SLICE – Transitioning from Phase 1 into Phase 2

What I’d like to cover… Project management issues Project management issues Where we’re at with Phase 1 Where we’re at with Phase 1 1. Timeline 2. Deliverables Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 1. Debrief from Advisory Team Mtg in Jan “Stop-gap” measures in Revised purpose and goals Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines

What I’d like from you… Better clarity on Exec. Sponsor and Roles in transitioning SLICE Phase 1 into Phase 2. Better clarity on Exec. Sponsor and Roles in transitioning SLICE Phase 1 into Phase 2. Your thoughts about what SLICE looks like operationally Your thoughts about what SLICE looks like operationally Moving from “duct tape and bubble gum” to something sustainable Moving from “duct tape and bubble gum” to something sustainable Realigning staff resources to best carry-out a revised lake survey program Realigning staff resources to best carry-out a revised lake survey program Timeline target for implementing Phase 2 Timeline target for implementing Phase 2

Oversight DNR Fisheries 1 Project Coordination 2 Ray Valley Implementation DNR Fisheries Implementation 3 Recommendation of direction Information base Analysis and Evaluation Analysis Teams 10 Syntheses of trends Technical Advisory Team 12 Eco and Waters Implementation 4 PCA Implementation 5 Local Partners 7 Citizen Volunteers 8 Public Information and Outreach 9 MDH Implementation 6 DNR Area Staff Local trends Local Partners Local trends PCA Water Monitoring Unit Local trends Ancillary Investigations 11 Strategic Advisory Team 13 SLICE “Org chart” CO Managers Regional Managers

SLICE Phase 2

What I’d like to cover… Project management issues Project management issues Where we’re at with Phase 1 Where we’re at with Phase 1 1. Timeline 2. Deliverables Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 1. Debrief from Advisory Team Mtg in Jan “Stop-gap” assessments in Revised purpose and goals Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines

Where we’re at with Phase is last scheduled field season of 4-yr Phase-1 pilot 2011 is last scheduled field season of 4-yr Phase-1 pilot Several products will be rolled out in Several products will be rolled out in Forecast models of cold-water fish habitat given land use and climate changes in 3 sentinel lakes 2. Hist. reconstructions of WQ in 7 sentinel lakes 3. Cisco behavior and inland pop assessment tools 4. Zooplankton indicator development baseline comprehensive lake reports 6. DJ research project evaluating indicators

Where we’re at with Phase 1 We’re already finding useful indicators derived from our standard suite of lake survey assessments We’re already finding useful indicators derived from our standard suite of lake survey assessments Looking to gain efficiencies in effort Looking to gain efficiencies in effort If we build it, they will come If we build it, they will come

If you build it they will come… Lucinda Johnson Heinz Stefan Puni Jeyasingh - OSU Lee Engel – U of MN

Leveraging other intellectual and financial capital to explore lake issues Simulations of cisco fish habitat in Minnesota Lakes under future climate scenarios – Fang et al. (Auburn U & U of MN) Simulations of cisco fish habitat in Minnesota Lakes under future climate scenarios – Fang et al. (Auburn U & U of MN) Simulating the combined effects of future watershed land cover and climate change on cold-water fish habitat – Herb, Stefan, Johnson, Jacobson (U of MN and NRRI; USGS funded) Simulating the combined effects of future watershed land cover and climate change on cold-water fish habitat – Herb, Stefan, Johnson, Jacobson (U of MN and NRRI; USGS funded) Reconstruction of how a century of nutrient-enrichment of lakes has affected evolutionary changes in organisms, particular Daphnia pulex zooplankton – Punidan Jeyasingh Oklahoma State University (NSF funded) Reconstruction of how a century of nutrient-enrichment of lakes has affected evolutionary changes in organisms, particular Daphnia pulex zooplankton – Punidan Jeyasingh Oklahoma State University (NSF funded) Classification of Selected Minnesota Lakes Using Deuterium and δ 18 O to Characterize Hydrologic Residence Time – Lee Engel and Joe Magner (U of MN) Classification of Selected Minnesota Lakes Using Deuterium and δ 18 O to Characterize Hydrologic Residence Time – Lee Engel and Joe Magner (U of MN)

What I’d like to cover… Project management issues Project management issues Where we’re at with Phase 1 Where we’re at with Phase 1 1. Timeline 2. Deliverables Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 1. Debrief from Advisory Team Mtg in Jan “Stop-gap” assessments in Revised purpose and goals Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines

SLICE Advisory Team Meeting Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint Discussed program purpose and goals Discussed program purpose and goals ID’d core survey components of SLICE ID’d core survey components of SLICE Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios

What we accomplished… Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint Discussed program purpose and goals Discussed program purpose and goals ID’d core survey components of SLICE ID’d core survey components of SLICE Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scnarios Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scnarios

What worked… Just the commitment to build long-term monitoring infrastructure has attracted interdisciplinary partners. Just the commitment to build long-term monitoring infrastructure has attracted interdisciplinary partners. Having a dedicated coordinator Having a dedicated coordinator Bringing Research and Management closer – LTM bridges the gap. Bringing Research and Management closer – LTM bridges the gap.

“Areas for Improvement” Data quality issues Data quality issues 1. Many surveys weren’t done 2. Many surveys weren’t done right 3. “Span of control issues” with coordinating 18 Area offices and a dozen research staff to all be doing the same thing 4. Aging issues

“Areas for Improvement” Ownership Ownership 1. One staff with explicit ownership through PD (me) 1. No ownership means lack of understanding why the data is being collected 2. Lack of buy in and data quality suffers 3. Informative data are being put in a database and not being used

“Areas for Improvement” Disconnect in program relevance and staffing. Disconnect in program relevance and staffing. Area staff are shouldering workloads Area staff are shouldering workloads SLICE’s primary utility is for describing regional and statewide trends SLICE’s primary utility is for describing regional and statewide trends Scale issue Scale issue

SLICE’s “Power” is in the network: Example: statewide declines in Curly-leaf pondweed

Curly-leaf pondweed Widespread throughout S and central MN and moving north. Grows under ice and needs some winter light Can grow abundantly and form mats early in spring Dies off by early summer and algae blooms typically follow in eutrophic lakes Expected to benefit from shorter winters and earlier springs

Patterns of curly-leaf pondweed growth

St. James St. Olaf

Bottom Line: We won’t get this type of synthesis across lakes with the current individual lake approach of the lake survey program and associated standard reporting

“Areas for Improvement” Communication with staff Communication with staff 1. Relevance of SLICE to some Area staff not readily apparent 2. Communication to Area staff on progress or program direction is not timely or targeted. 3. The loss of training sessions hurts…

What we accomplished… Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint Discussed program purpose and goals Discussed program purpose and goals ID’d core survey components of SLICE ID’d core survey components of SLICE Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios

Adaptive Management Process Assess problem Evaluate Adjust Implement Design Monitor Phase 1: Oct – Jan 2006/2007 May-Jun 2007 Apr Today! Phase 2 Phase 1 Op plan

Collaborative process… Advisory team offered input on a short SLICE purpose statement Advisory team offered input on a short SLICE purpose statement Nine long-term goals were identified Nine long-term goals were identified More specific short-term Phase 2 objectives will follow with better clarity on budget More specific short-term Phase 2 objectives will follow with better clarity on budget Need an “endorsement” from Oversight team Need an “endorsement” from Oversight team

SLICE’s purpose… To monitor and model Minnesota lake ecosystems for the detection and better understanding of the effects of environmental stressors in order to guide management and policy actions that sustain lake resources.

What we accomplished… Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint Discussed program purpose and goals Discussed program purpose and goals ID’d core survey components of SLICE ID’d core survey components of SLICE Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios

Core components to continue monitoring in 2012 Water quality – PCA Water quality – PCA Zooplankton – PCA & EcoWat Zooplankton – PCA & EcoWat Lake Levels - EcoWat Lake Levels - EcoWat Year-round temperature loggers Year-round temperature loggers Nearshore fish sampling Nearshore fish sampling Point-intercept veg sampling Point-intercept veg sampling Large fish sampling (optional) Large fish sampling (optional)

What we accomplished… Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint Discussed program purpose and goals Discussed program purpose and goals ID’d core survey components of SLICE ID’d core survey components of SLICE Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios

Timelines 2011 is last field season 2011 is last field season Suggested “stop-gap” measures to get us through 2012 Suggested “stop-gap” measures to get us through 2012 Several final reports to be completed in 2012-spr Several final reports to be completed in 2012-spr Would like several things in place by 2013 Would like several things in place by 2013 Standard assessment and reporting protocols Standard assessment and reporting protocols Dedicated staff Dedicated staff New research projects (DJ, LCCMR???) New research projects (DJ, LCCMR???)

SLICE Phase 2

What we accomplished… Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint Discussed program purpose and goals Discussed program purpose and goals ID’d core survey components of SLICE ID’d core survey components of SLICE Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios

What I’d like to cover… Project management issues Project management issues Where we’re at with Phase 1 Where we’re at with Phase 1 1. Timeline 2. Deliverables Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 1. Debrief from Advisory Team Mtg in Jan “Stop-gap” assessments in Revised purpose and goals Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines

Bottom line: Central Fisheries Command needs a small cavalry of specialists as our “eyes” on the landscape

The SLICE Cavalry Statewide Rough Rider R1 Rough Rider R2 Rough Rider R3 Rough Rider R4 Rough Rider

Sir! You should be aware that curly-leaf pondweed is declining across the State; the snowy winters of 2008 and 2009 may have something to do with it Report in from the field

R2 Rough Rider Sir! It appears that last winter was tough on bluegills and it appears we have had widespread year class failures

Note…these reports would come in regularly and not rely on periodic data mining projects to find declines that started years ago. Reports will be based on actual data (vs anecdotes)

Lake Fish Communities and Habitats Status and Trends Canadian Shield Landtype 2014 Annual Report

What I’d like from you…  Better clarity on Exec. Sponsor and Roles in transitioning SLICE Phase 1 into Phase 2.  Your thoughts about what SLICE looks like operationally Moving from “duct tape and bubble gum” to something sustainable Realigning staff resources to best carry-out a revised lake survey program Timeline target for implementing Phase 2