Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Trends in Number of High School Graduates: National

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "Trends in Number of High School Graduates: National"— Presentation transcript:

1 Trends in Number of High School Graduates: National

2 Number of High School Graduates, 1994-2022: United States
By the year the number of high school graduates in the United States is projected at 41% above ’s total. The majority of the increase will occur by 2008; however, following a slight dip through 2015, new growth will become evident through the end of the projection. White graduates are the only group not to show an increase between 1994 and Representing 65% of all graduates (72% of public graduates) in 1994, they will constitute 46% (50% public) 28 years later. In contrast, there will be 3 times the number of Hispanic and nearly 1.5 times the number of Asian graduates within the same timeframe. After 2006 Hispanics form the largest non-White population of graduates, representing 27% of public graduates, or 25% of the total. Delaware is expected to experience the largest growth in Native American graduates (948.5%, to 73) of all the states. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

3 Trends in Number of High School Graduates: Middle States

4 Number of High School Graduates, 1993-2022: Middle States
The total number of high school graduates in the Middle States region is projected to have peaked in , at 533,548. In 2022 the number of graduates is projected to be 17.5% higher than in 1993, but 8% lower than in 2008. Over the 29-year period shown in the graph, the number of Hispanic graduates is expected to increase by 267%, and the number of Asians by 194%. By 2022 the number of Black graduates will be 31% greater than in 1993, but is projected to have declined 20% after its high in 2010. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

5 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Delaware
The population of high school graduates in Delaware is projected to grow by 63% between 1992 and 2022, the highest growth of any state in this region. The number of White graduates in Delaware changes very little over the 25-year period shown in the graph. Tremendous growth occurs among Hispanics (1611%), Native Americans (949%, to 98, the highest increase in this group in the country), and Asian graduates (474%), though these three groups together will still comprise only 24% of Delaware’s graduates in 2022. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

6 Number of High School Graduates, 1993-2022: District of Columbia
The composition of the high school graduates in the District of Columbia is unlike that of any other state, consisting as it does of a very small population of White graduates (2% in 1993 and 3% in 2022), and a relatively large percentage of graduates from non-public schools (25% in 1993 and 17% in 2022). The total number of high school graduates in the District of Columbia is expected to peak in 2011 at 5,222. The 4,204 graduates projected for 2022 will be 10% fewer than in 1993. Over the 29-year projection period the number of Black graduates will decrease by 15%, and the number of non-public graduates by 19%. Hispanic and Asian numbers will increase – by 79% and 28%, respectively. The number of White graduates will double, from 75 to 150. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

7 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Maryland
Over the 30-year period of high school graduate projections in Maryland the total number of graduates is projected to grow by 54%. Maryland is expected to have 69,238 graduates by 2022. The number of White graduates in Maryland will decline by 17% by 2022, but the other groups in the graph will experience significant growth, especially Hispanic graduates (1363%) and Asians (250%). Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

8 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: New Jersey
Between and the total number of high school graduates in New Jersey is projected to increase 35%, from 82,757 to 111,908. Other than graduates of non-public schools (whose number drops by 25% over the 30-year period in the graph), all groups of graduates shown will have more members in 2022 than in Native American graduates will increase the most – 382%, to 255 – followed by Hispanics (322%), Asians (230%), and Blacks (34%). Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

9 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: New York
The number of high school graduates in New York is expected to have peaked in 2008 at 190,317, before declining. By 2022 there will be only 1% more graduates than there were in 1992, down 17% compared to 2008. Native American graduates will show the greatest growth over the 30-year period of the graph – 137% – followed by Asians (125%) and Hispanics (95%). The numbers of White and Black graduates will decline, by 19% and 6%, respectively. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

10 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Pennsylvania
In the year 2008 there are expected to be 149,402 high school graduates in Pennsylvania, 23% more than in Between 2008 and 2022, however, there will be a steady decline, leaving the overall change at 13%. There will be more than 10 times as many Hispanic graduates in 2022 as in 1992, and 260% more Asians. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

11 Trends in Number of High School Graduates: Midwest

12 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Midwest
The number of high school graduates in the Midwest region is projected to grow slightly between and The 750,730 graduates in 2022 will be 14.5% higher than in 1992. Most of the growth in the region will occur among Hispanic and Asian graduates. Hispanic graduates will increase by 479% by 2022, and Asians by 230%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

13 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Illinois
The number of high school graduates in Illinois is projected to have peaked in at 144,566. The 129,129 graduates in represent a 10% increase over 1992, but an 11% decline from the 2008 high. Hispanic, Native American and Asian graduates will experience the largest growth over the 30-year period shown in the graph. These groups are projected to increase by 282%, 178% (to 523), and 156%, respectively. Illinois is the only Midwestern state projected to experience a decline in the number of Black high school graduates through 2022. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

14 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Indiana
The number of high school graduates in Indiana changed very little between 1991 and 2005, after which it will experience a fair amount of growth. The 75,837 graduates projected for 2022 represent a 27% increase over 1992. Hispanics and Asians show dramatic growth over this 30-year period. The number of Hispanic graduates increases more than ten-fold, while Asian graduates increase by 317%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

15 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Iowa
Between and Iowa experienced a 10% growth in the number of high school graduates. Little change is projected through , but the number will increase gradually through The 39,554 graduates in 2022 will represent a 27% increase over 1992, and 10% over 2013. The number of Hispanic graduates will increase 1159% over the 30-year period shown; Black graduates will increase by 421% , and Asian graduates by 156%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

16 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Kansas
The number of high school graduates in Kansas peaked in It is projected to decline through 2015 to a point only 4% higher than in 1992, but will then recover and level off through The number of graduates in that year will be 10% higher than in 1992. White graduates are the only group that is projected to show an overall decline over the 30-year period. The number of Hispanic graduates in Kansas is projected to be 417% larger in 2022 than in 1992; Native Americans will increase by 228% (to 542). Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

17 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Michigan
The number of high school graduates in Michigan is estimated to have peaked in , at 118,208, 23% more than in , and 17% more than in While the numbers of both White and Black graduates are projected to decline after 2008, the numbers of Asian and Hispanic graduates will continue to increase. Compared to 1992, 2022 will see 405% more Asian and 245% more Hispanic graduates. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

18 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Minnesota
As with several other states in the Midwest region, the number of high school graduates in Minnesota is projected to increase through the early years of the 21st century, decline until the mid-teens, then rise again, thanks primarily to growth among non-White graduates. Minnesota shows 49,366 graduates in , 65,246 in (an increase of 31%), 58,154 in (a decline of 10%), and 65,246 in (an increase of 12% over 2014 and 32% over 1992). Minnesota is expected to experience larger growth in the number of Black high school graduates (1138%) than any other Midwestern state. By 2022 there will also be 640% more Hispanic graduates and 231% more Asians. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

19 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Missouri
The number of high school graduates in Missouri is projected to grow 40% between 1992 and 2022, more than in any other state in the Midwest, although most of the change will have occurred by 2010. Hispanic, Asian, and Native American graduates increase steadily over the graph’s 30-year period, by 1536%, 412%, and 412% (to 481), respectively. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

20 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Nebraska
Between 1992 and 1999 the total number of high school graduates in Nebraska increase by 21%, and has changed very little through By 2013 the number is expected to decline by 9%, but will gain an additional 15% through 2022. The overall 30-year increase of 26%, however, includes a steady decline in the number of White graduates (20% fewer in 2022 than in 1999), balanced by a steady increase (602%) in Hispanics. The numbers of Black and Asian graduates increase by 294% and 188%, respectively. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

21 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: North Dakota
North Dakota is one of two states in the Midwest region expected to have fewer high school graduates in 2022 than in the first year measured ( ). The number of graduates grew 22% between 1992 and 2000, but by 2022 that total will have fallen 19% since 1992, or 29% since the 2000 high. By 2022 the Black high school graduate population will have increased 343%, Hispanics by 165%, and Asians by 50%, but all of these groups will still have fewer than 250 members. North Dakota is projected to experience the largest 30-year decrease in White graduates (27%) of all the Midwestern states. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

22 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Ohio
The total number of high school graduates in Ohio changes very little between and , ranging from 115,906 in to a projected 117,361 in , an increase of only 1%. A gradual trend downward is projected, however, beginning in 2010. All four groups of non-White graduates in Ohio are projected to show some growth over the 25-year period of the graph. The largest increases are expected among Hispanic (503%) and Asian (243%) students. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

23 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: South Dakota
After peaking in at 9,754, South Dakota’s high school graduate population experienced a downward trend projected to last till 2016, after which it will begin to rise again. The 9,128 graduates in 2022 will be 16% more than in 1992, though 6% less than in 2000. By 2022 non-White public graduates will form 12% of South Dakota’s total. In that year the number of Hispanic graduates will surpass the number of Native American graduates, having increased 1056% since 1992. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

24 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: West Virginia
West Virginia is one of only two Midwest states projected to experience an overall decrease in the number of high school graduates between and The sharpest decline (14%) occurred between 1999 and The following 20 years will see a very gradual decline of 3%, resulting in an overall loss of 16%. Non-White students represented only 7% of West Virginia’s high school graduates in By the end of the 30-year period in the graph, they will comprise 11% of public graduates, 10% of the total. Hispanic graduates will experience the greatest increase (1865%), but they will still number only 707 in 2022. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

25 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Wisconsin
The number of high school graduates in Wisconsin is estimated to have reached its highest point at 70,240 in , having increased 32% since The number is projected to decline gradually through , and then begin to grow again. The 68,921 projected graduates in 2022 represents an increase of 30% over 1992. While all five subgroups of public high school graduates will be larger in 2022 than in 1992, Hispanics and Asians will show the most growth, 851% and 246%, respectively. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

26 Trends in Number of High School Graduates: New England

27 Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: New England
The number of high school graduates in New England will have reached its peak in , at 171,072. The 2022 total of 146,854 represents a loss of 14% compared to 2008, but will still be 8% higher than in 1992. Hispanics will be the fastest-growing group of high school graduates over the 30-year period of the graph, increasing in number by 294% compared to The number of Asian graduates will increase by 181%. Hispanics constituted the largest non-White group of public graduates by the year Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

28 Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Connecticut
The number of high school graduates in Connecticut will have peaked in at 43,468, and drop off gradually thereafter. The 2022 total of 39,065 will be 20% higher than in 1992, but 10% lower than in 2008. Between 1992 and 2022 the fastest-growing group of non-White graduates in Connecticut will be Native Americans, whose number will increase 744% (to 431) over the 30-year period of the graph. Asians will increase by 305%, and Hispanics by 256%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

29 Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Maine
According to projections, the number of high school graduates in Maine will have reached its peak in , at 17,339. The 2022 total of 16,661 will be 10% higher than in 1992, but 4% lower than in 2008. All non-White subgroups in Maine will increase in number over the 30-year period of the graph. Black graduates will experience the highest growth (1047%), followed by Hispanics (533%) and Asians (173%). These three groups, however, will comprise only 11% of Maine’s total high school graduate population in 2022. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

30 Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Massachusetts
Massachusetts is the only New England state projected to experience an overall decline in the number of high school graduates. The 2022 total of 59,411 represents a loss of 4% compared to 1992, and 18% compared to the high point in The number of Hispanic and Asian graduates will increase 270% and 101%, respectively, over the 30-year period. Hispanics have constituted the largest non-White group of public graduates since 2006. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

31 Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: New Hampshire
New Hampshire’s high school graduate population is projected to have risen 42% between 1992 and It will fall somewhat over the next 10 years, but will rise again through the end of the projection period. In New Hampshire is expected to have 15,554 graduates, 30% more than in 1992, the largest 30-year increase of any New England state. The fastest-growing subgroup of New Hampshire graduates will be Asians. Their number will increase 768% between 1992 and 2022, with Hispanics close behind at 761%. Hispanics also constitute the largest non-White group of public graduates, beginning in The number of Blacks will rise by 603%, but these three groups together will still only constitute 16% of New Hampshire’s high school graduates. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

32 Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Rhode Island
By Rhode Island is projected to have only 3% more high school graduates than in , though this small change includes a 38% increase through , followed by a 25% decrease. Whites are the only group of Rhode Island graduates that will experience an overall decline (35%) between 1992 and The number of Hispanics will increase the most (400%), followed by Native Americans (144%, to 63) and Blacks (80%). Compared to 1992 there will also be 45% more graduates from non-public schools. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

33 Number of Public High School Graduates, 1994-2012: Vermont
According to the projections, Vermont’s high school graduate population peaked earlier ( ) and will experience more fluctuation than other states in the region. In 2022 Vermont is projected to have 6,671 graduates – 20% more than in 1992, but 21% fewer than in 2002. In 1992 there were 21 Black high school graduates in Vermont. The projected Black total of 279 in 2022 represents a 1203% increase, the largest growth in this group in the US. Similarly, the number of Hispanics is expected to increase 1088%, from 27 to Vermont is also expected to experience the largest decline in its Native American graduates, from 27 to 10, a drop of 62%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

34 Trends in Number of High School Graduates: South

35 Number of Public High School Graduates, 1993-2022: South
The number of high school graduates in the South region is projected to increase steadily through The number of graduates projected for that year (815,047) would be 58.5% higher than in While all of the subgroups shown on the graph experience some growth over the 29-year period, the number of Hispanic graduates increases the most, to more than 12 times their 1993 population. The number of Asian graduates more than quadruples in size, although they still comprise only 5% of the total in the South. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

36 Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Alabama
The number of high school graduates in Alabama experienced uneven change through That is expected to be followed by a gradual increase over the next 20 years.. The projected 2022 total of 48,159 will be 24% higher than in Decreases among White (14%) and Black graduates (12%) over the 30-year period will be offset by a 6196% increase among Hispanics. The number of Asian graduates will also increase by 558%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

37 Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Florida
By , the number of high school graduates in Florida is projected to be more than double its total. Florida leads the South in projected growth over this period. While all subgroups of Florida graduates are projected to increase in number over the 30-year period of the graph, Hispanics, Asians and Native Americans will increase 521%, 338% and 262%, respectively. Florida is also expected to experience the largest increase (69%) in the South in the number of Black graduates. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

38 Number of High School Graduates, 1993-2022: Georgia
Like Florida, Georgia is expected to see steady growth between and in the number of high school graduates. The 111,097 graduates projected for will be 75% greater than the 62,392 in 1993. By far the largest component of Georgia’s growth will be Hispanic graduates, whose number will increase 45-fold, 109% in the last five years of the projection alone. Asians will increase by 733%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

39 Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Kentucky
The number of high school graduates in Kentucky is expected to change very gradually through , after which explosive growth among Hispanic graduates, in particular, will produce a steeper increase through The 49,968 total in that year will be 28% higher than in , and 18% higher than in 2014. In 1992 there were 93 Hispanic graduates in Kentucky; in 2022 there are projected to be 6,953 an increase of 7376%. There will also be a 400% increase among Asian graduates. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

40 Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Louisiana
Louisiana is the only state in the South region projected to suffer an overall decrease in the number of high school graduates between and The 31,190 graduates in 2022 will be 22% fewer than the 1992 total, and 34% fewer than the 2000 high point. What growth there is in Louisiana will occur primarily among Native Americans (379%, to 368) and Hispanics (141%). These two groups together will still constitute only 5% of Louisiana’s high school graduate population, however. The Black graduate population is expected to lose half its number between 1992 and 2022 (the largest decrease in this group in the US), and 61% of its 2002 size. Louisiana is also expected to be the only state in the US to have fewer (by 8%) Asian graduates in 2022 than in 1992. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

41 Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Mississippi
Mississippi will experience only single-digit growth (5%) between and The number of graduates will see its nadir in 2015 at 25,525, but increase 6% through 2022. The greater than 35-fold growth in the number of Hispanic graduates over the period will bring their total to 1807 by 2022; the number of Asians will increase 153%. Blacks will constitute 40% of the high school graduate population in 1992, and 41% 30 years later. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

42 Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: North Carolina
North Carolina is second only to Florida in the expected growth in the number of high school graduates between and , increasing 84% to 117,652. All of the subgroups shown in the graph will experience an increase over the 230year period of the projections. However, as with most of the states in the Southern region, the number of Hispanic graduates will grow the most: by 2022 there will be more than 76 times the number of Hispanics that there were in Asian graduates will increase by 446%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

43 Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: South Carolina
The number of high school graduates in South Carolina is projected to grow at a more uneven rate than that of North Carolina to the north or Georgia to the south, but like its neighbors will experience a sharper increase after about In % more students will graduate than in 1992. The numbers of Asian and Native American graduates in South Carolina will both more than triple over the 30 years shown in the graph, but the Hispanics will increase 6334%, from 143 at the beginning of the period to 9,204 at the end. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

44 Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Tennessee
The number of high school graduates in Tennessee is projected to experience a moderate 32% increase between and , ending at 65,842. As with other states in the region, most of the increase will occur after By 2022 the number of Hispanic graduates in Tennessee eis xpected to be almost 100 times greater than in 1992, the largest increase in Hispanic graduates in the country. By 2022 Hispanics will represent about 20% of the total graduate population. The number of Asian graduates will increase by 336%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

45 Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Virginia
The number of high school graduates in Virginia increased gradually between and It is projected to remain fairly stable for the next six years, then increase through the end of the projection period. In 2022 there are expected to be 63% more graduates overall than in 1991. While all subgroups represented in the graph will experience growth over these 30 years, Hispanics will increase the most, by 1467%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

46 Trends in Number of High School Graduates: Southwest

47 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Southwest
The number of high school graduates in the Southwest region is projected to increase steadily through The number of graduates projected for 2022 (447,916) will be 82% higher than in By the end of the period shown on the graph the numbers of all non-White public high school graduates are projected to be more than double their starting point. Asian graduates will increase 394%, Hispanics 226%, Native Americans 126% and Blacks 112%. By 2016 Hispanic graduates will outnumber White graduates. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

48 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Arkansas
The number of high school graduates in Arkansas is projected to increase very gradually from through 2009, and more sharply thereafter. By 2022 there will be 45% more graduates than in 1992. By the end of the 30-year period shown on the graph Hispanics will represent the largest group of non-White graduates in the state, increasing from 121 to 8786 over the period, or by 7161%, by far the largest growth in this group of the four Southwest states. The number of Asian graduates is also projected to increase dramatically, by 1062%, and Native Americans will increase by 651%, to 428. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

49 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: New Mexico
The number of high school graduates in New Mexico peaked in at 19,677, and is projected to show very little overall change after that. By 2022 there will be 19,627 graduates, 22% more than in 1992. Beginning in 2001, Hispanics constitute the largest group of high school graduates in the state (54% in 2022), and by 2022 New Mexico will be the state with the largest percentage of Hispanic graduates. This group is projected to increase 72% over the 30-year period of the graph. Asians actually show the largest increase (180%), however there are still expected to be only 479 Asian graduates by 2022. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

50 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Oklahoma
After growing rapidly through , the number of high school graduates in Oklahoma is projected to decline slowly through 2014 before rising again. The 42,405 graduates in 2022 represent an increase of 26% over 1992. Native Americans represent the largest non-White group of high school graduates in Oklahoma (11% in 1992 and 21% in 2022), and Oklahoma is the state with the largest percentage of Native Americans. This group is projected to show an increase of 146% over the 30 years shown; Hispanics show the largest growth, however: 932%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

51 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Texas
The number of high school graduates in Texas is projected to grow steadily through That year’s total of 347,315 will represent an increase of 104% over Hispanic graduates represent the largest non-White group in Texas (47% of all graduates in 2022), and are expected to surpass the number of White graduates in This group is projected to grow by 263% between 1992 and 2022, but Asian and Native American graduates will increase even more, by 398% and 382%, respectively. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State, Income and Race/Ethnicity , Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

52 Trends in Number of High School Graduates: West

53 Number of High School Graduates, 1994-2022: West
The total number of high school graduates in the West region ranges from 506,532 in to a projected 810,571 in , 60% higher than in After about 2008, the number of White graduates is expected to decline, while the number of Hispanic students is expected to increase dramatically: 256% over the 28-year period shown in the graph. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

54 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Alaska
The total number of high school graduates in Alaska will range from 5,620 in to a projected high of 8,222 in after which the number of graduates is expected to experience an erratic decline. In the number of graduates is projected to be 19% higher than in While Alaskan Natives represent the largest non-White group throughout the 30-year period, the number of Asian graduates is projected to show the largest percentage growth (245%) between 1992 and 2022, and by 2005 surpassed the numbers of Black and Hispanic graduates combined. In 2022 the number of Alaskan Native graduates will represent 21% of the total. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

55 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Arizona
The total number of public high school graduates in Arizona ranges from 32,235 in to a projected high of 114,587 in This represents an increase of 245%. Over the 30-year period shown in the graph, the number of Asian graduates is expected to increase most dramatically, by 844%. Hispanic graduates represent the largest non-White group over the entire period shown, and by will form the largest group of Arizona’s graduates (45%). Their numbers are projected to increase 689% over the 30-year period. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

56 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: California
The total number of high school graduates in California is projected to increase from 267,960 in to a high of 412,190 in In there will be 391,538 graduates, 46% more than in Hispanic students will represent the largest racial/ethnic group of graduates. Over the period covered by the graph their number will have increased by 178%, while California’s Asian population almost doubles during that time. The number of White graduates is projected to decline by 27%, however. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

57 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Colorado
The total number of high school graduates in Colorado will increase fairly steadily, from 32,420 in to a projected 59,262 in , 84% higher than in The most dramatic growth over the 30-year period shown in the graph will occur among the numbers of Hispanic and Asian graduates; these populations will increase by 361% and 238%, respectively. By Hispanics will represent more than 32% of all high school graduates in Colorado. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

58 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Hawaii
Between and the number of high school graduates in Hawaii is projected to fluctuate quite a bit. Graduates totaled 11,520 in 1992, will peak at 14,262 in , and will number 13,348 in 2022. Throughout the 30-year period of the graph, the vast majority of Hawaii’s high school graduates will be Asian: 59% in 1992 and 54% in Hawaii also has a relatively large percentage of graduates of non-public schools: about 20% of the total in However, Hawaii is the only state projected to have fewer (by 3%) Hispanic high school graduates in 2022 than in 1992. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

59 Number of High School Graduates, 1994-2022: Idaho
The total number of high school graduates in Idaho is projected to grow fairly steadily, from a low of 13,622 in to a high of 23,095 in 2022, an overall increase of 70%. While non-White public school graduates will still represent only 23% of Idaho’s total high school graduates in , the number of Hispanic graduates is projected to have increased 500% by then (to 3,112). The number of Black graduates will experience even great growth (662%) over the 28-year period, but this group will still constitute only 1% of the total in 2022. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

60 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Montana
Montana’s high school graduate population reached its peak in , at 11,572. In the total number of graduates is projected to be 10,287, only 10% higher than in , and 10% less than in 2000. Native American graduates are the largest minority group in Montana. This group will be 76% larger in However, Hispanic graduates will experience the greatest growth over the 30-year period: 305%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

61 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Nevada
Nevada continues to show more growth in high school graduates than any other state. The total number of graduates is projected to quadruple in number, from 9,189 in to 37,595 in Over the 30-year period shown in the graph, the number of Hispanic students is expected to increase most dramatically, by 2128%. Asian graduates will increase by 1352% (the largest increase in this group in the US), Blacks by 410%, and Native Americans by 129%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

62 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Oregon
The total number of high school graduates in Oregon ranges from a low of 26,805 in to a projected 36,523 in , an increase of 36%. Most of the growth among Oregon’s high school graduates is expected to be among Hispanic and Asian students. Hispanic graduates will increase by 1152%, and Asians by 267%. The number of White graduates peaked in 2003 (at a level 19% higher than in ). By 2022 there will be 27% fewer White graduates in Oregon than in 2003. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

63 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Utah
The total number of high school graduates in Utah is expected to grow from 25,371 in to 44,483 in , for an increase of 75%. Non-White public school graduates represented only about 8% of Utah’s total in 1992, but will be 26% of the total in Of those, Hispanics will form the largest group: the number of Hispanic graduates will increase 925% over the 30-year period. The growth in the number of Black graduates will be almost as high (808%), but this group will still only represent 2% of Utah’s total. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only.. Source: WICHE

64 Number of High School Graduates, 1994-2022: Washington
Between 1992 and 2007 Washington experienced a 47% increase in the number of high school graduates, with little overall change projected through The total number of graduates in 2022 is expected to be 44% higher than in 1992. While the number of White public school graduates in Washington is expected to have peaked in , the number of graduates in other racial/ethnic groups and from non-public schools will continue to increase. The change will be greatest for Hispanic and Asian graduates, increasing 346% and 113%, respectively, over their 1992 lows. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

65 Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Wyoming
Wyoming is the only state in the West region to show a decrease in the number of high school graduates through The 5,505 graduates projected for 2022 would represent a 6% decrease compared to , and a 15% decline from Wyoming’s peak in The projected increase over the last three years of the graph may signal a longer period of growth. The decrease in Wyoming’s public high school graduates is expected to come from White students. The Hispanic and Black groups are both expected to double in size over the 30-year period. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE


Download ppt "Trends in Number of High School Graduates: National"

Similar presentations


Ads by Google