Census Bureau
Latino Votes Cast, National Elections, Projection Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.US Census Bureau
Latino Elected Officials by State: Largest Latino States – Gains Since 1996 State Change Texas1,6872, % California6931, % New Mexico % Arizona % Colorado % Florida % New Jersey % Illinois % New York % Other States % TOTAL3,7865,129+37% Data Source: 2007 National Directory of Latino Elected Officials, NALEO Educational Fund
Latino Elected Officials by Level of Office in 2007 Federal: 26 Statewide Officials: 6 State Legislators: 238 County Officials: 512 Municipal Officials: 1,640 Judicial/Law Enforcement Officials: 685 School Board/Education Officials: 1,847 Special District Officials: 175
Latino Elected Officials by State: Largest Latino States Data Source: 2007 National Directory of Latino Elected Officials, NALEO Educational Fund
Latino Elected Officials by State: New Latino Gains Since 1996 Data Source: 2007 National Directory of Latino Elected Officials, NALEO Educational Fund